The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the
regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected
by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the
forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down.
This report is for advisory number 13 of tropical cyclone PAKHAR-12 issued at 1 Apr 2012 0:00:00 (GDACS Event ID 29158).
Summary
Current impact estimate:
- Population affected by cyclone-strength winds (>120km/h): No people affected
- Saffir-Simpson Category: Category 1
- Maximum sustained wind speed: 121 km/h
-
The maximum Storm surge height is
0.5m
in Binh Sum, Vietnam. This
height is estimated for 01 Apr 2012 08:00:00.
Evolution
Previous calculations: see calculation for advisory number 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Show forecast grid
Storm surge
View animation and affected locations in an interactive map: open
 Storm surge maximum height ( Source: JRC) |
 Storm surge animation ( Source: JRC) |
Affected locations
| 01 Apr 2012 08:00:00 |
Binh Sum
|
Vietnam |
0.5m
|
| 01 Apr 2012 09:00:00 |
Phan Thiet
|
Vietnam |
0.5m
|
| 01 Apr 2012 09:00:00 |
Ke Ga
|
Vietnam |
0.5m
|
| 01 Apr 2012 07:00:00 |
Hai Long
|
Vietnam |
0.4m
|
| 01 Apr 2012 06:00:00 |
Ap Thien Ai
|
Vietnam |
0.3m
|
| 01 Apr 2012 09:00:00 |
Hoa Da
|
Vietnam |
0.3m
|
| 01 Apr 2012 10:00:00 |
Ham Tan
|
Vietnam |
0.3m
|
| 01 Apr 2012 13:00:00 |
Lagi
|
Vietnam |
0.3m
|
| 01 Apr 2012 20:00:00 |
Ap Ben Da
|
Vietnam |
0.3m
|
|
|
Dao Phu Qui
|
Vietnam |
0.2m
|
| 01 Apr 2012 04:00:00 |
Tuy Phong
|
Vietnam |
0.2m
|
| 01 Apr 2012 05:00:00 |
Phan Rang
|
Vietnam |
0.2m
|
| 01 Apr 2012 08:00:00 |
Ap Vinh Hao
|
Vietnam |
0.2m
|
| 01 Apr 2012 09:00:00 |
Ap Hoi Tam
|
Vietnam |
0.2m
|
Locations affected by Storm surge (15 of 107)
Calculation based on advisory number 13 of 01 Apr 2012 00:00:00.
(Simulation using 2 minute resolution)
See full locations list (RSS)
More information
The atmospheric forcing included in the storm surge model are the pressure drop and the wind-water friction.
The effects of the short waves induced by the wind (wave setup) and the precipitations are not yet implemented in the model.
The model has been validated mainly in areas of shallow water (Caribbean, Bay of Bengal). Results in other basins may be inaccurate.
For a full list of available products related to this event, please refer to the GDACS Resources page.