GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Red Tropical Cyclone alert in China, Viet Nam, Philippines, Palau for HAIYAN-13 from 04/11/2013 00:00 UTC to 11/11/2013 00:00 UTC
Storm surge for tropical cyclone HAIYAN-13
Beta
alertimage

Orange alert for storm surge impact in Philippines

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down.

This report is for advisory number 16 of tropical cyclone HAIYAN-13 issued at 7 Nov 2013 0:00:00 (GDACS Event ID 41058).

Summary

Current impact estimate:

  • Population affected by cyclone-strength winds (>120km/h): 13.7 million
  • Saffir-Simpson Category: Category 5
  • Maximum sustained wind speed: 315 km/h
  • The maximum Storm surge height is  2.3m in Pontevedra, Philippines. This height is estimated for 08 Nov 2013 10:00:00.

Evolution

Previous calculations: see calculation for advisory number 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31

Show forecast grid

Storm surge

View animation and affected locations in an interactive map: open

Storm surge maximum height
Storm surge maximum height (Source: JRC)
Storm surge animation
Storm surge animation (Source: JRC)

Affected locations

Date Name Country Storm surge height (m)
08 Nov 2013 10:00:00 Pontevedra Philippines  2.3m
08 Nov 2013 04:00:00 Tacloban Philippines  1.9m
08 Nov 2013 09:00:00 Balasan Philippines  1.8m
08 Nov 2013 09:00:00 President Roxas Philippines  1.8m
08 Nov 2013 09:00:00 Montiflor Philippines  1.8m
08 Nov 2013 09:00:00 Binon-an Philippines  1.8m
08 Nov 2013 09:00:00 Estancia Philippines  1.8m
08 Nov 2013 09:00:00 Bagacai Philippines  1.7m
08 Nov 2013 03:00:00 MacArthur Philippines  1.5m
08 Nov 2013 03:00:00 Rizal Philippines  1.5m
08 Nov 2013 09:00:00 San Dionisio Philippines  1.5m
08 Nov 2013 09:00:00 Carles Philippines  1.4m
08 Nov 2013 03:00:00 Dulag Philippines  1.4m
08 Nov 2013 04:00:00 Palo Philippines  1.4m
Locations affected by Storm surge (15 of 786)
Calculation based on advisory number 16 of 07 Nov 2013 00:00:00.
(Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

See full locations list (RSS)

More information

The atmospheric forcing included in the storm surge model are the pressure drop and the wind-water friction. The effects of the short waves induced by the wind (wave setup) and the precipitations are not yet implemented in the model. The model has been validated mainly in areas of shallow water (Caribbean, Bay of Bengal). Results in other basins may be inaccurate.

For a full list of available products related to this event, please refer to the GDACS Resources page.