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Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for GONZALO-14
in Bermuda, Anguilla, Canadafrom 12 Oct 2014 17:30 UTC to 13 Oct 2014 15:00 UTC
Automatic impact report for tropical cyclone GONZALO-14
alertimage

Current Green alert for wind impact in Bermuda, Anguilla, Canada as of 13 Oct 2014 15:00:00 UTC

This tropical cyclone is expected to have a medium humanitarian impact based on the storm strength and the affected population in the past and forecasted path.

Current storm status

This report is for advisory number 30 of tropical cyclone GONZALO-14 issued at 19 Oct 2014 21:00 UTC (GDACS Event ID 1000112, Latest episode ID: 30, inserted at 13 Oct 2014 15:32 UTC ).

Current impact estimate:

  • Population affected by Category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 0.4 million
  • Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph (maximum wind speed of 231 km/h)
  • Vulnerability of affected countries: Medium

Impact of Extreme Wind

1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9  10  11  12  13  14  15  16  18  19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28  29  30  
Cloud map
Cloud map. Track and wind-buffer map. Green area: Area that can be affected by winds of more than 64 km/h (Tropical Storm strength). Orange area: Same, for winds of more than 92 km/h. Red area: Same, for winds above 120 km/h (Hurricane or Typhoon strength) (Source: JRC)
Cloud Map Zoomed on last forecast
Cloud Map Zoomed on last forecast. The zoomed map on the last track. (Source: JRC)

Affected population

Up to no people people can be affected by wind speeds of cyclone strength or above. In addition, no people people are living in coastal areas below 5m and can therefore be affected by storm surge.

Affected country

Affected provinces

Affected Populated Places (first 20 records)

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

See complete report

Event time line

The storm evolution is shown in the table below. Alert levels and population estimates are related to the area from a point to the next.

Advisory Alert color Date (UTC) Category Wind speed Wind gusts Population affected
by cyclone winds (>120km/h)
Location (lat, lon)
1
green
10/12/2014 5:30:00 PM Tropical storm 64 km/h (40 mph) 84 km/h (52 mph) no people 16.4, -58.4
2
green
10/12/2014 9:00:00 PM Tropical storm 74 km/h (46 mph) 93 km/h (58 mph) no people 16.4, -59.5
3
green
10/13/2014 3:00:00 AM Tropical storm 74 km/h (46 mph) 93 km/h (58 mph) no people 16.6, -60.2
4
green
10/13/2014 9:00:00 AM Tropical storm 93 km/h (58 mph) 111 km/h (69 mph) no people 16.8, -60.9
5
green
10/13/2014 3:00:00 PM Tropical storm 101 km/h (63 mph) 121 km/h (75 mph) no people 17.2, -61.9
6
orange
10/13/2014 9:00:00 PM Category 1 121 km/h (75 mph) 148 km/h (92 mph) 91000 people 17.9, -62.9
7
green
10/14/2014 3:00:00 AM Category 1 138 km/h (86 mph) 167 km/h (104 mph) no people 18.7, -63.4
8
green
10/14/2014 9:00:00 AM Category 2 175 km/h (109 mph) 212 km/h (132 mph) no people 19.6, -64.4
9
green
10/14/2014 3:00:00 PM Category 2 175 km/h (109 mph) 212 km/h (132 mph) no people 20.3, -65.2
10
green
10/14/2014 9:00:00 PM Category 3 185 km/h (115 mph) 222 km/h (138 mph) no people 21.2, -66
11
green
10/15/2014 3:00:00 AM Category 3 204 km/h (127 mph) 249 km/h (155 mph) no people 22.2, -66.6
12
green
10/15/2014 9:00:00 AM Category 3 204 km/h (127 mph) 249 km/h (155 mph) no people 22.9, -67.3
13
green
10/15/2014 3:00:00 PM Category 4 212 km/h (132 mph) 259 km/h (161 mph) no people 23.5, -68
14
green
10/15/2014 9:00:00 PM Category 3 204 km/h (127 mph) 249 km/h (155 mph) no people 24.1, -68.6
15
green
10/16/2014 3:00:00 AM Category 3 195 km/h (121 mph) 241 km/h (150 mph) no people 24.6, -68.7
16
green
10/16/2014 9:00:00 AM Category 4 222 km/h (138 mph) 269 km/h (166 mph) no people 25.3, -68.7
18
green
10/16/2014 9:00:00 PM Category 4 232 km/h (144 mph) 278 km/h (172 mph) no people 27.1, -68.2
19
green
10/17/2014 3:00:00 AM Category 4 222 km/h (138 mph) 269 km/h (166 mph) no people 28, -67.5
20
green
10/17/2014 9:00:00 AM Category 4 212 km/h (132 mph) 259 km/h (161 mph) no people 29.3, -66.8
21
green
10/17/2014 3:00:00 PM Category 3 204 km/h (127 mph) 249 km/h (155 mph) 49000 people 30.4, -66.1
22
green
10/17/2014 9:00:00 PM Category 3 185 km/h (115 mph) 241 km/h (150 mph) 66000 people 31.7, -65.3
23
green
10/18/2014 3:00:00 AM Category 2 175 km/h (109 mph) 212 km/h (132 mph) 66000 people 32.7, -64.5
24
green
10/18/2014 9:00:00 AM Category 2 167 km/h (104 mph) 204 km/h (127 mph) no people 34.7, -63.2
25
green
10/18/2014 3:00:00 PM Category 1 148 km/h (92 mph) 185 km/h (115 mph) no people 36.8, -61.7
26
green
10/18/2014 9:00:00 PM Category 1 148 km/h (92 mph) 185 km/h (115 mph) no people 39.3, -60
27
green
10/19/2014 3:00:00 AM Category 1 148 km/h (92 mph) 185 km/h (115 mph) 250000 people 42.3, -57
28
green
10/19/2014 9:00:00 AM Category 1 138 km/h (86 mph) 167 km/h (104 mph) 250000 people 46.3, -52.9
29
green
10/19/2014 3:00:00 PM Category 1 138 km/h (86 mph) 167 km/h (104 mph) no people 49, -47.3
30
green
10/19/2014 9:00:00 PM Category 1 130 km/h (81 mph) 158 km/h (98 mph) no people 51.6, -41.8
30
green
10/20/2014 6:00:00 AM Category 1 121 km/h (75 mph) 148 km/h (92 mph) no people 53.6, -31.5
30
green
10/20/2014 6:00:00 PM Tropical storm 93 km/h (58 mph) 111 km/h (69 mph) no people 56.5, -15
30
green
10/21/2014 6:00:00 AM Tropical storm 93 km/h (58 mph) 111 km/h (69 mph) no people 58.5, -1
30
green
10/21/2014 6:00:00 PM Tropical storm 93 km/h (58 mph) 111 km/h (69 mph) no people 64.5, -1

Previous advisories

For accessing reports of previous advisories, please click on the advisory number in the table below.

IDAlert ColorDate (UTC)CategoryMaximum sustained
wind speed (km/h)
Population affected
by cyclone winds (>120km/h)
Affected countries
1 12 Oct 2014 17:30 Category 2 158 No people affected Guadeloupe, Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Virgin Islands, British, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
2 12 Oct 2014 21:00 Category 2 175 No people affected Guadeloupe, Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Virgin Islands, British, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
3 13 Oct 2014 03:00 Category 2 175 No people affected Guadeloupe, Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Virgin Islands, British, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
4 13 Oct 2014 09:00 Category 2 175 No people affected Guadeloupe, Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Virgin Islands, British, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
5 13 Oct 2014 15:00 Category 2 175 No people affected Bermuda, Guadeloupe, Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Virgin Islands, British, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
6 13 Oct 2014 21:00 Category 3 185 150 thousand Bermuda, Anguilla
7 14 Oct 2014 03:00 Category 3 195 160 thousand Bermuda
8 14 Oct 2014 09:00 Category 4 212 110 thousand Bermuda, Virgin Islands, British, Virgin Islands, U.S.
9 14 Oct 2014 15:00 Category 4 222 90 thousand Canada
10 14 Oct 2014 21:00 Category 4 222 90 thousand Canada
11 15 Oct 2014 03:00 Category 4 222 240 thousand Canada
12 15 Oct 2014 09:00 Category 4 212 220 thousand Canada
13 15 Oct 2014 15:00 Category 4 212 90 thousand Bermuda, Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon
14 15 Oct 2014 21:00 Category 3 204 90 thousand Bermuda, Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon
15 16 Oct 2014 03:00 Category 3 195 100 thousand Bermuda, Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon
16 16 Oct 2014 09:00 Category 4 222 160 thousand Bermuda
18 16 Oct 2014 21:00 Category 4 232 160 thousand Bermuda
19 17 Oct 2014 03:00 Category 4 222 160 thousand Bermuda
20 17 Oct 2014 09:00 Category 4 212 160 thousand Bermuda
21 17 Oct 2014 15:00 Category 3 204 160 thousand Bermuda
22 17 Oct 2014 21:00 Category 3 185 160 thousand Bermuda
23 18 Oct 2014 03:00 Category 2 175 160 thousand Bermuda
24 18 Oct 2014 09:00 Category 2 167 160 thousand  
25 18 Oct 2014 15:00 Category 1 148 160 thousand Canada
26 18 Oct 2014 21:00 Category 1 148 160 thousand Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, Ireland
27 19 Oct 2014 03:00 Category 1 148 160 thousand  
28 19 Oct 2014 09:00 Category 1 138 410 thousand Canada
29 19 Oct 2014 15:00 Category 1 138 420 thousand  
30 19 Oct 2014 21:00 Category 1 130 420 thousand  

More information

Data resources

For a full list of available products related to this event, please refer to the GDACS Resources page.

About the data

JRC set up an automatic routine that includes the Tropical Cyclone (TC) bulletins produced by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) into a single database, covering all TC basins.

JRC calculates areas affected by high winds (wind buffers at 39, 58 and 74mph). This is done using the maximum reported wind radius (maximum of 4 quadrants) or, in case no wind radii are provided, through a regression analysis based on historical data. JRC also calculates the area affected by storm surge using HyFlux2 (hydrodynamic software).

Sources for data on critical infrastructure are: JRC NUMAS database (nuclear plants), ESRI (hydro dams, 1996), Global Discovery (airports, ports and cities).

Population data is from LandScan 2014.

Disclaimer

While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information. The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.