Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LOKE-15
Off-shore
26 Aug 2015 21 UTC
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  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
  • GFS
  • HWRF
  • ECMWF
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone LOKE-15 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 130 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.1 m (28 Aug 00:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability --

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 93 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 130 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      93 km/h Current Max.

      Up to <1000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 21 Aug 2015 03:00 93 No people No people
        Green 2 21 Aug 2015 09:00 93 No people No people
        Green 3 21 Aug 2015 15:00 93 No people No people
        Green 4 21 Aug 2015 21:00 102 No people No people United States Minor Outlying Islands
        Green 5 22 Aug 2015 03:00 102 No people No people
        Green 6 22 Aug 2015 09:00 102 No people No people
        Green 7 22 Aug 2015 15:00 83 No people No people
        Green 8 22 Aug 2015 21:00 83 No people No people
        Green 9 23 Aug 2015 03:00 93 No people No people
        Green 11 23 Aug 2015 15:00 102 No people No people
        Green 12 23 Aug 2015 21:00 102 No people No people
        Green 13 24 Aug 2015 03:00 120 No people No people
        Green 14 24 Aug 2015 09:00 130 No people No people
        Green 15 24 Aug 2015 15:00 130 No people No people
        Green 17 25 Aug 2015 03:00 120 No people No people
        Green 18 25 Aug 2015 09:00 120 No people No people
        Green 19 25 Aug 2015 15:00 120 No people No people
        Green 20 25 Aug 2015 21:00 111 No people No people
        Green 21 26 Aug 2015 03:00 93 No people No people
        Green 22 26 Aug 2015 09:00 83 No people No people
        Green 23 26 Aug 2015 15:00 93 No people No people
        Green 24 26 Aug 2015 21:00 93 No people No people

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 21 Aug 2015 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 15.2, -177.5
          GREEN
          		 2 21 Aug 2015 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 15.6, -177
          GREEN
          		 3 21 Aug 2015 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 15.9, -177.2
          GREEN
          		 4 21 Aug 2015 21:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 16.4, -177.2
          GREEN
          		 5 22 Aug 2015 03:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 16.7, -177.4
          GREEN
          		 6 22 Aug 2015 09:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 17.1, -177.2
          GREEN
          		 7 22 Aug 2015 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 17.4, -177.9
          GREEN
          		 8 22 Aug 2015 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 18.1, -178.6
          GREEN
          		 9 23 Aug 2015 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 18.8, -179
          GREEN
          		 11 23 Aug 2015 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 20.3, -179.5
          GREEN
          		 12 23 Aug 2015 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 21.8, -179.5
          GREEN
          		 13 24 Aug 2015 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 22.8, -179.1
          GREEN
          		 14 24 Aug 2015 09:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 23.9, -178.5
          GREEN
          		 15 24 Aug 2015 15:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 25.2, -177.6
          GREEN
          		 17 25 Aug 2015 03:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 26.7, -175
          GREEN
          		 18 25 Aug 2015 09:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 28.2, -174
          GREEN
          		 19 25 Aug 2015 15:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 29.9, -172.2
          GREEN
          		 20 25 Aug 2015 21:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 31, -173.5
          GREEN
          		 21 26 Aug 2015 03:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 32, -174.1
          GREEN
          		 22 26 Aug 2015 09:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 33.2, -175.1
          GREEN
          		 23 26 Aug 2015 15:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 35.5, -177.3
          GREEN
          		 24 26 Aug 2015 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 38, 179.9
          GREEN
          		 24 27 Aug 2015 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 42, 177
          GREEN
          		 24 27 Aug 2015 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 49, 171 United States
          GREEN
          		 24 28 Aug 2015 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 55, 170
          GREEN
          		 24 28 Aug 2015 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 59, 175
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
          United States no people
          Russia <1000 people

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Alaska United States
          Kamchatskaya oblast' Russian Federation

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Casco Cove Cgs ATU 12 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Agattu Island Wake Island
          Massacre Bay Wake Island
          Cape Wrangell Wake Island
          Myedhi Island Russia
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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.1 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.1m in Village, United States. This height is estimated for 28 Aug 2015 00:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (2 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 24 of 26 Aug 2015 21:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          28 Aug 2015 00:00 Village United States  0.1
          28 Aug 2015 00:00 Navy Town United States  0.1