Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MARTY-15
in Mexico
28 Sep 2015 21 UTC
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  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
  • GFS
  • HWRF
  • ECMWF
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone MARTY-15 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Mexico
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 130 km/h
    Maximum storm surge
    Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 130 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 130 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      130 km/h Current Max.

      Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 26 Sep 2015 21:00 102 No people No people Mexico
        Green 2 27 Sep 2015 03:00 111 No people No people
        Green 3 27 Sep 2015 09:00 120 No people No people Mexico
        Green 4 27 Sep 2015 15:00 120 No people No people Mexico
        Green 5 27 Sep 2015 21:00 102 No people No people Mexico
        Green 6 28 Sep 2015 03:00 102 No people No people Mexico
        Green 7 28 Sep 2015 09:00 111 No people No people Mexico
        Green 8 28 Sep 2015 15:00 111 No people No people Mexico
        Green 9 28 Sep 2015 21:00 130 No people No people Mexico

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 26 Sep 2015 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.3, -103
          GREEN
          		 2 27 Sep 2015 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 13.6, -103
          GREEN
          		 3 27 Sep 2015 09:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 14.3, -103.1
          GREEN
          		 4 27 Sep 2015 15:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 14.9, -102.8
          GREEN
          		 5 27 Sep 2015 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 15.1, -102.9
          GREEN
          		 6 28 Sep 2015 03:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 15.3, -103
          GREEN
          		 7 28 Sep 2015 09:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 15.6, -103
          GREEN
          		 8 28 Sep 2015 15:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 16.1, -103
          GREEN
          		 9 28 Sep 2015 21:00 Category 1 130 no people 440000 people 16.7, -102.1 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 9 29 Sep 2015 06:00 Category 1 130 no people 470000 people 16.8, -101.8 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 9 29 Sep 2015 18:00 Category 1 120 no people 490000 people 17.1, -101.6 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 9 30 Sep 2015 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 440000 people 17.3, -101.8 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 9 30 Sep 2015 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 230000 people 17.5, -102.5 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 9 01 Oct 2015 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 17.8, -105
          GREEN
          		 9 02 Oct 2015 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 18, -106.5
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0 m

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 14 of 30 Sep 2015 03:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)