Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TATIANA-16
Off-shore
13 Feb 2016 18 UTC
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  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
  • GFS
  • HWRF
  • ECMWF
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone TATIANA-16 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 120 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (13 Feb 13:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability --

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 65 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 120 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      65 km/h Current Max.

      Up to no people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 10 Feb 2016 18:00 111 --- No people
        Green 2 11 Feb 2016 06:00 102 --- No people
        Green 3 11 Feb 2016 18:00 120 --- No people
        Green 4 12 Feb 2016 06:00 102 --- No people
        Green 5 12 Feb 2016 18:00 74 --- No people
        Green 6 13 Feb 2016 06:00 93 --- No people
        Green 7 13 Feb 2016 18:00 65 No people No people

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 10 Feb 2016 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -16.7, 156.3
          GREEN
          		 2 11 Feb 2016 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -16.9, 157.9
          GREEN
          		 3 11 Feb 2016 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people -17.1, 159.4
          GREEN
          		 4 12 Feb 2016 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people -18.1, 159.8
          GREEN
          		 5 12 Feb 2016 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -20.1, 160
          GREEN
          		 6 13 Feb 2016 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -21.8, 160.6
          GREEN
          		 7 13 Feb 2016 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -25.5, 159.8
          GREEN
          		 7 14 Feb 2016 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people -25.8, 158.8
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
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          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.2 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Arama, New Caledonia. This height is estimated for 13 Feb 2016 13:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (5 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 6 of 13 Feb 2016 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          13 Feb 2016 13:00 Arama New Caledonia  0.2
          13 Feb 2016 13:00 Poum-Plage New Caledonia  0.2
          13 Feb 2016 13:00 Pam New Caledonia  0.1
          13 Feb 2016 17:00 Paagoumene New Caledonia  0.1
          13 Feb 2016 18:00 Kaala-Gomen New Caledonia  0.1