Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LISA-16 Off-shore from 19 Sep 2016 21:00 UTC to 25 Sep 2016 03:00 UTC

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LISA-16 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	93 km/h
Maximum storm surge	n.a.
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	56 km/h	n.a.	n.a.	0.5
Overall	93 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

56 km/h Current Max.

Up to no people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher
1	19 Sep 2016 21:00	93	---	No people
2	20 Sep 2016 03:00	93	---	No people
3	20 Sep 2016 09:00	93	---	No people
4	20 Sep 2016 15:00	93	---	No people
5	20 Sep 2016 21:00	93	---	No people
6	21 Sep 2016 03:00	93	---	No people
7	21 Sep 2016 09:00	93	---	No people
8	21 Sep 2016 15:00	93	---	No people
9	21 Sep 2016 21:00	74	---	No people
10	22 Sep 2016 03:00	74	---	No people
11	22 Sep 2016 09:00	74	---	No people
13	22 Sep 2016 21:00	83	---	No people
14	23 Sep 2016 03:00	74	---	No people
15	23 Sep 2016 09:00	65	---	No people
16	23 Sep 2016 15:00	65	---	No people
17	23 Sep 2016 21:00	56	---	No people
18	24 Sep 2016 03:00	56	---	No people
19	24 Sep 2016 09:00	56	---	No people
20	24 Sep 2016 15:00	65	---	No people
21	24 Sep 2016 21:00	56	---	No people
22	25 Sep 2016 03:00	56	---	No people

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)
1	19 Sep 2016 21:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	13.6, -28.6
2	20 Sep 2016 03:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	14.2, -29
3	20 Sep 2016 09:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	14.4, -29.6
4	20 Sep 2016 15:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	15.3, -30.4
5	20 Sep 2016 21:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	16.4, -31
6	21 Sep 2016 03:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	17.1, -31.7
7	21 Sep 2016 09:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	17.5, -32.2
8	21 Sep 2016 15:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	18, -32.5
9	21 Sep 2016 21:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	18.5, -32.5
10	22 Sep 2016 03:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	19.2, -32.8
11	22 Sep 2016 09:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	19.9, -34
12	22 Sep 2016 15:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	20, -34
13	22 Sep 2016 21:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	20.7, -34.5
14	23 Sep 2016 03:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	21.3, -35.2
15	23 Sep 2016 09:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	21.8, -35.7
16	23 Sep 2016 15:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	22.2, -36.3
17	23 Sep 2016 21:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	22.5, -36.5
18	24 Sep 2016 03:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	23.2, -37.3
19	24 Sep 2016 09:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	23.8, -37.9
20	24 Sep 2016 15:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	24.7, -38.8
21	24 Sep 2016 21:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	25.3, -39.7
22	25 Sep 2016 03:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	25.8, -40.8
22	25 Sep 2016 12:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	27.2, -42.2
22	26 Sep 2016 00:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	29.3, -42.4
22	26 Sep 2016 12:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	31.4, -42.1

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.