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Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for MATTHEW-16
in United States, Bahamas, Cuba, Haitifrom 28 Sep 2016 15:00 UTC to 30 Sep 2016 15:00 UTC
Automatic impact report for tropical cyclone MATTHEW-16
alertimage

Current Red alert for wind impact in United States, Bahamas, Cuba, Haiti as of 30 Sep 2016 15:00:00 UTC

This tropical cyclone is expected to have a high humanitarian impact based on the storm strength and the affected population in the past and forecasted path.

Current storm status

This report is for advisory number 47 of tropical cyclone MATTHEW-16 issued at 09 Oct 2016 21:00 UTC (GDACS Event ID 1000316, Latest episode ID: 47, inserted at 30 Sep 2016 15:20 UTC ).

Current impact estimate:

  • Population affected by Category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 0.538 million
  • Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph (maximum wind speed of 259 km/h)
  • Vulnerability of affected countries: High

Impact of Extreme Wind

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Cloud map
Cloud map. Track and wind-buffer map. Green area: Area that can be affected by winds of more than 64 km/h (Tropical Storm strength). Orange area: Same, for winds of more than 92 km/h. Red area: Same, for winds above 120 km/h (Hurricane or Typhoon strength) (Source: JRC)
Cloud Map Zoomed on last forecast
Cloud Map Zoomed on last forecast. The zoomed map on the last track. (Source: JRC)

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See complete report

Event time line

The storm evolution is shown in the table below. Alert levels and population estimates are related to the area from a point to the next.

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Previous advisories

For accessing reports of previous advisories, please click on the advisory number in the table below.

IDAlert ColorDate (UTC)CategoryMaximum sustained
wind speed (km/h)
Population affected
by cyclone winds (>120km/h)
Affected countries
1 28 Sep 2016 15:00 Category 2 167 No people affected Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Martinique, Barbados, Grenada, Dominica, Trinidad and Tobago, Guadeloupe, Venezuela, Netherlands Antilles, Aruba, Colombia, Haiti, Cuba, Jamaica
2 28 Sep 2016 21:00 Category 2 167 90 thousand Jamaica
3 29 Sep 2016 03:00 Category 2 167 1.2 million Cuba, United States
4 29 Sep 2016 09:00 Category 2 157 1.5 million Cuba, United States
5 29 Sep 2016 15:00 Category 2 157 1.5 million Cuba, United States
6 29 Sep 2016 21:00 Category 2 167 1.5 million Cuba, United States
7 30 Sep 2016 03:00 Category 2 167 1.6 million Cuba, Bahamas, United States
8 30 Sep 2016 06:00 Category 3 194 2.1 million Cuba, Bahamas, United States
9 30 Sep 2016 09:00 Category 3 194 3.4 million Jamaica, Cuba, Bahamas
10 30 Sep 2016 15:00 Category 3 185 2.1 million Jamaica, Cuba, Bahamas
11 30 Sep 2016 21:00 Category 3 204 2.1 million Jamaica, Cuba, Bahamas
12 01 Oct 2016 03:00 Category 4 213 2.6 million Jamaica, Cuba, Bahamas
13 01 Oct 2016 09:00 Category 3 204 2.3 million Jamaica, Cuba, Bahamas
14 01 Oct 2016 15:00 Category 3 204 1.7 million Cuba, United States, Bahamas
15 01 Oct 2016 21:00 Category 3 204 550 thousand Cuba, United States, Bahamas
16 02 Oct 2016 03:00 Category 4 213 890 thousand Haiti, Cuba, Bahamas
17 02 Oct 2016 09:00 Category 4 213 710 thousand Haiti, Cuba, Bahamas
18 02 Oct 2016 15:00 Category 4 213 650 thousand Haiti, Cuba, Bahamas
19 02 Oct 2016 21:00 Category 4 231 520 thousand Haiti, Cuba, Bahamas
20 03 Oct 2016 03:00 Category 4 231 690 thousand Haiti, Cuba, United States, Bahamas
21 03 Oct 2016 09:00 Category 4 213 540 thousand Haiti, United States, Cuba, Bahamas
22 03 Oct 2016 15:00 Category 4 222 800 thousand Haiti, United States, Cuba, Bahamas
23 03 Oct 2016 21:00 Category 4 222 1.6 million Haiti, United States, Cuba, Bahamas
24 04 Oct 2016 03:00 Category 4 231 1.5 million Haiti, United States, Cuba, Bahamas
25 04 Oct 2016 09:00 Category 4 231 1.5 million Haiti, Cuba, Bahamas, United States
26 04 Oct 2016 15:00 Category 4 231 4.2 million Haiti, Cuba, United States, Bahamas
27 04 Oct 2016 21:00 Category 4 222 2.3 million Cuba, Haiti, Bahamas, United States
28 05 Oct 2016 03:00 Category 4 213 2.4 million Cuba, Bahamas, Haiti, United States
29 05 Oct 2016 09:00 Category 4 213 2.5 million Cuba, Bahamas, Haiti, United States
30 05 Oct 2016 15:00 Category 4 213 3 million Cuba, Bahamas, Haiti, United States
31 05 Oct 2016 21:00 Category 4 213 6.1 million Bahamas, Cuba, Haiti, United States
32 06 Oct 2016 03:00 Category 4 213 6.4 million Bahamas, Cuba, United States, Haiti
33 06 Oct 2016 09:00 Category 4 231 5.5 million Bahamas, Cuba, United States, Haiti
34 06 Oct 2016 15:00 Category 4 231 6.6 million Bahamas, United States, Cuba, Haiti
35 06 Oct 2016 21:00 Category 4 222 6.3 million Bahamas, United States, Cuba, Haiti
36 07 Oct 2016 03:00 Category 4 213 3.8 million Bahamas, United States, Cuba, Haiti
37 07 Oct 2016 09:00 Category 3 194 3.8 million United States, Bahamas, Cuba, Haiti
38 07 Oct 2016 15:00 Category 3 194 4.6 million United States, Bahamas, Cuba, Haiti
39 07 Oct 2016 21:00 Category 2 176 5.1 million United States, Bahamas, Cuba, Haiti
40 08 Oct 2016 03:00 Category 2 167 4.9 million United States, Bahamas, Cuba, Haiti
41 08 Oct 2016 09:00 Category 2 167 4.8 million United States, Bahamas, Cuba, Haiti
42 08 Oct 2016 15:00 Category 1 120 4.3 million United States, Bahamas, Cuba, Haiti
43 08 Oct 2016 21:00 Category 1 120 4.8 million United States, Bahamas, Cuba, Haiti
44 09 Oct 2016 03:00 Category 1 120 5 million United States, Bahamas, Cuba, Haiti
45 09 Oct 2016 09:00 Category 1 120 5 million United States, Bahamas, Cuba, Haiti
46 09 Oct 2016 15:00 Category 1 120 5 million United States, Bahamas, Cuba, Haiti
47 09 Oct 2016 21:00 Category 1 120 5 million United States, Bahamas, Cuba, Haiti

More information

Data resources

For a full list of available products related to this event, please refer to the GDACS Resources page.

About the data

JRC set up an automatic routine that includes the Tropical Cyclone (TC) bulletins produced by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) into a single database, covering all TC basins.

JRC calculates areas affected by high winds (wind buffers at 39, 58 and 74mph). This is done using the maximum reported wind radius (maximum of 4 quadrants) or, in case no wind radii are provided, through a regression analysis based on historical data. JRC also calculates the area affected by storm surge using HyFlux2 (hydrodynamic software).

Sources for data on critical infrastructure are: JRC NUMAS database (nuclear plants), ESRI (hydro dams, 1996), Global Discovery (airports, ports and cities).

Population data is from LandScan 2014.

Disclaimer

While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information. The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.