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Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for MATTHEW-16
in United States, Bahamas, Cuba, Haitifrom 28 Sep 2016 15:00 UTC to 06 Oct 2016 03:00 UTC
Automatic impact report for tropical cyclone MATTHEW-16
alertimage

Current Red alert for wind impact in United States, Bahamas, Cuba, Haiti as of 06 Oct 2016 03:00:00 UTC

This tropical cyclone is expected to have a high humanitarian impact based on the storm strength and the affected population in the past and forecasted path.

Current storm status

This report is for advisory number 47 of tropical cyclone MATTHEW-16 issued at 09 Oct 2016 21:00 UTC (GDACS Event ID 1000316, Latest episode ID: 47, inserted at 06 Oct 2016 03:21 UTC ).

Current impact estimate:

  • Population affected by Category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 0.538 million
  • Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph (maximum wind speed of 259 km/h)
  • Vulnerability of affected countries: High

Impact of Extreme Wind

1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9  10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18  19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28  29  30  31  32  33  34  35  36  37  38  39  40  41  42  43  44  45  46  47  
Cloud map
Cloud map. Track and wind-buffer map. Green area: Area that can be affected by winds of more than 64 km/h (Tropical Storm strength). Orange area: Same, for winds of more than 92 km/h. Red area: Same, for winds above 120 km/h (Hurricane or Typhoon strength) (Source: JRC)
Cloud Map Zoomed on last forecast
Cloud Map Zoomed on last forecast. The zoomed map on the last track. (Source: JRC)

Affected population

Up to 6.3 million people people can be affected by wind speeds of cyclone strength or above. In addition, no people people are living in coastal areas below 5m and can therefore be affected by storm surge.

Affected country

Country
The Bahamas
Cuba
United States
Haiti

Affected provinces

Region Province Country Population
Bahamas Bahamas 270000 people
Holguin Cuba 1 million people
Guantanamo Cuba 520000 people
Florida United States 13.4 million people
Grand Anse Haiti -
Sud Haiti 630000 people
Georgia United States 6.7 million people

Affected Populated Places (first 20 records)

(first 20 records)
Name Region Province Country City class Population Distance
Nassau Bahamas The Bahamas Capital 220000 people 208 km
Baracoa Guantánamo Cuba City 47000 people 390 km
Freeport Bahamas The Bahamas City 46000 people 415 km
Boynton Beach Florida United States City 60000 people 506 km
Lake Worth Florida United States City 35000 people 518 km
Palm Beach Florida United States City 10000 people 519 km
West Palm Beach Florida United States City 82000 people 523 km
Riviera Beach Florida United States City 29000 people 527 km
Jérémie Grand'Anse Haiti City 29000 people 577 km
Port Saint Lucie Florida United States City 88000 people 586 km
Fort Pierce Florida United States City 37000 people 599 km
Vero Beach Florida United States City 17000 people 619 km
Les Cayes Sud Haiti City 58000 people 639 km
Yeehaw Junction Florida United States City 21000 people 657 km
Palm Bay Florida United States City 79000 people 664 km
Cocoa Florida United States City 16000 people 701 km
Merritt Island Florida United States City 36000 people 712 km
Titusville Florida United States City 40000 people 726 km
Orlando Florida United States Major city 180000 people 757 km
New Smyrna Beach Florida United States City 20000 people 770 km

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Nearby and affected airports (first 20 records)
Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft) Distance
Lee Stocking 2 0 52 km
Exuma International GGT 3 Civ. Paved No 7000 57 km
Staniel Cay TYM 2 Priv. Paved No 3000 85 km
Normans Cay 2 0 139 km
Congo Town COX 5 Civ. Paved No 5300 148 km
Duncan Town DCT 2 0 151 km
Mangrove Cay MAY unknown 0 158 km
Clarence A Bain 6 Civ. Paved No 5000 164 km
Andros Town ASD 2 Priv. Paved No 4000 202 km
Paradise Island International 2 0 207 km
Nassau International NAS 3 Civ. Paved Yes 11000 211 km
San Andros SAQ 2 Civ. Paved No 4900 248 km
Chub Cay CCZ 2 Priv. Paved No 5000 269 km
Great Harbour Cay GHC 5 Priv. Paved No 4500 297 km
Moa MOA 5 Civ. Paved Yes 5900 340 km
South Bimini 3 Civ. Paved No 5000 386 km
Baracoa BCA 10 Civ. Paved Yes 6000 389 km
Bimini North SPB NSB unknown 0 391 km
Punta de Maisi UMA unknown 0 419 km
Grand Bahama International FPO 2 Civ. Paved Yes 11000 420 km
Major ports (first 20 records)
Name LOCODE Country Distance
Ragged Island The Bahamas 144 km
Andros Town BSASD The Bahamas 204 km
Nassau BSNAS The Bahamas 209 km
Clifton Point BSCLP The Bahamas 214 km
Berry Island The Bahamas 266 km
Nicholls Town The Bahamas 267 km
Moa Cuba 340 km
Punta Gorda Cuba 345 km
Ocean Cay Terminal The Bahamas 361 km
Baracoa CUBCA Cuba 390 km
Bimini Island The Bahamas 391 km
Freeport BSFPO The Bahamas 412 km
Palm Beach USPAB Wake Island 523 km
Jeremie HTJEE Haiti 577 km
Fort Pierce USFPR Wake Island 596 km
Les Cayes HTACA Haiti 639 km
Port Canaveral USPCA Wake Island 696 km
Canaveral Harbor Wake Island 722 km
Saint Augustine Wake Island 870 km
Mayport Wake Island 922 km
Hydro-dams
Reservoir Dam Name River Year Distance
Taylor Creek Structure Taylor Creek 1969 711 km
Structure 60 Alligator Lake 1966 717 km
Structure 58 Trout-Joel Canal C-32C 1969 720 km
Structure 62 Ajay-Hart Canal C-29A 1969 732 km
Sanford Cooling Reservoir Offstream St. Johns River 1971 783 km

See complete report

Event time line

The storm evolution is shown in the table below. Alert levels and population estimates are related to the area from a point to the next.

Advisory Alert color Date (UTC) Category Wind speed Wind gusts Population affected
by cyclone winds (>120km/h)
Location (lat, lon)
1
GREEN
28 Sep 2016 15:00 Tropical storm 93 km/h (57 mph) 111 km/h (69 mph) no people 13.4, -60.7
2
GREEN
28 Sep 2016 21:00 Tropical storm 93 km/h (57 mph) 111 km/h (69 mph) no people 13.8, -62
3
GREEN
29 Sep 2016 03:00 Tropical storm 102 km/h (63 mph) 120 km/h (75 mph) no people 13.9, -63.1
4
GREEN
29 Sep 2016 09:00 Tropical storm 102 km/h (63 mph) 120 km/h (75 mph) no people 14, -64.7
5
GREEN
29 Sep 2016 15:00 Tropical storm 111 km/h (69 mph) 139 km/h (86 mph) no people 14.2, -66.3
6
GREEN
29 Sep 2016 21:00 Category 1 120 km/h (75 mph) 148 km/h (92 mph) no people 14.1, -67.8
7
GREEN
30 Sep 2016 03:00 Category 1 130 km/h (80 mph) 157 km/h (98 mph) no people 14.1, -68.8
8
GREEN
30 Sep 2016 06:00 Category 2 157 km/h (98 mph) 194 km/h (120 mph) no people 14.1, -69.3
9
GREEN
30 Sep 2016 09:00 Category 2 157 km/h (98 mph) 194 km/h (120 mph) no people 14, -69.9
10
GREEN
30 Sep 2016 15:00 Category 3 185 km/h (115 mph) 222 km/h (138 mph) no people 13.7, -70.8
11
GREEN
30 Sep 2016 21:00 Category 4 222 km/h (138 mph) 269 km/h (166 mph) no people 13.5, -71.6
12
GREEN
01 Oct 2016 03:00 Category 5 259 km/h (161 mph) 315 km/h (195 mph) no people 13.3, -72.3
13
GREEN
01 Oct 2016 09:00 Category 4 250 km/h (155 mph) 306 km/h (189 mph) no people 13.3, -72.8
14
GREEN
01 Oct 2016 15:00 Category 4 231 km/h (143 mph) 278 km/h (172 mph) no people 13.4, -73.4
15
GREEN
01 Oct 2016 21:00 Category 4 241 km/h (149 mph) 296 km/h (184 mph) no people 13.5, -73.4
16
GREEN
02 Oct 2016 03:00 Category 4 241 km/h (149 mph) 296 km/h (184 mph) no people 13.8, -73.6
17
GREEN
02 Oct 2016 09:00 Category 4 241 km/h (149 mph) 296 km/h (184 mph) no people 13.9, -74.1
18
GREEN
02 Oct 2016 15:00 Category 4 222 km/h (138 mph) 269 km/h (166 mph) no people 14, -74.6
19
GREEN
02 Oct 2016 21:00 Category 4 231 km/h (143 mph) 278 km/h (172 mph) no people 14.6, -74.8
20
GREEN
03 Oct 2016 03:00 Category 4 231 km/h (143 mph) 278 km/h (172 mph) no people 14.7, -75
21
GREEN
03 Oct 2016 09:00 Category 4 213 km/h (132 mph) 259 km/h (161 mph) no people 15.2, -74.9
22
GREEN
03 Oct 2016 15:00 Category 4 222 km/h (138 mph) 269 km/h (166 mph) no people 15.6, -75
23
GREEN
03 Oct 2016 21:00 Category 4 222 km/h (138 mph) 269 km/h (166 mph) no people 16.3, -74.7
24
RED
04 Oct 2016 03:00 Category 4 231 km/h (143 mph) 278 km/h (172 mph) 530000 people 16.9, -74.6
25
RED
04 Oct 2016 09:00 Category 4 231 km/h (143 mph) 278 km/h (172 mph) 790000 people 17.8, -74.4
26
RED
04 Oct 2016 15:00 Category 4 231 km/h (143 mph) 278 km/h (172 mph) 1.1 million people 18.9, -74.3
27
ORANGE
04 Oct 2016 21:00 Category 4 222 km/h (138 mph) 269 km/h (166 mph) 280000 people 19.8, -74.3
28
ORANGE
05 Oct 2016 03:00 Category 4 213 km/h (132 mph) 259 km/h (161 mph) 270000 people 20.4, -74.4
29
GREEN
05 Oct 2016 09:00 Category 3 204 km/h (126 mph) 250 km/h (155 mph) 70000 people 21.1, -74.6
30
GREEN
05 Oct 2016 15:00 Category 3 194 km/h (120 mph) 231 km/h (143 mph) 6400 people 21.8, -75.2
31
GREEN
05 Oct 2016 21:00 Category 3 194 km/h (120 mph) 241 km/h (149 mph) 7000 people 22.5, -75.7
32
GREEN
06 Oct 2016 03:00 Category 3 185 km/h (115 mph) 222 km/h (138 mph) 230000 people 23.4, -76.4
32
GREEN
06 Oct 2016 12:00 Category 3 194 km/h (120 mph) 241 km/h (149 mph) 270000 people 24.6, -77.6
32
RED
07 Oct 2016 00:00 Category 4 213 km/h (132 mph) 259 km/h (161 mph) 2.1 million people 26.4, -79.2
32
RED
07 Oct 2016 12:00 Category 4 213 km/h (132 mph) 259 km/h (161 mph) 3.5 million people 28.2, -80.4
32
ORANGE
08 Oct 2016 00:00 Category 3 204 km/h (126 mph) 250 km/h (155 mph) 1.3 million people 30.1, -81
32
GREEN
09 Oct 2016 00:00 Category 2 167 km/h (103 mph) 204 km/h (126 mph) no people 32.5, -78.5
32
GREEN
10 Oct 2016 00:00 Category 1 130 km/h (80 mph) 157 km/h (98 mph) no people 32, -75.5
32
GREEN
11 Oct 2016 00:00 Tropical storm 102 km/h (63 mph) 120 km/h (75 mph) no people 30.5, -73.5

Previous advisories

For accessing reports of previous advisories, please click on the advisory number in the table below.

IDAlert ColorDate (UTC)CategoryMaximum sustained
wind speed (km/h)
Population affected
by cyclone winds (>120km/h)
Affected countries
1 28 Sep 2016 15:00 Category 2 167 No people affected Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Martinique, Barbados, Grenada, Dominica, Trinidad and Tobago, Guadeloupe, Venezuela, Netherlands Antilles, Aruba, Colombia, Haiti, Cuba, Jamaica
2 28 Sep 2016 21:00 Category 2 167 90 thousand Jamaica
3 29 Sep 2016 03:00 Category 2 167 1.2 million Cuba, United States
4 29 Sep 2016 09:00 Category 2 157 1.5 million Cuba, United States
5 29 Sep 2016 15:00 Category 2 157 1.5 million Cuba, United States
6 29 Sep 2016 21:00 Category 2 167 1.5 million Cuba, United States
7 30 Sep 2016 03:00 Category 2 167 1.6 million Cuba, Bahamas, United States
8 30 Sep 2016 06:00 Category 3 194 2.1 million Cuba, Bahamas, United States
9 30 Sep 2016 09:00 Category 3 194 3.4 million Jamaica, Cuba, Bahamas
10 30 Sep 2016 15:00 Category 3 185 2.1 million Jamaica, Cuba, Bahamas
11 30 Sep 2016 21:00 Category 3 204 2.1 million Jamaica, Cuba, Bahamas
12 01 Oct 2016 03:00 Category 4 213 2.6 million Jamaica, Cuba, Bahamas
13 01 Oct 2016 09:00 Category 3 204 2.3 million Jamaica, Cuba, Bahamas
14 01 Oct 2016 15:00 Category 3 204 1.7 million Cuba, United States, Bahamas
15 01 Oct 2016 21:00 Category 3 204 550 thousand Cuba, United States, Bahamas
16 02 Oct 2016 03:00 Category 4 213 890 thousand Haiti, Cuba, Bahamas
17 02 Oct 2016 09:00 Category 4 213 710 thousand Haiti, Cuba, Bahamas
18 02 Oct 2016 15:00 Category 4 213 650 thousand Haiti, Cuba, Bahamas
19 02 Oct 2016 21:00 Category 4 231 520 thousand Haiti, Cuba, Bahamas
20 03 Oct 2016 03:00 Category 4 231 690 thousand Haiti, Cuba, United States, Bahamas
21 03 Oct 2016 09:00 Category 4 213 540 thousand Haiti, United States, Cuba, Bahamas
22 03 Oct 2016 15:00 Category 4 222 800 thousand Haiti, United States, Cuba, Bahamas
23 03 Oct 2016 21:00 Category 4 222 1.6 million Haiti, United States, Cuba, Bahamas
24 04 Oct 2016 03:00 Category 4 231 1.5 million Haiti, United States, Cuba, Bahamas
25 04 Oct 2016 09:00 Category 4 231 1.5 million Haiti, Cuba, Bahamas, United States
26 04 Oct 2016 15:00 Category 4 231 4.2 million Haiti, Cuba, United States, Bahamas
27 04 Oct 2016 21:00 Category 4 222 2.3 million Cuba, Haiti, Bahamas, United States
28 05 Oct 2016 03:00 Category 4 213 2.4 million Cuba, Bahamas, Haiti, United States
29 05 Oct 2016 09:00 Category 4 213 2.5 million Cuba, Bahamas, Haiti, United States
30 05 Oct 2016 15:00 Category 4 213 3 million Cuba, Bahamas, Haiti, United States
31 05 Oct 2016 21:00 Category 4 213 6.1 million Bahamas, Cuba, Haiti, United States
32 06 Oct 2016 03:00 Category 4 213 6.4 million Bahamas, Cuba, United States, Haiti
33 06 Oct 2016 09:00 Category 4 231 5.5 million Bahamas, Cuba, United States, Haiti
34 06 Oct 2016 15:00 Category 4 231 6.6 million Bahamas, United States, Cuba, Haiti
35 06 Oct 2016 21:00 Category 4 222 6.3 million Bahamas, United States, Cuba, Haiti
36 07 Oct 2016 03:00 Category 4 213 3.8 million Bahamas, United States, Cuba, Haiti
37 07 Oct 2016 09:00 Category 3 194 3.8 million United States, Bahamas, Cuba, Haiti
38 07 Oct 2016 15:00 Category 3 194 4.6 million United States, Bahamas, Cuba, Haiti
39 07 Oct 2016 21:00 Category 2 176 5.1 million United States, Bahamas, Cuba, Haiti
40 08 Oct 2016 03:00 Category 2 167 4.9 million United States, Bahamas, Cuba, Haiti
41 08 Oct 2016 09:00 Category 2 167 4.8 million United States, Bahamas, Cuba, Haiti
42 08 Oct 2016 15:00 Category 1 120 4.3 million United States, Bahamas, Cuba, Haiti
43 08 Oct 2016 21:00 Category 1 120 4.8 million United States, Bahamas, Cuba, Haiti
44 09 Oct 2016 03:00 Category 1 120 5 million United States, Bahamas, Cuba, Haiti
45 09 Oct 2016 09:00 Category 1 120 5 million United States, Bahamas, Cuba, Haiti
46 09 Oct 2016 15:00 Category 1 120 5 million United States, Bahamas, Cuba, Haiti
47 09 Oct 2016 21:00 Category 1 120 5 million United States, Bahamas, Cuba, Haiti

More information

Data resources

For a full list of available products related to this event, please refer to the GDACS Resources page.

About the data

JRC set up an automatic routine that includes the Tropical Cyclone (TC) bulletins produced by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) into a single database, covering all TC basins.

JRC calculates areas affected by high winds (wind buffers at 39, 58 and 74mph). This is done using the maximum reported wind radius (maximum of 4 quadrants) or, in case no wind radii are provided, through a regression analysis based on historical data. JRC also calculates the area affected by storm surge using HyFlux2 (hydrodynamic software).

Sources for data on critical infrastructure are: JRC NUMAS database (nuclear plants), ESRI (hydro dams, 1996), Global Discovery (airports, ports and cities).

Population data is from LandScan 2014.

Disclaimer

While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information. The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.