Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for OTTO-16
in Nicaragua, Costa Rica
22 Nov 2016 03 UTC
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  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
  • GFS
  • HWRF
  • ECMWF
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone OTTO-16 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Nicaragua, Costa Rica
    Exposed population 60 thousand in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 176 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (24 Nov 17:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Medium (Nicaragua)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 130 km/h 0.8 m n.a. 1.5
    Overall 176 km/h 0.8 m n.a. 1

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      130 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 180000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 21 Nov 2016 09:00 120 --- No people Costa Rica, Nicaragua
        Green 2 21 Nov 2016 15:00 120 --- No people Costa Rica, Nicaragua
        Green 3 21 Nov 2016 18:00 130 --- No people Costa Rica, Nicaragua
        Green 4 21 Nov 2016 21:00 130 --- No people Costa Rica, Nicaragua
        Orange 5 22 Nov 2016 03:00 130 --- 180 thousand Nicaragua, Costa Rica

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 21 Nov 2016 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 11.5, -79.4
          GREEN
          		 2 21 Nov 2016 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 11.5, -79.3
          GREEN
          		 3 21 Nov 2016 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 11.5, -79.3
          GREEN
          		 4 21 Nov 2016 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 11.3, -79.2
          GREEN
          		 5 22 Nov 2016 03:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 10.9, -79.1
          GREEN
          		 5 22 Nov 2016 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 10.8, -79.3
          GREEN
          		 5 23 Nov 2016 00:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 10.9, -79.8
          GREEN
          		 5 23 Nov 2016 12:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 11.1, -80.7
          GREEN
          		 5 24 Nov 2016 00:00 Category 1 130 7100 people 530000 people 11.3, -81.5 Nicaragua
          ORANGE
          		 5 25 Nov 2016 00:00 Category 1 130 180000 people 1.2 million people 11.3, -84 Nicaragua
          GREEN
          		 5 26 Nov 2016 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 11.3, -87.2 Nicaragua
          GREEN
          		 5 27 Nov 2016 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 10.8, -90.5
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Costa Rica
          Nicaragua

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Rio San Juan Nicaragua
          Zelaya Nicaragua
          Alajuela Costa Rica
          Chontales Nicaragua
          Guanacaste Costa Rica
          Rivas Nicaragua

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          San Carlos NCR 50 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Punta Gorda Nicaragua
          San Juan Del Sur NISJS Nicaragua
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          0.8 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.8m in America, Nicaragua. This height is estimated for 24 Nov 2016 17:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (41 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 23 of 26 Nov 2016 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          24 Nov 2016 17:00 America Nicaragua  0.8
          24 Nov 2016 17:00 Buena Vista Nicaragua  0.7
          24 Nov 2016 17:00 Fruta de Pan Nicaragua  0.7
          24 Nov 2016 18:00 Amerisco Nicaragua  0.7
          24 Nov 2016 18:00 Barra del Rio Maiz Nicaragua  0.6
          24 Nov 2016 18:00 Barra Punta Gorda Nicaragua  0.4
          24 Nov 2016 18:00 Monkey Point Nicaragua  0.3
          24 Nov 2016 18:00 El Bluff Nicaragua  0.3
          24 Nov 2016 18:00 Kukra Hill Nicaragua  0.2
          25 Nov 2016 03:00 Nacascolo Costa Rica  0.2
          25 Nov 2016 03:00 Panama Costa Rica  0.2
          25 Nov 2016 03:00 Iguanita Costa Rica  0.2
          25 Nov 2016 02:00 Hacienda Murcielago Costa Rica  0.2
          24 Nov 2016 17:00 Haulover Nicaragua  0.2
          24 Nov 2016 17:00 Laguna de Perlas Nicaragua  0.2
          24 Nov 2016 16:00 Barra Costa Rica  0.2
          24 Nov 2016 16:00 Colorado Costa Rica  0.2
          24 Nov 2016 11:00 Tasbapauni Nicaragua  0.2
          24 Nov 2016 11:00 Set Net Nicaragua  0.2
          25 Nov 2016 03:00 Cacao Costa Rica  0.2
          25 Nov 2016 02:00 Puerto Soleo Costa Rica  0.2
          25 Nov 2016 04:00 Coco Costa Rica  0.2
          25 Nov 2016 04:00 Potrero Costa Rica  0.2
          25 Nov 2016 04:00 Matapalo Costa Rica  0.2
          25 Nov 2016 04:00 Plazuela Costa Rica  0.2
          25 Nov 2016 03:00 Hacienda Santa Elena Costa Rica  0.1
          25 Nov 2016 02:00 El Jobo Costa Rica  0.1
          24 Nov 2016 09:00 Barra de Rio Grande Nicaragua  0.1
          25 Nov 2016 04:00 Brasilito Costa Rica  0.1
          24 Nov 2016 11:00 Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua  0.1
          24 Nov 2016 17:00 Corn Island Nicaragua  0.1
          25 Nov 2016 04:00 Refundores Costa Rica  0.1
          24 Nov 2016 10:00 Wankluma Nicaragua  0.1
          24 Nov 2016 04:00 Ninayeri Nicaragua  0.1
          24 Nov 2016 04:00 Ledakura Nicaragua  0.1
          24 Nov 2016 04:00 Graytown Nicaragua  0.1
          24 Nov 2016 04:00 Awastara Nicaragua  0.1
          25 Nov 2016 04:00 Santa Rosa Costa Rica  0.1
          25 Nov 2016 05:00 Pinilla Costa Rica  0.1
          25 Nov 2016 03:00 Murcielago Costa Rica  0.1
          24 Nov 2016 10:00 Puerto Isabel Nicaragua  0.1