Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for ENAWO-17
in Madagascar
07 Mar 2017 18 UTC
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  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
  • GFS
  • HWRF
  • ECMWF
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone ENAWO-17 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Madagascar
    Exposed population 1.7 million in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 231 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 1 m (07 Mar 14:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 167 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 2.5
    Overall 231 km/h 1.0 m n.a. 2.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      167 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 1.7 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 03 Mar 2017 06:00 231 11.7 million No people Madagascar
        Red 2 03 Mar 2017 18:00 222 14.2 million 2.6 million Madagascar
        Orange 3 04 Mar 2017 06:00 204 6.5 million 1.5 million Madagascar
        Red 4 04 Mar 2017 18:00 204 16 million 5.9 million Madagascar
        Red 5 05 Mar 2017 06:00 185 15.7 million 240 thousand Madagascar
        Red 6 05 Mar 2017 18:00 204 19.1 million 1.2 million Madagascar
        Orange 7 06 Mar 2017 06:00 167 19.3 million 480 thousand Madagascar
        Red 8 06 Mar 2017 18:00 231 21.4 million 1.2 million Madagascar
        Red 9 07 Mar 2017 06:00 231 14.4 million 2 million Madagascar
        Red 10 07 Mar 2017 18:00 167 19.5 million 1.7 million Madagascar

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 03 Mar 2017 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -12.7, 56.8
          GREEN
          		 2 03 Mar 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -13.1, 56.3
          GREEN
          		 3 04 Mar 2017 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people -13.6, 56.5
          GREEN
          		 4 04 Mar 2017 18:00 Category 1 120 no people no people -13.7, 56.9
          GREEN
          		 5 05 Mar 2017 06:00 Category 1 139 no people <1000 people -13.5, 56.1
          GREEN
          		 6 05 Mar 2017 18:00 Category 2 167 no people 550000 people -13.9, 55.1 Madagascar
          GREEN
          		 7 06 Mar 2017 06:00 Category 2 167 no people 2.7 million people -14, 53.8 Madagascar
          RED
          		 8 06 Mar 2017 18:00 Category 4 231 320000 people 4.2 million people -14.5, 52.4 Madagascar
          RED
          		 9 07 Mar 2017 06:00 Category 4 231 1.5 million people 4.8 million people -14.6, 50.6 Madagascar
          RED
          		 10 07 Mar 2017 18:00 Category 2 167 1.2 million people 12.6 million people -15.2, 49.5 Madagascar
          ORANGE
          		 10 08 Mar 2017 06:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 17 million people -16.5, 48.4 Madagascar
          ORANGE
          		 10 08 Mar 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 17.5 million people -18.1, 47.5 Madagascar
          GREEN
          		 10 09 Mar 2017 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people -21.1, 46.8 Madagascar
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Madagascar

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Toamasina Madagascar
          Mahajanga Madagascar
          Antsiranana Madagascar

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Maroantsetra Toamasina Madagascar City 24000 people
          Andapa Antsiranana Madagascar City 20000 people
          Antalaha Antsiranana Madagascar City 34000 people
          Mandritsara Mahajanga Madagascar City -
          Sambava Antsiranana Madagascar City 31000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Maroantsetra WMN 4 Civ. Paved No 4200
          Andapa ZWA 473 Civ. Paved No 4100
          Antalaha Antsirabato ANM 6 Civ. Paved No 3900
          Doany DOA unknown 0
          Mandritsara WMA 307 Civ. Unpaved No 3700
          Sambava SVB 6 Civ. Paved No 5900

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Maroantsetra MGWMN Madagascar
          Antataha MGANM Madagascar
          Sambava MGSVB Madagascar
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          1 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  1.0m in Manambia, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 07 Mar 2017 14:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (184 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 10 of 07 Mar 2017 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          07 Mar 2017 14:00 Manambia Madagascar  1.0
          07 Mar 2017 14:00 Anantoraka Madagascar  1.0
          07 Mar 2017 15:00 Voloina Madagascar  1.0
          07 Mar 2017 14:00 Maroantsetra Madagascar  1.0
          07 Mar 2017 10:00 Ampaha Madagascar  0.9
          07 Mar 2017 13:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.9
          07 Mar 2017 10:00 Ambinany Madagascar  0.9
          07 Mar 2017 10:00 Antalaha Madagascar  0.8
          07 Mar 2017 13:00 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.8
          07 Mar 2017 14:00 Rantabe Madagascar  0.7
          07 Mar 2017 09:00 Andrapengy Madagascar  0.7
          07 Mar 2017 10:00 Anjahamarina Madagascar  0.6
          07 Mar 2017 13:00 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.6
          07 Mar 2017 14:00 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.5
          07 Mar 2017 10:00 Ambodipont-Sahana Madagascar  0.5
          07 Mar 2017 12:00 Benjana Madagascar  0.5
          07 Mar 2017 14:00 Anoromby Madagascar  0.5
          07 Mar 2017 14:00 Manambolosy Madagascar  0.5
          07 Mar 2017 14:00 Fahambahy Madagascar  0.5
          07 Mar 2017 10:00 Ambohitralanana Madagascar  0.5
          07 Mar 2017 14:00 Fananehana Madagascar  0.4
          07 Mar 2017 14:00 Tampolo Madagascar  0.4
          07 Mar 2017 15:00 Mananara Madagascar  0.4
          07 Mar 2017 13:00 Tampolo Madagascar  0.4
          07 Mar 2017 11:00 Antsirabato Madagascar  0.4
          07 Mar 2017 12:00 Ambalabe Madagascar  0.4
          08 Mar 2017 01:00 Manehoko Madagascar  0.4
          07 Mar 2017 11:00 Ambodivato Madagascar  0.4
          07 Mar 2017 10:00 Antalavia Madagascar  0.4
          07 Mar 2017 13:00 Fadrina Madagascar  0.4
          07 Mar 2017 11:00 Ratsianarana Madagascar  0.4
          07 Mar 2017 12:00 Anjanozana Madagascar  0.4
          08 Mar 2017 01:00 Mahavanona Madagascar  0.4
          08 Mar 2017 01:00 Antakobola Madagascar  0.4
          07 Mar 2017 09:00 Amborimalana Madagascar  0.4
          07 Mar 2017 23:00 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.3
          08 Mar 2017 00:00 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.3
          08 Mar 2017 01:00 Antanimandry Madagascar  0.3
          08 Mar 2017 01:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.3
          08 Mar 2017 01:00 Tanambao Madagascar  0.3
          08 Mar 2017 01:00 Anjabe Madagascar  0.3
          08 Mar 2017 01:00 Andranomena Madagascar  0.3
          07 Mar 2017 13:00 Anaovandrano Madagascar  0.3
          07 Mar 2017 23:00 Bobasakoa Madagascar  0.3
          07 Mar 2017 07:00 Antohamaro Madagascar  0.3
          08 Mar 2017 01:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.3
          08 Mar 2017 02:00 Madirotelo Madagascar  0.3
          08 Mar 2017 01:00 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.3
          08 Mar 2017 02:00 Bevoay Madagascar  0.3
          07 Mar 2017 11:00 Ilomotro Madagascar  0.3
          07 Mar 2017 11:00 Andohonko Madagascar  0.3
          07 Mar 2017 11:00 Antsisikala Madagascar  0.3
          08 Mar 2017 02:00 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.3
          08 Mar 2017 02:00 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.3
          07 Mar 2017 14:00 Andilamboahangy Madagascar  0.3
          07 Mar 2017 14:00 Manompana Madagascar  0.3
          08 Mar 2017 00:00 Ampasina Madagascar  0.3
          08 Mar 2017 04:00 Ananalava Madagascar  0.3
          07 Mar 2017 10:00 Rantranavona Madagascar  0.3
          07 Mar 2017 14:00 Ivontaka Madagascar  0.3
          07 Mar 2017 11:00 Fampotabe Madagascar  0.3
          07 Mar 2017 13:00 Ambatoharana Madagascar  0.3
          07 Mar 2017 13:00 Vinanivao Madagascar  0.3
          07 Mar 2017 14:00 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.3
          07 Mar 2017 14:00 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.3
          07 Mar 2017 23:00 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.3
          08 Mar 2017 00:00 Fenerive Madagascar  0.3
          07 Mar 2017 08:00 Farahalana Madagascar  0.3
          07 Mar 2017 13:00 Antanjokatafana Madagascar  0.3
          07 Mar 2017 22:00 Antsahabe Madagascar  0.3
          07 Mar 2017 22:00 Ambodizaotra Madagascar  0.3
          07 Mar 2017 22:00 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.3
          07 Mar 2017 22:00 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.3
          07 Mar 2017 23:00 Manakalana Madagascar  0.3
          07 Mar 2017 21:00 Fandrarazana Madagascar  0.3
          07 Mar 2017 15:00 Antanambe Madagascar  0.3
          08 Mar 2017 00:00 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.3
          07 Mar 2017 14:00 Seranambe Madagascar  0.3
          07 Mar 2017 13:00 Ampanavoana Madagascar  0.3
          08 Mar 2017 03:00 Analalava Madagascar  0.3
          08 Mar 2017 01:00 Antsikafoka Madagascar  0.3
          08 Mar 2017 18:00 Andanivato Madagascar  0.3
          08 Mar 2017 18:00 Ambatojoby Madagascar  0.3
          08 Mar 2017 18:00 Andramy Madagascar  0.3
          08 Mar 2017 18:00 Marotaola Madagascar  0.3
          07 Mar 2017 14:00 Vatobe Madagascar  0.3
          07 Mar 2017 14:00 Manambato Madagascar  0.3
          07 Mar 2017 12:00 Ankazomalemy Madagascar  0.3
          07 Mar 2017 14:00 Ambatobe Madagascar  0.3
          07 Mar 2017 14:00 Antanetilava Madagascar  0.3
          08 Mar 2017 02:00 Mahambo Madagascar  0.3
          07 Mar 2017 23:00 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.3
          07 Mar 2017 14:00 Ambatofitarafana Madagascar  0.2
          08 Mar 2017 00:00 Mandrony Madagascar  0.2
          08 Mar 2017 02:00 Ampandrano Madagascar  0.2
          08 Mar 2017 02:00 Andrafialava Madagascar  0.2
          08 Mar 2017 14:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
          08 Mar 2017 01:00 Maromanjo Madagascar  0.2
          08 Mar 2017 01:00 Andamoty Madagascar  0.2
          08 Mar 2017 01:00 Maromandia Madagascar  0.2
          08 Mar 2017 01:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.2
          08 Mar 2017 03:00 Marovoha Madagascar  0.2
          07 Mar 2017 22:00 Vohilava Madagascar  0.2
          07 Mar 2017 23:00 Tanambe Madagascar  0.2
          08 Mar 2017 03:00 Mailakapasy Madagascar  0.2
          07 Mar 2017 22:00 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.2
          07 Mar 2017 11:00 Ambanisanjo Madagascar  0.2
          08 Mar 2017 01:00 Namahoaka Madagascar  0.2
          08 Mar 2017 03:00 Ampasibe Madagascar  0.2
          07 Mar 2017 23:00 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.2
          07 Mar 2017 22:00 Ambodiatafa Madagascar  0.2
          08 Mar 2017 01:00 Mahatsara Madagascar  0.2
          08 Mar 2017 03:00 Antsahampano Madagascar  0.2
          07 Mar 2017 13:00 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.2
          08 Mar 2017 15:00 Andriana Madagascar  0.2
          07 Mar 2017 21:00 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.2
          07 Mar 2017 13:00 Sambava Madagascar  0.2
          07 Mar 2017 10:00 Maniroka Madagascar  0.2
          08 Mar 2017 04:00 Foulpointe Madagascar  0.2
          08 Mar 2017 14:00 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.2
          08 Mar 2017 08:00 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.2
          07 Mar 2017 07:00 Ambanjsondriry Madagascar  0.2
          08 Mar 2017 00:00 Bejongoro Madagascar  0.2
          07 Mar 2017 23:00 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.2
          07 Mar 2017 12:00 Ampanakana Madagascar  0.2
          07 Mar 2017 13:00 Antanifatsy Madagascar  0.2
          08 Mar 2017 01:00 Marovato Madagascar  0.2
          08 Mar 2017 03:00 Ampasimpilily Madagascar  0.2
          08 Mar 2017 18:00 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.2
          08 Mar 2017 18:00 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.2
          07 Mar 2017 12:00 Mahatsaborimaika Madagascar  0.2
          08 Mar 2017 03:00 Ampitily Madagascar  0.2
          08 Mar 2017 18:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
          08 Mar 2017 18:00 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.2
          08 Mar 2017 18:00 Bevatry Madagascar  0.2
          08 Mar 2017 18:00 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.2
          08 Mar 2017 15:00 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.2
          08 Mar 2017 10:00 Marosakoa Madagascar  0.2
          07 Mar 2017 14:00 Antsorokaka Madagascar  0.1
          07 Mar 2017 10:00 Antongompatatra Madagascar  0.1
          07 Mar 2017 09:00 Bemanevika Madagascar  0.1
          07 Mar 2017 08:00 Ampana Kanana Madagascar  0.1
          07 Mar 2017 16:00 Anjiamalandy Madagascar  0.1
          08 Mar 2017 18:00 Reharaka Madagascar  0.1
          08 Mar 2017 18:00 Soahanina Madagascar  0.1
          08 Mar 2017 18:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
          08 Mar 2017 17:00 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.1
          08 Mar 2017 00:00 Ambaramidada Madagascar  0.1
          07 Mar 2017 22:00 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.1
          07 Mar 2017 14:00 Fararano Madagascar  0.1
          08 Mar 2017 03:00 Antetikireja Madagascar  0.1
          07 Mar 2017 08:00 Tanambao Madagascar  0.1
          07 Mar 2017 07:00 Masondrono Madagascar  0.1
          07 Mar 2017 09:00 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.1
          08 Mar 2017 00:00 Antananabe Madagascar  0.1
          08 Mar 2017 19:00 Voalavo Madagascar  0.1
          08 Mar 2017 17:00 Andranira Madagascar  0.1
          08 Mar 2017 10:00 Ampasitsilavitra Madagascar  0.1
          07 Mar 2017 13:00 Dzamandzar Madagascar  0.1
          08 Mar 2017 09:00 Anjajavy Madagascar  0.1
          08 Mar 2017 18:00 Mahabo Madagascar  0.1
          07 Mar 2017 13:00 Ampasimena Madagascar  0.1
          08 Mar 2017 14:00 Andrafia Madagascar  0.1
          08 Mar 2017 03:00 Taratasy Madagascar  0.1
          08 Mar 2017 19:00 Andranovoribe Madagascar  0.1
          08 Mar 2017 19:00 Baly Madagascar  0.1
          08 Mar 2017 18:00 Manampatra Madagascar  0.1
          08 Mar 2017 19:00 Ankinganomby Madagascar  0.1
          08 Mar 2017 19:00 Anjiajia Madagascar  0.1
          08 Mar 2017 03:00 Ambinanysahavary Madagascar  0.1
          07 Mar 2017 15:00 Ambariomena Madagascar  0.1
          08 Mar 2017 19:00 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.1
          08 Mar 2017 05:00 Singalana Madagascar  0.1
          08 Mar 2017 18:00 Antaribao Madagascar  0.1
          07 Mar 2017 09:00 Antsahotompy Madagascar  0.1
          08 Mar 2017 05:00 Ambodiadabo Madagascar  0.1
          08 Mar 2017 05:00 Androlavy Madagascar  0.1
          08 Mar 2017 03:00 Vohitsara Madagascar  0.1
          08 Mar 2017 03:00 Antetezambaro Madagascar  0.1
          08 Mar 2017 03:00 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.1
          08 Mar 2017 13:00 Mahatsara Madagascar  0.1
          08 Mar 2017 14:00 Marofinaritra Madagascar  0.1
          08 Mar 2017 14:00 Ankarefo Madagascar  0.1
          08 Mar 2017 18:00 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.1