Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for EMILY-17 in United States from 31 Jul 2017 10:00 UTC to 15:00

31 Jul 2017 15 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone EMILY-17 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	United States
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	74 km/h
Maximum storm surge	n.a.
Vulnerability	Low (United States)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	74 km/h	n.a.	n.a.	0.5
Overall	74 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

74 km/h Current Max.

Up to 6 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	31 Jul 2017 10:00	56	No people	No people
2	31 Jul 2017 12:00	74	7.2 million	No people	United States
3	31 Jul 2017 15:00	74	6 million	No people	United States

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	31 Jul 2017 10:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	27.7, -83.5
2	31 Jul 2017 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	4.3 million people	27.7, -83.2	United States
3	31 Jul 2017 15:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	4.5 million people	27.6, -82.8	United States
3	01 Aug 2017 00:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	2.4 million people	27.7, -81.6	United States
3	01 Aug 2017 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	28.9, -79.6
3	02 Aug 2017 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	30.5, -77.7
3	02 Aug 2017 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	32.2, -75.6
3	03 Aug 2017 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	35.3, -70.8
3	04 Aug 2017 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	37.7, -63.5

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
United States

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Florida	United States

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Saint Petersburg	Florida	United States	City	250000 people
Bradenton	Florida	United States	City	50000 people
Largo	Florida	United States	City	69000 people
Clearwater	Florida	United States	City	110000 people
Sarasota	Florida	United States	City	53000 people
Dunedin	Florida	United States	City	36000 people
Town 'n' Country	Florida	United States	City	73000 people
West Chase	Florida	United States	City	11000 people
Palm Harbor	Florida	United States	City	59000 people
Tampa	Florida	United States	Major city	300000 people
East Lake	Florida	United States	City	29000 people
Tarpon Springs	Florida	United States	City	21000 people
Brandon	Florida	United States	City	78000 people
Keystone	Florida	United States	City	15000 people
Plant City	Florida	United States	City	30000 people
Lakeland	Florida	United States	City	78000 people
Bartow	Florida	United States	City	15000 people
Arcadia	Florida	United States	City	6600 people
Winter Haven	Florida	United States	City	26000 people
Lake Wales	Florida	United States	City	10000 people
Avon Park	Florida	United States	City	8500 people
Haines City	Florida	United States	City	13000 people
Sebring	Florida	United States	City	9700 people
Kissimmee	Florida	United States	City	48000 people
Saint Cloud	Florida	United States	City	20000 people
Yeehaw Junction	Florida	United States	City	22000 people
Palm Bay	Florida	United States	City	79000 people
Cocoa	Florida	United States	City	16000 people
Titusville	Florida	United States	City	41000 people
Merritt Island	Florida	United States	City	36000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Florida Power Corp General Hq Helistop		20				0
Bay Pines Veterans Administration		3				0
Albert Whitted	SPG	2	Civ.	Paved	Yes	3600
Thomson Airfield		11				0
Airport Manatee		8				0
Hca L.W. Blake Hospital		5				0
Pinellas County Sherriff's Building		23				0
Pinellas County Mosquito Control		3				0
Sarasota Bradenton	SRQ	9	Civ.	Paved	Yes	7000
Bahia Beach		2				0
St Petersburg Clearwater International	PIE	3	Civ.	Paved	Yes	8500
Mac Dill AFB	MCF	4	Mil.	Paved	Yes	11400
Morton Plant Hospital		1				0
Arbor Office Park		32				0
Memorial Hospital		30				0
Sarasota Dept of Fire-Eescue East Side		8				0
Clearwater Air Park	CLW	22	Civ.	Paved	Yes	3300
Sun City Center Airpark		10				0
Johnson		17				0
L M Hughey		8				0
Wallace 1		6				0
Dunedin		3				0
Dove		4				0
Peter O'Knight	TPF	2	Civ.	Paved	Yes	3400
Tampa International	TPA	8	Civ.	Paved	Yes	11000
Mease Hospital Countryside		10				0
Gulf Aerospace		15				0
Teco Plaza		46				0
Care Flight		9				0
Wimauma Air Park		30				0
Oaks Helistop		4				0
Academy		unknown				0
Broady		9				0
Gator Creek		8				0
Schwartz Farms Inc		16				0
Ems		15				0
Southfork		33				0
Azzmac		12				0
Hidden River		14				0
Hospital Brandon Helistop		15				0
Vandenberg		5				0
Tampa Bay Executive		12				0
Venice Municipal	VNC	6	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5000
Lewis		14				0
Myakka Head		24				0
Hca New Port Richey Hospital		8				0
Plant City Municipal		47	Civ.	Paved	Yes	3300
Hidden Lake		9				0
Buchan		5				0
Topp of Tampa	KYO	21				0
North Port Ems		4				0
South Lakeland		34				0
Regional Medical Center Bayonet Point		3				0
Pilot Country		24				0
Mulberry High School		38				0
Lakeland Municipal	LAL	43	Civ.	Paved	Yes	8500
Gator Lake		34				0
Wauchula Municipal		32				0
Zephyrhills Municipal	ZPH	27	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5000
White Eagle		34				0
Frierson Grove		20				0
Lake Suzy Estates		8				0
St. Joseph Hospital		4				0
Lakeland Regional Medical Center		74				0
Griffins Peace River Ranch		20				0
Mc Donald's Field		16				0
Bartow High School		35				0
Bartow Memorial Hospital		33				0
Lake Gibson		43				0
Little's		35				0
De Soto Memorial Hospital		20				0
Gardner		23				0
Green Swamp Aerodrome		35				0
Arcadia Municipal		18				0
Bartow Municipal	BOW	39	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5000
Carlstrom Field		11				0
Market World		38				0
Ellsworth Field		18				0
Scotty's Inc		45				0
De Soto Aircraft Field		15				0
Hennessy		15				0
Garner Landing		45				0
Burntwood Ranch		36				0
Winter Haven's Gilbert	GIF	45	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5000
Winter Haven Hospital		53				0
Worlds Greatest Aircraft Collection		42				0
Flanders Field		40				0
Cypress Gardens		46				0
Crews Homestead Ranch		27				0
Lake Wales Municipal		38				0
Lazy B I Ranch		38				0
Oak Harbor		40				0
Chalet Suzanne Air Strip		43				0
Lake Hamilton		36				0
Avon Park Municipal	AVO	47	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5300
Griffin's Main Office		38				0
Lake Annie		35				0
Walker Memorial Medical Center		37				0
Sun N Lake		48				0
Lake Wales		38				0

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Port Manatee		Wake Island
Saint Petersburg		Wake Island
Palmetto	USPMT	Wake Island
Sarasota	USSRB	Wake Island
Clearwater	USCXI	Wake Island
Port Tampa	USPOT	Wake Island
Tampa		Wake Island
Tarpon Springs		Wake Island
Port Canaveral	USPCA	Wake Island
Canaveral Harbor		Wake Island

Dams

Reservoir	Dam Name	River	Year
	Lake Manatee Dam	Manatee River	1967
	Manatee Cooling Water Reservoir	Little Manatee River	1975
	Big Four Mine Dam BF-1	Lake Branch of Alfia River	1977
Edward Medard Reservoir	Edward Medard Reservoir Dam	Little Alafia River	1977
	Area E		1974
	West Polk K-1		1966
	Nichols N-4		1978
	Area C		1969
	West Polk A-10		1971
	Payne Creek Settling Area 2		1967
	South Ridgewood		1969
	Noralyn N-15		1974
	Noralyn N-9		1961
	Fort Meade		1972
	Noralyn N-14		1974
	Clear Springs N-12		1968
Lake Hancock	Dam P-11	Saddle Creek	1965
	Clear Springs CS-8		1977
	Lake Hartridge Dam	Lake Conine	1959
Lake Smart	Dam P-6	Canal P6	1965
Lake Fannie	Dam P-7	Canal P7	1965
Lake Hamilton	Dam P-8	Canal P8	1965
	Jack Creek Structure	Jack Creek	1962
	Structure 61	South Port Canal C-35	1964
	Structure 65	Kissimmee River C-38	1964
	Structure 63	Canoe Creek C-34	1966
	Structure 59	St. Cloud C-31	1963
	Structure 60	Alligator Lake	1966
	Structure 58	Trout-Joel Canal C-32C	1969
	Structure 62	Ajay-Hart Canal C-29A	1969
	Taylor Creek Structure	Taylor Creek	1969

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.