Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for EMILY-17 in United States from 31 Jul 2017 10:00 UTC to 21:00

31 Jul 2017 21 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone EMILY-17 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	United States
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	74 km/h
Maximum storm surge	n.a.
Vulnerability	Low (United States)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	74 km/h	n.a.	n.a.	0.5
Overall	74 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

74 km/h Current Max.

Up to 4.7 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	31 Jul 2017 10:00	56	No people	No people
2	31 Jul 2017 12:00	74	7.2 million	No people	United States
3	31 Jul 2017 15:00	74	6 million	No people	United States
4	31 Jul 2017 21:00	74	4.7 million	No people	United States

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	31 Jul 2017 10:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	27.7, -83.5
2	31 Jul 2017 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	4.3 million people	27.7, -83.2	United States
3	31 Jul 2017 15:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	4.5 million people	27.6, -82.8	United States
4	31 Jul 2017 21:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	27.8, -81.7	United States
4	01 Aug 2017 06:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	28.4, -80.2	United States
4	01 Aug 2017 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	29.9, -78.2
4	02 Aug 2017 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	31.4, -76.3
4	02 Aug 2017 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	33, -74
4	03 Aug 2017 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	35.6, -68.7
4	04 Aug 2017 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	38.1, -61.5

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
United States

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Florida	United States

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Lake Wales	Florida	United States	City	10000 people
Bartow	Florida	United States	City	15000 people
Winter Haven	Florida	United States	City	26000 people
Avon Park	Florida	United States	City	8500 people
Haines City	Florida	United States	City	13000 people
Lakeland	Florida	United States	City	78000 people
Sebring	Florida	United States	City	9700 people
Plant City	Florida	United States	City	30000 people
Brandon	Florida	United States	City	78000 people
Kissimmee	Florida	United States	City	48000 people
Saint Cloud	Florida	United States	City	20000 people
Arcadia	Florida	United States	City	6600 people
Tampa	Florida	United States	Major city	300000 people
Town 'n' Country	Florida	United States	City	73000 people
Bradenton	Florida	United States	City	50000 people
West Chase	Florida	United States	City	11000 people
Sarasota	Florida	United States	City	53000 people
Saint Petersburg	Florida	United States	City	250000 people
Keystone	Florida	United States	City	15000 people
East Lake	Florida	United States	City	29000 people
Clearwater	Florida	United States	City	110000 people
Largo	Florida	United States	City	69000 people
Dunedin	Florida	United States	City	36000 people
Palm Harbor	Florida	United States	City	59000 people
Tarpon Springs	Florida	United States	City	21000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Lake Wales Municipal		38				0
Bartow High School		35				0
Bartow Municipal	BOW	39	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5000
Griffin's Main Office		38				0
Chalet Suzanne Air Strip		43				0
Bartow Memorial Hospital		33				0
Lake Wales		38				0
Cypress Gardens		46				0
Crews Homestead Ranch		27				0
Lake Annie		35				0
Winter Haven Hospital		53				0
Walker Memorial Medical Center		37				0
Lazy B I Ranch		38				0
Scotty's Inc		45				0
Southerly		24				0
Avon Park Municipal	AVO	47	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5300
Mulberry High School		38				0
Little's		35				0
Lake Hamilton		36				0
Winter Haven's Gilbert	GIF	45	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5000
Market World		38				0
Sage Seadrome		16				0
White Eagle		34				0
Tiger Lake		16				0
Sun N Lake		48				0
Garner Landing		45				0
Oak Harbor		40				0
Wauchula Municipal		32				0
South Lakeland		34				0
Lakeland Municipal	LAL	43	Civ.	Paved	Yes	8500
Lakeland Regional Medical Center		74				0
Macdill AFB Aux Field		21				0
Gore		41				0
Walker Ranch - Private		20				0
Gator Airpark		21				0
Worlds Greatest Aircraft Collection		42				0
Heart of Florida Medical Center		51				0
Lake Gibson		43				0
Griffins Peace River Ranch		20				0
Highlands Regional Medical Center		32				0
Flanders Field		40				0
Lewis		14				0
River Ranch Resort		17				0
Plant City Municipal		47	Civ.	Paved	Yes	3300
Gardner		23				0
Sebring Regional	SEF	19	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5100
Sunshine Ranchettes		43				0
Southfork		33				0
Green Swamp Aerodrome		35				0
Myakka Head		24				0
Burntwood Ranch		36				0
Gentry		24				0
Lake Persimmon Airstrip		21				0
Frierson Grove		20				0
Wimauma Air Park		30				0
Toho		24				0
Blanket Bay		20				0
Hospital Brandon Helistop		15				0
Kissimmee Municipal	ISM	25	Civ.	Paved	Yes	6000
Sheraton Lakeside Inn		34				0
America's Chopper Pilots		23				0
Orlando Hyatt House		27				0
St Cloud Hospital		21				0
Cole's		21				0
Gold Eagle Helicopters Inc		24				0
Florida Hospital Kissimmee		25				0
Osceola Sheriff's Office		20				0
De Soto Memorial Hospital		20				0
Zephyrhills Municipal	ZPH	27	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5000
Living Seas		30				0
Ellsworth Field		18				0
Grand Cypress Resort		32				0
Placid Lakes		40				0
Vandenberg		5				0
Sun City Center Airpark		10				0
Arcadia Municipal		18				0
Mc Donald's Field		16				0
Academy		unknown				0
Peter O'Knight	TPF	2	Civ.	Paved	Yes	3400
Ems		15				0
De Soto Aircraft Field		15				0
Teco Plaza		46				0
Carlstrom Field		11				0
Bahia Beach		2				0
Azzmac		12				0
Hidden River		14				0
Schwartz Farms Inc		16				0
Care Flight		9				0
Gator Lake		34				0
Mac Dill AFB	MCF	4	Mil.	Paved	Yes	11400
Topp of Tampa	KYO	21				0
Airport Manatee		8				0
L M Hughey		8				0
Tampa International	TPA	8	Civ.	Paved	Yes	11000
Dusty Airpatch		37				0
Thomson Airfield		11				0
Hca L.W. Blake Hospital		5				0
Broady		9				0
Dove		4				0
Gator Creek		8				0

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Tampa		Wake Island
Port Tampa	USPOT	Wake Island
Port Manatee		Wake Island
Palmetto	USPMT	Wake Island
Saint Petersburg		Wake Island
Sarasota	USSRB	Wake Island
Clearwater	USCXI	Wake Island
Tarpon Springs		Wake Island

Dams

Reservoir	Dam Name	River	Year
	Clear Springs CS-8		1977
	Fort Meade		1972
	Noralyn N-9		1961
	Clear Springs N-12		1968
	Noralyn N-14		1974
	Noralyn N-15		1974
	South Ridgewood		1969
Lake Hancock	Dam P-11	Saddle Creek	1965
	Payne Creek Settling Area 2		1967
Lake Hamilton	Dam P-8	Canal P8	1965
Lake Smart	Dam P-6	Canal P6	1965
Lake Fannie	Dam P-7	Canal P7	1965
	Area C		1969
	Lake Hartridge Dam	Lake Conine	1959
	West Polk A-10		1971
	Nichols N-4		1978
	West Polk K-1		1966
	Area E		1974
	Big Four Mine Dam BF-1	Lake Branch of Alfia River	1977
Edward Medard Reservoir	Edward Medard Reservoir Dam	Little Alafia River	1977
	Structure 65	Kissimmee River C-38	1964
	Structure 61	South Port Canal C-35	1964
	Structure 63	Canoe Creek C-34	1966
	Jack Creek Structure	Jack Creek	1962
	Structure 60	Alligator Lake	1966
	Manatee Cooling Water Reservoir	Little Manatee River	1975
	Structure 59	St. Cloud C-31	1963
	Lake Manatee Dam	Manatee River	1967

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.