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Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for FRANKLIN-17 in Mexico from 06 Aug 2017 21:00 UTC to 10 Aug 2017 09:00 UTC
Automatic impact report for tropical cyclone FRANKLIN-17
alertimage

Current Green alert for wind impact in Mexico as of 10 Aug 2017 09:00:00 UTC

This tropical cyclone is expected to have a medium humanitarian impact based on the storm strength and the affected population in the past and forecasted path.

Current storm status

This report is for advisory number 15 of tropical cyclone FRANKLIN-17 issued at 10 Aug 2017 09:00 UTC (GDACS Event ID 1000383, Latest episode ID: 15, inserted at 10 Aug 2017 07:18 UTC ).

Current impact estimate:

  • Population affected by Category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 1.117 million
  • Tropical Storm (maximum wind speed of 139 km/h)
  • Vulnerability of affected countries: Medium

Impact of Extreme Wind

15  14  13  12  11  10  9  8  7  6  5  4  3  2  1  
Cloud map
Cloud map. Track and wind-buffer map. Green area: Area that can be affected by winds of more than 64 km/h (Tropical Storm strength). Orange area: Same, for winds of more than 92 km/h. Red area: Same, for winds above 120 km/h (Hurricane or Typhoon strength) (Source: JRC)
Cloud Map Zoomed on last forecast
Cloud Map Zoomed on last forecast. The zoomed map on the last track. (Source: JRC)

Affected population

Up to 1.7 million people people can be affected by wind speeds of cyclone strength or above. In addition, no people people are living in coastal areas below 5m and can therefore be affected by storm surge.

Affected provinces

Region Province Country Population
Puebla Mexico 4.4 million people
Veracruz Mexico 6.7 million people

Affected Populated Places

Name Region Province Country City class Population Distance
Teziutlán Puebla Mexico City 60000 people 27 km
Zacatlán Puebla Mexico City 29000 people 39 km
Tlapacoyan Veracruz Mexico City 33000 people 42 km
Perote Veracruz Mexico City 32000 people 52 km
Misantla Veracruz Mexico City 22000 people 80 km

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

See complete report

Event time line

The storm evolution is shown in the table below. Alert levels and population estimates are related to the area from a point to the next.

Advisory Alert color Date (UTC) Category Wind speed Wind gusts Population affected
by cyclone winds (>120km/h)
Location (lat, lon)
1
GREEN
06 Aug 2017 21:00 Tropical depression 56 km/h (34 mph) 74 km/h (46 mph) no people 15.6, -82
2
GREEN
07 Aug 2017 03:00 Tropical storm 65 km/h (40 mph) 83 km/h (52 mph) no people 16.4, -83
3
GREEN
07 Aug 2017 09:00 Tropical storm 74 km/h (46 mph) 93 km/h (57 mph) no people 17.1, -84.2
4
GREEN
07 Aug 2017 15:00 Tropical storm 93 km/h (57 mph) 111 km/h (69 mph) no people 17.7, -85.1
5
GREEN
07 Aug 2017 21:00 Tropical storm 93 km/h (57 mph) 111 km/h (69 mph) no people 18.6, -85.9
6
GREEN
08 Aug 2017 03:00 Tropical storm 93 km/h (57 mph) 111 km/h (69 mph) no people 19.1, -87.3
7
GREEN
08 Aug 2017 09:00 Tropical storm 83 km/h (52 mph) 102 km/h (63 mph) no people 19.3, -88.5
8
GREEN
08 Aug 2017 15:00 Tropical storm 74 km/h (46 mph) 93 km/h (57 mph) no people 19.6, -89.6
9
GREEN
08 Aug 2017 21:00 Tropical storm 65 km/h (40 mph) 83 km/h (52 mph) no people 20.2, -90.3
10
GREEN
09 Aug 2017 03:00 Tropical storm 83 km/h (52 mph) 102 km/h (63 mph) no people 20.3, -91.3
11
GREEN
09 Aug 2017 09:00 Tropical storm 102 km/h (63 mph) 120 km/h (75 mph) no people 20.4, -92.7
12
GREEN
09 Aug 2017 15:00 Tropical storm 111 km/h (69 mph) 139 km/h (86 mph) no people 20.2, -93.9
13
ORANGE
09 Aug 2017 21:00 Category 1 120 km/h (75 mph) 148 km/h (92 mph) 1.1 million people 20.1, -94.9
14
ORANGE
10 Aug 2017 03:00 Category 1 139 km/h (86 mph) 167 km/h (103 mph) 1.6 million people 20.2, -96.1
15
GREEN
10 Aug 2017 09:00 Tropical storm 111 km/h (69 mph) 139 km/h (86 mph) no people 19.9, -97.6
15
GREEN
10 Aug 2017 18:00 Tropical depression 56 km/h (34 mph) 74 km/h (46 mph) no people 19.6, -99.8

Previous advisories

For accessing reports of previous advisories, please click on the advisory number in the table below.

IDAlert ColorDate (UTC)CategoryMaximum sustained
wind speed (km/h)
Population affected
by cyclone winds (>120km/h)
Affected countries
15 10 Aug 2017 09:00 Tropical storm 111 1.8 million Mexico
14 10 Aug 2017 03:00 Category 1 139 1.7 million Mexico
13 09 Aug 2017 21:00 Category 1 139 23.7 million Mexico
12 09 Aug 2017 15:00 Category 1 139 1.9 million Mexico
11 09 Aug 2017 09:00 Category 1 130 3.6 million Mexico
10 09 Aug 2017 03:00 Category 1 120 940 thousand Mexico
9 08 Aug 2017 21:00 Tropical storm 111 No people affected Mexico, Guatemala, Belize, Honduras, Nicaragua
8 08 Aug 2017 15:00 Tropical storm 111 No people affected Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua
7 08 Aug 2017 09:00 Tropical storm 111 No people affected Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua
6 08 Aug 2017 03:00 Category 1 120 No people affected Mexico, Belize, Honduras, Nicaragua
5 07 Aug 2017 21:00 Category 1 120 No people affected Mexico, Belize, Honduras, Guatemala, Nicaragua
4 07 Aug 2017 15:00 Tropical storm 111 No people affected Honduras, Belize, Mexico, Nicaragua, Guatemala
3 07 Aug 2017 09:00 Tropical storm 102 No people affected Honduras, Nicaragua, Belize, Mexico, Guatemala
2 07 Aug 2017 03:00 Tropical storm 111 No people affected Honduras, Nicaragua, Belize, Mexico
1 06 Aug 2017 21:00 Tropical storm 111 No people affected Belize, Mexico

More information

Data resources

For a full list of available products related to this event, please refer to the GDACS Resources page.

About the data

The information on storm characteristics is taken from a web service provided by the Pacific Disaster Center, which processes the official advisory bulletins.

JRC calculates areas affected by high winds (wind buffers at 39, 58 and 74mph). This is done using the maximum reported wind radius (maximum of 4 quadrants) or, in case no wind radii are provided, through a regression analysis based on historical data. JRC also calculates the area affected by storm surge using HyFlux2 (hydrodynamic software).

Sources for data on critical infrastructure are: JRC NUMAS database (nuclear plants), ESRI (hydro dams, 1996), Global Discovery (airports, ports and cities).

Population data is from LandScan 2010.

Disclaimer

While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information. The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.