Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for HARVEY-17
in United States

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HARVEY-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Glide number: TC-2017-000123-USA
Exposed countries United States
Exposed population 500 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 213 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (21 Aug 19:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (United States)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 102 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 213 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

102 km/h Current Max.

Up to 3.5 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 17 Aug 2017 15:00 120 2.7 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Honduras, Nicaragua, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala
Green 2 17 Aug 2017 21:00 111 4 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Nicaragua, Honduras, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala
Green 3 18 Aug 2017 03:00 111 2.8 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Nicaragua, Honduras, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala
Green 4 18 Aug 2017 09:00 111 2.3 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Honduras, Nicaragua, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala
Green 5 18 Aug 2017 15:00 111 4.3 million No people Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Saint Lucia, Grenada, Barbados, Honduras, Nicaragua, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala
Green 6 18 Aug 2017 21:00 111 2.6 million No people Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada, Saint Lucia, Barbados, Nicaragua, Honduras, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala
Green 7 19 Aug 2017 03:00 102 3.5 million No people Grenada, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Saint Lucia, Barbados, Nicaragua, Honduras, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 17 Aug 2017 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.1, -54.1
GREEN
2 17 Aug 2017 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 13, -55.8
GREEN
3 18 Aug 2017 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 290000 people 13, -57.4 Barbados
GREEN
4 18 Aug 2017 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 500000 people 13.1, -59.1 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
GREEN
5 18 Aug 2017 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 290000 people 13.1, -61.3 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
GREEN
6 18 Aug 2017 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 13.4, -62.9
GREEN
7 19 Aug 2017 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 13.7, -64.1
GREEN
7 19 Aug 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 14, -66.8
GREEN
7 20 Aug 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 14.3, -70.4
GREEN
7 20 Aug 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 14.5, -74.3
GREEN
7 21 Aug 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 240000 people 14.8, -78.1 Honduras
GREEN
7 22 Aug 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 1.4 million people 16.5, -84.7 Guatemala
GREEN
7 23 Aug 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 1.9 million people 18, -89.5 Guatemala
GREEN
7 24 Aug 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 19, -92.5 Mexico
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Grenada
St. Vincent & the Grenadines
St. Lucia
Barbados
Honduras
Nicaragua
Mexico
Belize
Guatemala

Provinces

Region Province Country
Grenada Grenada
St. Vincent & the Grenadines Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
St. Lucia Saint Lucia
Barbados Barbados
Zelaya Nicaragua
Gracias a Dios Honduras
Olancho Honduras
Colon Honduras
Yoro Honduras
Islas de la Bahia Honduras
Atlantida Honduras
Quintana Roo Mexico
Belize Belize
Corozal Belize
Stann Creek Belize
Toledo Belize
Orange Walk Belize
Cayo Belize
Peten Guatemala
Campeche Mexico
Chiapas Mexico
Tabasco Mexico

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Kingstown Saint George St. Vincent and the Grenadines Capital 18000 people
Castries Castries St. Lucia Capital 13000 people
Bridgetown Saint Michael Barbados Capital 97000 people
Trujillo Colón Honduras City 9600 people
Sonaguera Colón Honduras City 11000 people
La Ceiba Atlántida Honduras City 130000 people
Stann Creek Town Stann Creek Belize City -
Belize City Belize Belize City -
Chetumal Quintana Roo Mexico Major city 130000 people
Belmopan Cayo Belize Capital 13000 people
Tenosique Tabasco Mexico City 32000 people
Balancan Tabasco Mexico City 11000 people
Emiliano Zapata Tabasco Mexico City 18000 people
Ciudad del Carmen Campeche Mexico City -
Frontera Tabasco Mexico City 23000 people
Jalpa Tabasco Mexico City 15000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Union Island UNI unknown 0
Carriacou CRU unknown 0
J F Mitchell 4 Civ. Paved No 3600
Palm Island PLI unknown 0
Canouan 5 Civ. Paved No 3600
E T Joshua SVD 20 Civ. Paved Yes 4600
Vigie SLU 6 Civ. Paved Yes 6200
Hewanorra International UVF 3 Civ. Paved Yes 9000
Grantley Adams International BGI 52 Civ. Paved Yes 11000
Puerto Lempira PEU 8 Civ. Unpaved No 5000
Islas del Cisne 12 Civ. Unpaved No 4600
Mocoron / Durzuna 76 0
Ahuas AHS 30 0
Brus Laguna Araslaya BHG unknown 0
Iriona IRN unknown 0
Limon LMH unknown 0
Bonito Oriental 22 0
Trujillo Capiro TJI unknown 0
Trujillo 3 0
Guanaja GJA 11 0
Tocoa TCF unknown 0
Roatan Island RTB 2 Civ. Paved Yes 6300
Goloson International LCE 15 Civ. Paved Yes 9600
Utila Island UII unknown 0
San Pedro SPR 1 0
Caye Chapel CYC unknown 0
Silver Creek SVK unknown 0
Melinda MDB unknown 0
Philip S. W. Goldson International BZE 5 Civ. Paved Yes 7100
Independence INB unknown 0
Sartaneja SJX unknown 0
Chetumal International CTM 12 Civ. Paved Yes 7200
Corozal Municipal CZH unknown 0
Santa Cruz STU unknown 0
Dangriga DGA unknown 0
Orange Walk ORZ unknown 0
Melchor de Mencos MCR unknown 0
Uaxactun UAX unknown 0
Dos Lagunas Peten DON unknown 0
Santa Elena FRS 128 Civ. Paved Yes 10000
Carmelita CMM unknown 0
Paso Caballos PCG unknown 0
Xam XAM unknown 0
San Pedro Tabasco 46 0
Tenosique 25 0
Ciudad del Carmen CME 2 Civ. Paved Yes 7200
Ciudad Pemex 6 0
Capitan Carlos Perez VSA 13 Civ. Paved Yes 7200

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Kingstown VCKTN Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Admiralty Bay Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Cul de Sac Bay LCCDS Saint Lucia
Castries LCSLU Saint Lucia
Vieux Fort Saint Lucia
Speightstown Barbados
Bridgetown BBBGI Barbados
Cape Gracias A Dios Honduras
Puerto Lempire Honduras
Caratasco Honduras
Islas Santanilla Honduras
Guanaja Island HNGJA Honduras
Trujillo Honduras
Puerto Castilla HNPCA Honduras
Coxen Bay Honduras
La Ceiba HNLCE Honduras
Puerto Este Honduras
Utila Island Honduras
Stann Creek Belize
Belize BZBZE Belize
Chetumal MXCTM Mexico
Corozal Belize
Ciudad Del Carmen MXCME Mexico
Frontera MXFRN Mexico
Dos Bocas MXDBT Mexico

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Dapat, Honduras. This height is estimated for 21 Aug 2017 19:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (74 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 7 of 19 Aug 2017 03:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
21 Aug 2017 19:00 Dapat Honduras  0.3
21 Aug 2017 19:00 Kaski Honduras  0.3
23 Aug 2017 03:00 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.3
21 Aug 2017 20:00 Barra de Caratasca Honduras  0.2
22 Aug 2017 21:00 Chetumal Mexico  0.2
22 Aug 2017 21:00 Calderita Mexico  0.2
23 Aug 2017 03:00 Paso Real Mexico  0.2
21 Aug 2017 17:00 Kanko Honduras  0.2
21 Aug 2017 17:00 Raya Honduras  0.2
21 Aug 2017 17:00 Clubki Honduras  0.2
21 Aug 2017 17:00 Canco Honduras  0.2
21 Aug 2017 15:00 Irlaya Honduras  0.2
21 Aug 2017 17:00 Tay Lirila Honduras  0.2
23 Aug 2017 03:00 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.2
22 Aug 2017 19:00 San Pedro Belize  0.2
21 Aug 2017 17:00 Barra Kruta Honduras  0.2
21 Aug 2017 17:00 Cauauira Honduras  0.2
21 Aug 2017 20:00 Yahurabila Honduras  0.2
21 Aug 2017 17:00 Patlaya Honduras  0.2
21 Aug 2017 15:00 Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.2
21 Aug 2017 21:00 Tusi Cocal Honduras  0.2
22 Aug 2017 21:00 Santeneja Belize  0.2
22 Aug 2017 06:00 Barranco Blanco Honduras  0.2
21 Aug 2017 17:00 Pusuaya Honduras  0.2
23 Aug 2017 01:00 Majahual Mexico  0.2
22 Aug 2017 05:00 Guanaja Honduras  0.1
22 Aug 2017 21:00 Mullins Belize  0.1
21 Aug 2017 15:00 Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.1
21 Aug 2017 18:00 Claura Honduras  0.1
21 Aug 2017 22:00 Barra del Patuca Honduras  0.1
21 Aug 2017 20:00 Huarta Honduras  0.1
21 Aug 2017 21:00 Mocobila Honduras  0.1
22 Aug 2017 15:00 Stann Creek Town Belize  0.1
22 Aug 2017 15:00 Freetown Area Belize  0.1
22 Aug 2017 04:00 Trujillo Honduras  0.1
18 Aug 2017 16:00 Calliaqua St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
18 Aug 2017 16:00 Union St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
21 Aug 2017 18:00 Uhi Honduras  0.1
21 Aug 2017 21:00 Rio Platano Honduras  0.1
22 Aug 2017 05:00 Red Cliff Honduras  0.1
23 Aug 2017 03:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
22 Aug 2017 06:00 Empalme Honduras  0.1
22 Aug 2017 07:00 Puerto Castilla Honduras  0.1
18 Aug 2017 11:00 Sam Lord's Castle Barbados  0.1
18 Aug 2017 11:00 Speightstown Barbados  0.1
18 Aug 2017 11:00 Mullins Bay Barbados  0.1
18 Aug 2017 11:00 Holetown Barbados  0.1
18 Aug 2017 11:00 Collins Barbados  0.1
18 Aug 2017 11:00 Saint Lawrence Gap Barbados  0.1
18 Aug 2017 11:00 Oistins Barbados  0.1
18 Aug 2017 11:00 Bathsheba Barbados  0.1
18 Aug 2017 11:00 Gibbons Barbados  0.1
18 Aug 2017 11:00 Bridgetown Barbados  0.1
18 Aug 2017 15:00 Mustique St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
18 Aug 2017 14:00 Georgetown St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
18 Aug 2017 15:00 Canouan St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
18 Aug 2017 15:00 Kingstown St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
18 Aug 2017 15:00 Chateaubelair St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
21 Aug 2017 23:00 Tasbarraya Honduras  0.1
21 Aug 2017 23:00 Bruner Honduras  0.1
22 Aug 2017 06:00 Barbareta Honduras  0.1
23 Aug 2017 03:00 Calderas Mexico  0.1
22 Aug 2017 22:00 Xcalak Mexico  0.1
22 Aug 2017 00:00 La Puerta Honduras  0.1
22 Aug 2017 00:00 Donel Honduras  0.1
22 Aug 2017 03:00 Pital Honduras  0.1
18 Aug 2017 15:00 Fancy St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
22 Aug 2017 05:00 Black Rock Honduras  0.1
22 Aug 2017 07:00 Alligartor Nose Honduras  0.1
22 Aug 2017 07:00 Santa Elena Honduras  0.1
23 Aug 2017 03:00 Dos Hermanas Mexico  0.1
22 Aug 2017 20:00 Bacalar Chico Belize  0.1
21 Aug 2017 23:00 El Urraco Honduras  0.1
21 Aug 2017 23:00 Iriona Honduras  0.1