Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for OPHELIA-17
in Ireland, United Kingdom
12 Oct 2017 15 UTC
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  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone OPHELIA-17 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Ireland, United Kingdom
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 185 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.1 m (14 Oct 20:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability -- (Ireland)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 148 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 185 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      148 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 23000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 09 Oct 2017 09:00 93 No people No people
        Green 2 09 Oct 2017 15:00 120 No people No people
        Green 3 09 Oct 2017 21:00 120 No people No people
        Green 4 10 Oct 2017 03:00 139 No people No people
        Green 5 10 Oct 2017 09:00 139 No people No people
        Green 6 10 Oct 2017 15:00 130 No people No people
        Green 7 10 Oct 2017 21:00 130 No people No people
        Green 8 11 Oct 2017 03:00 130 No people No people
        Green 9 11 Oct 2017 09:00 139 No people No people
        Green 10 11 Oct 2017 15:00 130 No people No people
        Green 11 11 Oct 2017 21:00 139 790 thousand No people Portugal, Ireland
        Green 12 12 Oct 2017 03:00 148 2.9 million 30 thousand Ireland
        Green 13 12 Oct 2017 09:00 148 2.7 million 10 thousand Ireland, United Kingdom
        Green 14 12 Oct 2017 15:00 148 4.5 million 20 thousand Ireland, United Kingdom

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 09 Oct 2017 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 31.1, -39.9
          GREEN
          		 2 09 Oct 2017 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 31.4, -39.9
          GREEN
          		 3 09 Oct 2017 21:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 31.5, -39.6
          GREEN
          		 4 10 Oct 2017 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 32.3, -39
          GREEN
          		 5 10 Oct 2017 09:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 31.9, -38.8
          GREEN
          		 6 10 Oct 2017 15:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 31.5, -38.3
          GREEN
          		 7 10 Oct 2017 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 31.1, -38
          GREEN
          		 8 11 Oct 2017 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 30.7, -37.6
          GREEN
          		 9 11 Oct 2017 09:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 30.2, -37
          GREEN
          		 10 11 Oct 2017 15:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 30, -36.5
          GREEN
          		 11 11 Oct 2017 21:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 30, -36.1
          GREEN
          		 12 12 Oct 2017 03:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 30, -35.7
          GREEN
          		 13 12 Oct 2017 09:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 30.3, -35.6
          GREEN
          		 14 12 Oct 2017 15:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 30.5, -35.6
          GREEN
          		 14 13 Oct 2017 00:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 30.9, -34.9
          GREEN
          		 14 13 Oct 2017 12:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 31.6, -33.4
          GREEN
          		 14 14 Oct 2017 00:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 32.7, -30.8
          GREEN
          		 14 14 Oct 2017 12:00 Category 1 139 no people 150000 people 34.4, -27.3 Portugal
          GREEN
          		 14 15 Oct 2017 12:00 Category 1 139 no people 200000 people 40.9, -18.8 Ireland
          GREEN
          		 14 16 Oct 2017 12:00 Category 1 120 23000 people 4.4 million people 51, -12.5 United Kingdom
          GREEN
          		 14 17 Oct 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 60.5, -5.5
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Ireland
          United Kingdom

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Connacht Ireland
          Scotland United Kingdom

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Belmullet BLY unknown 0
          Benbecula BEB 6 Civ. Paved Yes 5400

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Blacksod Point Ireland
          Belmullet Ireland
          Benbecula United Kingdom
          North Uist United Kingdom
          Lochmaddy GBLMA United Kingdom
          Lewis United Kingdom
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.1 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.1m in Sao Lourenco, Portugal. This height is estimated for 14 Oct 2017 20:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (2 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 14 of 12 Oct 2017 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          14 Oct 2017 20:00 Sao Lourenco Portugal  0.1
          14 Oct 2017 19:00 Vila do Porto Portugal  0.1