Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for OPHELIA-17
in Ireland, United Kingdom

Impact

Tropical Cyclone OPHELIA-17 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (NOAA)
Exposed countries Ireland, United Kingdom
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 185 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability -- (Ireland)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 157 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5
GDACS Overall 185 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

157 km/h Current

Up to 300000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Green 1 09 Oct 2017 09:00 93 No people No people
Green 2 09 Oct 2017 15:00 120 No people No people
Green 3 09 Oct 2017 21:00 120 No people No people
Green 4 10 Oct 2017 03:00 139 No people No people
Green 5 10 Oct 2017 09:00 139 No people No people
Green 6 10 Oct 2017 15:00 130 No people No people
Green 7 10 Oct 2017 21:00 130 No people No people
Green 8 11 Oct 2017 03:00 130 No people No people
Green 9 11 Oct 2017 09:00 139 No people No people
Green 10 11 Oct 2017 15:00 130 No people No people
Green 11 11 Oct 2017 21:00 139 790 thousand No people Portugal, Ireland
Green 12 12 Oct 2017 03:00 148 2.9 million 30 thousand Ireland
Green 13 12 Oct 2017 09:00 148 2.7 million 10 thousand Ireland, United Kingdom
Green 14 12 Oct 2017 15:00 148 4.5 million 20 thousand Ireland, United Kingdom
Green 15 12 Oct 2017 21:00 157 10.6 million 300 thousand Ireland, United Kingdom

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon)
GREEN
1 09 Oct 2017 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 31.1, -39.9
GREEN
2 09 Oct 2017 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 31.4, -39.9
GREEN
3 09 Oct 2017 21:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 31.5, -39.6
GREEN
4 10 Oct 2017 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 32.3, -39
GREEN
5 10 Oct 2017 09:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 31.9, -38.8
GREEN
6 10 Oct 2017 15:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 31.5, -38.3
GREEN
7 10 Oct 2017 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 31.1, -38
GREEN
8 11 Oct 2017 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 30.7, -37.6
GREEN
9 11 Oct 2017 09:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 30.2, -37
GREEN
10 11 Oct 2017 15:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 30, -36.5
GREEN
11 11 Oct 2017 21:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 30, -36.1
GREEN
12 12 Oct 2017 03:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 30, -35.7
GREEN
13 12 Oct 2017 09:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 30.3, -35.6
GREEN
14 12 Oct 2017 15:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 30.5, -35.6
GREEN
15 12 Oct 2017 21:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 30.4, -35.5
GREEN
15 13 Oct 2017 06:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 31, -34.6
GREEN
15 13 Oct 2017 18:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 31.9, -32.6
GREEN
15 14 Oct 2017 06:00 Category 1 139 5700 people no people 33.2, -29.6
GREEN
15 14 Oct 2017 18:00 Category 1 139 140000 people no people 35, -25.6
GREEN
15 15 Oct 2017 18:00 Category 1 139 3.2 million people 21000 people 42.6, -17.1
GREEN
15 16 Oct 2017 18:00 Category 1 120 10.4 million people 280000 people 53, -10
GREEN
15 17 Oct 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 62.5, -2
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Countries

Country
Ireland
United Kingdom

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Munster Ireland 1 million people
Connacht Ireland 420000 people
Ulster Ireland 230000 people
Scotland United Kingdom 5.1 million people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population Distance
Caisleán an Bharraigh Mayo (Maigh Eo) Ireland City 7500 people 3349 km
Sligo Sligo (Sligeach) Ireland City 18000 people 3420 km

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft) Distance
Caherciveen Reenroe CHE unknown 0 3166 km
Inishmore Kilronan IOR unknown 0 3273 km
Spiddal Connemara NNR unknown 0 3295 km
Knock International NOC 203 Civ. Paved Yes 7500 3377 km
Collooney SXL 6 Civ. Paved Yes 3900 3415 km
Donegal Carrickfin CFN 8 Civ. Paved Yes 4900 3482 km
Tiree TRE 12 Civ. Paved No 4800 3658 km
Coll Island COL unknown 0 3678 km
Isle of Skye Broadford SKL unknown 0 3747 km

Ports

Name LOCODE Country Distance
Valencia Harbor Ireland 3161 km
Ventry Ireland 3172 km
Aran Island Ireland 3276 km
Clifden IECLI Ireland 3286 km
Killary Harbour Ireland 3304 km
Westport Ireland 3333 km
Burg Ireland 3359 km
Fischerhutte Ireland 3368 km
Ballina Ireland 3375 km
Killala Ireland 3381 km
Sligo IESLI Ireland 3420 km
Glencolumbkille Ireland 3439 km
Killybegs IEKBS Ireland 3447 km
Donegal Ireland 3465 km
Burton Port Ireland 3475 km
Bunbeg Ireland 3484 km
Bloody Foreland Ireland 3492 km
Tory Island Ireland 3503 km
Scarinish United Kingdom 3660 km
Arinagour United Kingdom 3681 km
Rhum United Kingdom 3724 km
Dunvegan United Kingdom 3739 km
Skye United Kingdom 3741 km
Portree GBPRT United Kingdom 3755 km
Broadford United Kingdom 3756 km
Uig GBUIG United Kingdom 3760 km
Gairloch United Kingdom 3800 km
Aultbea GBLHE United Kingdom 3813 km
Aultbea United Kingdom 3816 km
Lochinver United Kingdom 3851 km
Badcall United Kingdom 3860 km
Kinlochbervie United Kingdom 3877 km

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

No locations affected by storm surge > 10 cm

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 15 of 12 Oct 2017 21:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)