Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KAI-TAK-17
in Malaysia, Viet Nam, Brunei Darussalam, Indonesia, Philippines
15 Dec 2017 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone KAI-TAK-17 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Malaysia, Viet Nam, Brunei Darussalam, Indonesia, Philippines
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 93 km/h
    Maximum storm surge n.a.
    Vulnerability High (Malaysia)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 93 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
    Overall 93 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      93 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 110.5 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 13 Dec 2017 18:00 65 19.8 million No people Philippines
        Green 2 14 Dec 2017 00:00 74 11.5 million No people Philippines
        Green 3 14 Dec 2017 06:00 74 13 million No people Philippines
        Green 4 14 Dec 2017 12:00 74 41.8 million No people Philippines
        Green 5 14 Dec 2017 18:00 83 81.7 million No people Philippines, Malaysia
        Green 6 15 Dec 2017 00:00 83 87.8 million No people Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, Brunei Darussalam
        Orange 7 15 Dec 2017 06:00 65 109.7 million No people Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, Brunei Darussalam, Viet Nam
        Green 8 15 Dec 2017 12:00 93 77.6 million No people Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, Brunei Darussalam, Viet Nam
        Green 9 15 Dec 2017 18:00 93 110.5 million No people Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, Brunei Darussalam, Viet Nam

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 13 Dec 2017 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 11.3, 127.3
          GREEN
          		 2 14 Dec 2017 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people 1.9 million people 11.2, 127.3 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 3 14 Dec 2017 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people 2.9 million people 11.1, 126.9 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 4 14 Dec 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 5.6 million people 11.5, 127.7 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 5 14 Dec 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 7.6 million people 11.5, 127.5 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 6 15 Dec 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 6.2 million people 11.7, 127.7 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 7 15 Dec 2017 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 7.1 million people 11.7, 127.6 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 8 15 Dec 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 7.5 million people 11.6, 127.8 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 9 15 Dec 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 30.1 million people 12.1, 127.1 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 9 16 Dec 2017 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 30.1 million people 12.3, 126 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 9 16 Dec 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 101.8 million people 12.2, 124.4 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 9 17 Dec 2017 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 102.9 million people 11.9, 122.8 Malaysia
          GREEN
          		 9 17 Dec 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 95.9 million people 11.6, 121.1 Malaysia
          GREEN
          		 9 18 Dec 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 22.6 million people 11, 118.3 Malaysia
          GREEN
          		 9 19 Dec 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 9.4 million people 10.1, 115.5 Viet Nam
          GREEN
          		 9 20 Dec 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 8.7, 112.6
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
          Philippines no people
          Indonesia no people
          Malaysia no people
          Brunei no people
          Vietnam no people

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Eastern Visayas Philippines
          Northern Mindanao Philippines
          Southern Mindanao Philippines
          Bicol Philippines
          Central Visayas Philippines
          Western Visayas Philippines
          Southern Tagalog Philippines
          Central Mindanao Philippines
          Western Mindanao Philippines
          Central Luzon Philippines
          National Capital Region Philippines
          Cagayan Valley Philippines
          Ilocos Philippines
          Cordillera Administrative Region Philippines
          Sabah Malaysia
          Kalimantan Timur Indonesia
          Sarawak Malaysia
          Brunei Brunei Darussalam
          Phu Yen Viet Nam
          Khanh Hoa Viet Nam
          Ninh Thuan Viet Nam
          Binh Thuan Viet Nam
          Lam Dong Viet Nam

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Guiuan Eastern Visayas Philippines City 11000 people
          Tacloban Tacloban City Philippines City 190000 people
          Tanauan Eastern Visayas Philippines City 16000 people
          Palo Eastern Visayas Philippines City 18000 people
          Babatñgon Leyte Philippines City -
          Dulag Eastern Visayas Philippines City 10000 people
          Burauen Eastern Visayas Philippines City 14000 people
          Barugo Leyte Philippines City 6500 people
          Calbayog Eastern Visayas Philippines City 68000 people
          Carigara Leyte Philippines City 17000 people
          Ormoc Eastern Visayas Philippines City 91000 people
          Bulan Bicol Philippines City 28000 people
          Bogo Central Visayas Philippines City 23000 people
          Danao Danao City Philippines City 69000 people
          Butuan Northern Mindanao Philippines City 250000 people
          Cebu Central Visayas Philippines City 790000 people
          Mambajao Northern Mindanao Philippines City 10000 people
          Fabrica Western Visayas Philippines City -
          Cadiz Western Visayas Philippines City 130000 people
          Argao Central Visayas Philippines City 6100 people
          Naga Bicol Philippines City 140000 people
          Calamba Central Visayas Philippines City 2700 people
          Silay Western Visayas Philippines City 83000 people
          Talisay Western Visayas Philippines City 76000 people
          Roxas Western Visayas Philippines City 100000 people
          Bacolod Western Visayas Philippines City 450000 people
          Cagayan de Oro Northern Mindanao Philippines City -
          Malaybalay Northern Mindanao Philippines City 61000 people
          Dumaguete Central Visayas Philippines City 110000 people
          Tanjay Central Visayas Philippines City 39000 people
          Kalibo Western Visayas Philippines City 56000 people
          Iloilo Iloilo City Philippines City 390000 people
          Kabankalan Western Visayas Philippines City 130000 people
          Tagum Southern Mindanao Philippines City 170000 people
          Iligan Central Mindanao Philippines City 260000 people
          Oroquieta Northern Mindanao Philippines City 39000 people
          Zamboanguita Negros Oriental Philippines City 6100 people
          Marawi Central Mindanao Philippines City 140000 people
          Dipolog Western Mindanao Philippines City 93000 people
          Davao Southern Mindanao Philippines Major city 1.2 million people
          San Jose Western Visayas Philippines City 23000 people
          Tambulig Western Mindanao Philippines City 7400 people
          Pagadian Western Mindanao Philippines City 130000 people
          Digos Southern Mindanao Philippines City 110000 people
          Cotabato Central Mindanao Philippines City 180000 people
          Lucena Southern Tagalog Philippines City 230000 people
          Santa Cruz Southern Tagalog Philippines City 110000 people
          San Pablo Southern Tagalog Philippines City 200000 people
          Lipa Southern Tagalog Philippines City 210000 people
          Batangas Southern Tagalog Philippines City 240000 people
          Calamba Southern Tagalog Philippines City 310000 people
          Binangonan Southern Tagalog Philippines City 220000 people
          Santa Rosa Southern Tagalog Philippines City 2700 people
          Binãn Southern Tagalog Philippines City 200000 people
          Antipolo Southern Tagalog Philippines City 540000 people
          Taytay Southern Tagalog Philippines City 230000 people
          Silang Southern Tagalog Philippines City 120000 people
          San Mateo Southern Tagalog Philippines City 130000 people
          Quezon City National Capital Region Philippines Major city 1.7 million people
          Imus Southern Tagalog Philippines City 210000 people
          Manila National Capital Region Philippines Capital 10.2 million people
          Cavite Cavite City Philippines City 120000 people
          Naic Southern Tagalog Philippines City 55000 people
          Meycauayan Central Luzon Philippines City 180000 people
          Baliuag Central Luzon Philippines City 130000 people
          San Miguel Central Luzon Philippines City 66000 people
          Pulilan Central Luzon Philippines City 76000 people
          Malolos Central Luzon Philippines City 200000 people
          Hagonoy Central Luzon Philippines City 120000 people
          Cabanatuan Central Luzon Philippines City 220000 people
          San Fernando Central Luzon Philippines City 250000 people
          Guagua Central Luzon Philippines City 9300 people
          Angeles Central Luzon Philippines City 290000 people
          Santiago Cagayan Valley Philippines City 110000 people
          Tarlac Central Luzon Philippines City 180000 people
          Zamboanga Western Mindanao Philippines City 460000 people
          Olongapo Central Luzon Philippines City 220000 people
          Cabagan Cagayan Valley Philippines City 25000 people
          Tuguegarao Cagayan Valley Philippines City 110000 people
          Baguio Cordillera Administrative Region Philippines City 270000 people
          Dagupan Ilocos Philippines City 140000 people
          Puerto Princesa Philippines City 160000 people
          Sandakan Sabah Malaysia City 390000 people
          Lahad Datu Sabah Malaysia City 100000 people
          Tawau Sabah Malaysia City 310000 people
          Kota Kinabalu Sabah Malaysia City 450000 people
          Victoria Wilayah Persekutuan Labuan Malaysia City -
          Bandar Seri Begawan Brunei Darussalam Capital 63000 people
          Pekan Seria Brunei Darussalam City -
          Miri Sarawak Malaysia City 230000 people
          Nha Trang Khanh Hoa Vietnam City 280000 people
          Cam Ranh Ninh Thuan Vietnam City 150000 people
          Phan Rang Ninh Thuan Vietnam City 91000 people
          Hòa Da Binh Thuan Vietnam City -
          Phan Thiet Binh Thuan Vietnam City 160000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Dolores 2 0
          Borongan 2 0
          Guiuan 2 Civ. Paved No 7000
          Daniel Z Romualdez TAC 2 Civ. Paved Yes 7000
          Catbalogan 15 0
          Catarman CRM 2 Civ. Paved No 4400
          Siargao 3 0
          Calbayog CYP 3 Civ. Paved No 4800
          Biliran Natl 89 0
          Ormoc OMC 25 Civ. Paved No 3900
          Nonoc 4 0
          Surigao SUG 6 Civ. Paved No 5000
          Philphos 5 0
          Maasin 100 0
          Sorsogon 37 Civ. Unpaved No 3200
          Tandag TDG 5 Civ. Paved No 4400
          Virac VRC 37 Civ. Paved No 5100
          Ubay 8 0
          Masbate MBT 15 Civ. Paved No 3900
          Legaspi LGP 20 Civ. Paved No 6800
          Butuan BXU 43 Civ. Paved No 6000
          Mactan-Cebu International NOP 11 Civ. Paved Yes 10800
          Lahug 29 0
          Camiguin CGM 5 Civ. Paved No 4200
          Sicogon Island ICO unknown 0
          Bislig BPH 3 Civ. Paved No 3900
          Tagbilaran TAG 5 Civ. Paved No 4100
          Naga WNP 43 Civ. Paved No 4600
          Roxas RXS 3 Civ. Paved No 6200
          Bacolod BCD 9 Civ. Paved Yes 6400
          Malaybalay 625 Civ. Unpaved No 3100
          Lumbia CGY 186 Civ. Paved Yes 7800
          Daet DTE 3 Civ. Paved No 3700
          Baganga BNQ unknown 0
          Siquijor 27 0
          Dumaguete DGT 5 Civ. Paved No 6100
          Kalib0 KLO 6 Civ. Paved No 6000
          Iloilo ILO 7 Civ. Paved Yes 6800
          Larap 5 0
          Maria Cristina IGN 396 Civ. Paved No 4500
          Romblon TBH 3 Civ. Paved No 3900
          Caticlan Malay MPH unknown 0
          Ozamis OZC 5 Civ. Paved No 4200
          Dipolog DPL 4 Civ. Paved No 6100
          Basay Cdcp 101 0
          Francisco Bangoy International DVO 27 Civ. Paved Yes 8200
          Antique 7 Civ. Paved No 3400
          Marinduque MRQ 5 Civ. Paved No 4500
          Malabang MLP 8 Civ. Paved No 4200
          Wasig 5 0
          Pagbilao Grande Island 4 0
          Pagadian PAG 2 Civ. Paved No 5500
          Pinamalayan 32 0
          Lucena 12 Civ. Unpaved No 3200
          Awang CBO 58 Civ. Paved No 6200
          San Jose SJI 3 Civ. Paved No 6000
          Cuyo CYU unknown 0
          Fernando AB 372 Mil. Paved No 4900
          Surallah (Aallah Valley) AAV 183 Civ. Unpaved No 4500
          Ipil IPE unknown 0
          Ninoy Aquino International MNL 23 Civ. Paved Yes 12200
          Mamburao MBO 4 Civ. Paved No 3900
          Sangley Point AB SGL 2 Mil. Paved No 8600
          Baler BQA 9 Civ. Paved No 3900
          Siocon XSO unknown 0
          Palanan 50 Civ. Unpaved No 3200
          Fort Magsaysay 57 Mil. Paved No 6300
          Busuanga USU 45 Civ. Paved No 3900
          Coron XCN unknown 0
          Culion CUJ unknown 0
          Lubang LBX 5 Civ. Paved No 3900
          Basa AB 46 Mil. Paved No 8300
          Cauayan CYZ 61 Civ. Paved No 5700
          Clark AB CRK 146 Civ. Paved Yes 10400
          Luzon Is Cubi Pt NCP unknown 0
          Zamboanga International ZAM 9 Civ. Paved Yes 8500
          Subic Bay International Airpt SFS 17 Civ. Paved Yes 9000
          Mrmp 117 0
          Bagabag 249 Civ. Paved No 3200
          Basilan 235 0
          Tuguegarao TUG 21 Civ. Paved No 5900
          El Nido ENI unknown 0
          Loakan BAG 1292 Civ. Paved No 5500
          Iba 3 Civ. Paved No 3200
          Lingayen 2 0
          San Fernando SFE 4 Civ. Paved No 3900
          Vigan 4 Civ. Paved No 3400
          Jolo JOL 37 Civ. Paved No 4900
          Puerto Princesa International PPS 6 Civ. Paved Yes 8500
          Cagayan de Sulu CDY 30 0
          Sahabat 16 SXS unknown 0
          Tomanggong TMG unknown 0
          Sandakan SDK 14 Civ. Paved Yes 6900
          Lahad Datu LDU 14 Civ. Paved Yes 4500
          Pamol PAY unknown 0
          Kudat KUD unknown 0
          Wakuba 17 Civ. Paved Yes 5600
          Telupid TEL unknown 0
          Long Pasia GSA unknown 0
          Kota Belud 14 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Borongan PHBGV Philippines
          Guiuan Philippines
          Gen Macarthur Philippines
          Laoang Philippines
          Catbalogan PHCTS Philippines
          Tacloban PHTAC Philippines
          Tanauan Philippines
          Talalora Philippines
          Calbayog Philippines
          Lagome Philippines
          Numancia Philippines
          Dapa Philippines
          Baybay Philippines
          Leyte Philippines
          Ormoc Philippines
          Sogod Philippines
          Calubian Philippines
          Liloan Philippines
          Port Bello Philippines
          Merida Philippines
          Arevalo Philippines
          Surigao PHSUG Philippines
          San Isidro Philippines
          Villaba Philippines
          Pilar Philippines
          Malitbog Philippines
          Palompon Philippines
          Isabel PHISL Philippines
          Maasin Philippines
          Casiguran Philippines
          Tandag Philippines
          Virac Catanduanes Island Philippines
          Sorsogon Philippines
          Bulan Philippines
          Bogo Philippines
          Borbon Philippines
          Magallanes Bay Philippines
          Aras Asan Philippines
          Sogod Bay Philippines
          Coal Harbor Philippines
          Santa Fe Philippines
          Carmen Philippines
          Masbate Philippines
          Legazpi PHLGP Philippines
          Masbate PHMBT Philippines
          Guindulman Bay Philippines
          Tabaco / Legaspi PHTBC Philippines
          Butuan Philippines
          Jetafe Philippines
          Tuburan Philippines
          Tabaco Philippines
          Donsol Philippines
          Nasipit PHNAS Philippines
          Nasipit PHNAS Philippines
          Mandaue Philippines
          Jagna Philippines
          Cebu PHCEB Philippines
          Port Barrera Philippines
          Mambajao Philippines
          Lamon Anchorage Philippines
          Tubigan Philippines
          Odiongan Philippines
          Hinatuan Philippines
          Sangi PHSNG Philippines
          Gingoog PHGIN Philippines
          Sangi PHTLD Philippines
          Cadiz Philippines
          Pinamungajan Philippines
          Carlos Philippines
          Bislig / Mindanao PHBPH Philippines
          Maribojoc Philippines
          Sibonga Philippines
          Tagbilaran PHTAG Philippines
          Dumanjug Philippines
          Tandoc PHTDC Philippines
          Villanueva PHVNV Philippines
          Tagoloan Mis. Or / Cagayan de Or PHTGO Philippines
          Silay Philippines
          Bacolod PHBCD Philippines
          Port Capiz Philippines
          Cagayan de Oro PHCGY Philippines
          Mercedes Philippines
          Pulupandan PHPUL Philippines
          Lazi Philippines
          San Sebastian Philippines
          Bais / Dumaguete PHBAI Philippines
          Paracale Philippines
          Dumaguete PHDGT Philippines
          Cartagena / Iloilo PHCRT Philippines
          Port Ragay Philippines
          Romblon Island PHRLN Philippines
          Caraga Philippines
          Iligan PHIGN Philippines
          Inamucan Bay Philippines
          Oroquieta Philippines
          Jose Panganiban PHJPM Philippines
          Baliango Philippines
          Dahikan Philippines
          Catanauan Philippines
          Pandan Philippines

          Dams

          Reservoir Dam Name River Year
          Pulangi 4 Pulangi 1986
          Caliraya Caliraya Caliraya 1949
          Angat Angat 1968
          Masiway Upper Papanga 1977
          Pantabangan Upper Papanga 1974
          Magat Magat 1983
          Binga Agno 1959
          Ambuklao Agno 1955
          Danhim Da Nhim 1964
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.