Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for JOYCE-18
in Australia
09 Jan 2018 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone JOYCE-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Australia
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 139 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 1 m (11 Jan 18:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Low (Australia)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 93 km/h 1.0 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 139 km/h 1.0 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      93 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 31000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 09 Jan 2018 18:00 93 30 thousand No people Australia

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 09 Jan 2018 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people 22000 people -17.6, 123.3 Australia
          GREEN
          		 1 10 Jan 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 22000 people -18, 122 Australia
          GREEN
          		 1 10 Jan 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 16000 people -18.9, 121.5 Australia
          GREEN
          		 1 11 Jan 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 8300 people -20.3, 121 Australia
          GREEN
          		 1 11 Jan 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 7600 people -23.1, 119.9 Australia
          GREEN
          		 1 12 Jan 2018 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people -27.9, 117.5 Australia
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Australia

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Western Australia Australia

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Derby Western Australia Australia City -
          Broome Western Australia Australia City 13000 people
          Newman Western Australia Australia City -

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Derby DRB 7 Civ. Paved Yes 5600
          Carroll 91 Civ. Paved Yes 10000
          Myroodah MYO unknown 0
          Broome BME 17 Civ. Paved Yes 7800
          Mandora MQA unknown 0
          Wallal WLA unknown 0
          Warrawagine WRW unknown 0
          Shay Gap SGP unknown 0
          Mt. Goldsworthy GLY unknown 0
          Muccan MUQ unknown 0
          Nifty NIF 295 0
          Woodie Woodie WWI unknown 0
          Marble Bar MBB unknown 0
          Nullagine NLL unknown 0
          Shaw River SWB unknown 0
          Roy Hill RHL unknown 0
          Newman ZNE 525 Civ. Paved Yes 6700
          Meekatharra MKR 522 Civ. Paved Yes 7100
          Cue CUY 442 Civ. Unpaved No 6400
          Big Bell BBE unknown 0
          Mount Magnet MMG 411 Civ. Unpaved Yes 5000

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Derby AUDRB Coral Sea Islands
          Beagle Bay Coral Sea Islands
          Broome AUBME Coral Sea Islands
          Cape Leveque Coral Sea Islands
          Lagrange Coral Sea Islands
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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          1 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  1.0m in Thangoo, Australia. This height is estimated for 11 Jan 2018 18:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (16 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 12 of 12 Jan 2018 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          11 Jan 2018 18:00 Thangoo Australia  1.0
          11 Jan 2018 02:00 Derby Australia  0.9
          11 Jan 2018 18:00 Broome Australia  0.7
          11 Jan 2018 18:00 Waterbank Australia  0.6
          11 Jan 2018 17:00 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.6
          10 Jan 2018 22:00 Pender Australia  0.5
          11 Jan 2018 01:00 Kollan I Australia  0.4
          12 Jan 2018 14:00 Condon Australia  0.3
          11 Jan 2018 05:00 Larrakeyah Australia  0.2
          11 Jan 2018 05:00 Nightcliff Australia  0.2
          11 Jan 2018 05:00 Fannie Bay Australia  0.2
          11 Jan 2018 05:00 Parap Australia  0.2
          11 Jan 2018 05:00 Darwin Australia  0.2
          11 Jan 2018 05:00 Ludmilla Australia  0.2
          11 Jan 2018 05:00 Bagot Australia  0.2
          11 Jan 2018 05:00 Leanyer Australia  0.2