Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KELVIN-18
in Australia
17 Feb 2018 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone KELVIN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Australia
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 148 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (17 Feb 07:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Low (Australia)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 93 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 148 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      93 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 21000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 16 Feb 2018 06:00 148 3 thousand Few people Australia
        Green 2 16 Feb 2018 12:00 148 20 thousand Few people Australia
        Green 3 16 Feb 2018 18:00 130 3 thousand Few people Australia
        Green 4 17 Feb 2018 00:00 102 30 thousand No people Australia
        Green 5 17 Feb 2018 06:00 102 20 thousand No people Australia
        Green 6 17 Feb 2018 12:00 93 20 thousand No people Australia

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 16 Feb 2018 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people <1000 people -18, 121.4 Australia
          GREEN
          		 2 16 Feb 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 1200 people -18.4, 120.9 Australia
          GREEN
          		 3 16 Feb 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people <1000 people -18.5, 120.6 Australia
          GREEN
          		 4 17 Feb 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 5800 people -18.8, 120.2 Australia
          GREEN
          		 5 17 Feb 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 2100 people -18.9, 120.4 Australia
          GREEN
          		 6 17 Feb 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 16000 people -19.2, 120.7 Australia
          GREEN
          		 6 18 Feb 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 16000 people -19.6, 121.4 Australia
          GREEN
          		 6 18 Feb 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 7600 people -20.4, 122 Australia
          GREEN
          		 6 19 Feb 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 5000 people -21.6, 122.4 Australia
          GREEN
          		 6 19 Feb 2018 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -22.9, 122.5 Australia
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Australia

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Western Australia Australia

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Mount Goldsworthy Western Australia Australia City -
          Broome Western Australia Australia City 13000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Wallal WLA unknown 0
          Mandora MQA unknown 0
          Mt. Goldsworthy GLY unknown 0
          Shay Gap SGP unknown 0
          Pardoo PRD unknown 0
          Muccan MUQ unknown 0
          Warrawagine WRW unknown 0
          Broome BME 17 Civ. Paved Yes 7800
          Woodie Woodie WWI unknown 0
          Nifty NIF 295 0
          Telfer TEF 295 Civ. Paved Yes 6500

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Lagrange Coral Sea Islands
          Broome AUBME Coral Sea Islands
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          0.7 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Derby, Australia. This height is estimated for 17 Feb 2018 07:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (7 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 6 of 17 Feb 2018 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          17 Feb 2018 07:00 Derby Australia  0.7
          17 Feb 2018 19:00 Thangoo Australia  0.5
          17 Feb 2018 18:00 Broome Australia  0.4
          17 Feb 2018 18:00 Waterbank Australia  0.3
          17 Feb 2018 18:00 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.3
          17 Feb 2018 05:00 Kollan I Australia  0.3
          17 Feb 2018 05:00 Pender Australia  0.2