Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BERYL-18
in Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BERYL-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 157 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (09 Jul 04:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Guadeloupe)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 120 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 157 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

120 km/h Current Max.

Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 05 Jul 2018 15:00 65 No people No people
Green 2 05 Jul 2018 21:00 120 No people No people
Green 3 06 Jul 2018 03:00 120 No people No people
Green 4 06 Jul 2018 09:00 139 590 thousand No people Martinique, Dominica, Guadeloupe
Green 5 06 Jul 2018 15:00 157 10.7 million 70 thousand Dominica
Green 6 06 Jul 2018 21:00 148 5.8 million 390 thousand Martinique
Green 7 07 Jul 2018 03:00 139 4.9 million 370 thousand Martinique
Green 8 07 Jul 2018 09:00 120 560 thousand No people Saint Lucia, Martinique, Dominica

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 05 Jul 2018 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 10.2, -41.4
GREEN
2 05 Jul 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 10.3, -42.8
GREEN
3 06 Jul 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 10.4, -44
GREEN
4 06 Jul 2018 09:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 10.6, -45.1
GREEN
5 06 Jul 2018 15:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 10.7, -46.5
GREEN
6 06 Jul 2018 21:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 10.6, -47.8
GREEN
7 07 Jul 2018 03:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 10.9, -48.9
GREEN
8 07 Jul 2018 09:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 11.1, -49.8
GREEN
8 07 Jul 2018 18:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 11.7, -51.6
GREEN
8 08 Jul 2018 06:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 12.6, -54.4
GREEN
8 08 Jul 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 560000 people 13.7, -57.9 Dominica
GREEN
8 09 Jul 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 380000 people 14.8, -61.6 Dominica
GREEN
8 10 Jul 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 17.2, -70
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Hyacinthe, Martinique. This height is estimated for 09 Jul 2018 04:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (9 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 8 of 07 Jul 2018 09:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Jul 2018 04:00 Hyacinthe Martinique  0.6
09 Jul 2018 04:00 Lero Martinique  0.2
09 Jul 2018 05:00 Fonds Panier Martinique  0.2
09 Jul 2018 03:00 Le Vauclin Martinique  0.2
09 Jul 2018 05:00 Sainte Pierre Martinique  0.1
09 Jul 2018 05:00 Basse-Pointe Martinique  0.1
09 Jul 2018 04:00 Fort-de-France Martinique  0.1
09 Jul 2018 04:00 Sainte-Anne Martinique  0.1
09 Jul 2018 04:00 Les Anses dArlets Martinique  0.1