Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIRK-18
in Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada, Barbados
29 Sep 2018 03 UTC
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  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone KIRK-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada, Barbados
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 93 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (27 Sep 22:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Medium (St. Vincent & the Grenadines)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 65 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 93 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      65 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 1.2 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 22 Sep 2018 15:00 93 No people No people
        Green 2 22 Sep 2018 21:00 93 290 thousand No people Barbados
        Green 3 23 Sep 2018 03:00 93 290 thousand No people Barbados
        Green 4 23 Sep 2018 09:00 93 480 thousand No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada
        Green 5 23 Sep 2018 15:00 93 560 thousand No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
        Green 6 23 Sep 2018 21:00 93 610 thousand No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
        Green 7 24 Sep 2018 03:00 65 610 thousand No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada
        Green 8 24 Sep 2018 09:00 74 580 thousand No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada
        Green 9 24 Sep 2018 15:00 65 No people No people
        Green 10 26 Sep 2018 09:00 83 1.5 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Dominica, Guadeloupe, Montserrat
        Green 11 26 Sep 2018 15:00 83 1.5 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Martinique, Dominica, Guadeloupe, Montserrat
        Green 12 26 Sep 2018 21:00 93 1.5 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Dominica, Guadeloupe, Montserrat, Virgin Islands, U.S.
        Green 13 27 Sep 2018 03:00 83 1.2 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Dominica, Guadeloupe
        Green 14 27 Sep 2018 09:00 83 1.4 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Dominica, Guadeloupe
        Green 15 27 Sep 2018 15:00 83 1.3 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Dominica, Guadeloupe
        Green 16 27 Sep 2018 21:00 83 1.4 million No people Martinique, Saint Lucia, Barbados, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Dominica, Guadeloupe
        Green 17 28 Sep 2018 03:00 83 1.2 million No people Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Martinique, Dominica, Grenada, Barbados, Guadeloupe
        Green 18 28 Sep 2018 09:00 83 1.2 million No people Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Dominica, Barbados, Guadeloupe
        Green 19 28 Sep 2018 15:00 74 1.2 million No people Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Dominica, Guadeloupe, Barbados
        Green 20 28 Sep 2018 21:00 65 1.2 million No people Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada, Barbados
        Green 21 29 Sep 2018 03:00 65 1.2 million No people Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada, Barbados

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 22 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 8.3, -23.6
          GREEN
          		 2 22 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 8.6, -24.8
          GREEN
          		 3 23 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 9, -26.4
          GREEN
          		 4 23 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 9.1, -28
          GREEN
          		 5 23 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 9.3, -30.2
          GREEN
          		 6 23 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 9.5, -32.3
          GREEN
          		 7 24 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 9.4, -35.5
          GREEN
          		 8 24 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 9.5, -37.4
          GREEN
          		 9 24 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 10, -39.5
          GREEN
          		 10 26 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 11.8, -52.7
          GREEN
          		 11 26 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 12.1, -54.3
          GREEN
          		 12 26 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 290000 people 12.7, -55.7 Barbados
          GREEN
          		 13 27 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 290000 people 13, -57 Barbados
          GREEN
          		 14 27 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 1 million people 13.5, -58.3 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
          GREEN
          		 15 27 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 1.1 million people 13.8, -59.3 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
          GREEN
          		 16 27 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 1.4 million people 14.2, -60.2 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
          GREEN
          		 17 28 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 1.2 million people 13.8, -61.4 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
          GREEN
          		 18 28 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 280000 people 13.2, -62.5 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
          GREEN
          		 19 28 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 13.8, -63.6
          GREEN
          		 20 28 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 14.7, -64.7
          GREEN
          		 21 29 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 15.1, -65.8
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Guadeloupe
          Dominica
          Martinique
          St. Lucia
          St. Vincent & the Grenadines
          Grenada
          Barbados

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Guadeloupe Guadeloupe
          Dominica Dominica
          Martinique Martinique
          St. Lucia Saint Lucia
          St. Vincent & the Grenadines Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
          Grenada Grenada
          Barbados Barbados

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Roseau Saint George Dominica Capital 17000 people
          Fort-de-France Martinique Capital 89000 people
          Kingstown Saint George St. Vincent and the Grenadines Capital 18000 people
          Castries Castries St. Lucia Capital 13000 people
          Saint George's Saint George Grenada Capital 4300 people
          Bridgetown Saint Michael Barbados Capital 97000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Terre-de-Bas HTB unknown 0
          Terre de Haut LSS unknown 0
          Canefield 4 Civ. Paved No 2500
          Dominica Cane DCF unknown 0
          Melville Hall DOM 24 Civ. Paved Yes 4800
          Marie Galante GBJ 5 Civ. Paved Yes 4000
          Le Lamentin FDF 5 Civ. Paved Yes 10800
          Vigie SLU 6 Civ. Paved Yes 6200
          E T Joshua SVD 20 Civ. Paved Yes 4600
          J F Mitchell 4 Civ. Paved No 3600
          Hewanorra International UVF 3 Civ. Paved Yes 9000
          Union Island UNI unknown 0
          Canouan 5 Civ. Paved No 3600
          Carriacou CRU unknown 0
          Palm Island PLI unknown 0
          Point Salines International GND 12 Civ. Paved Yes 9000
          Grantley Adams International BGI 52 Civ. Paved Yes 11000

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Bourg Des Saintes Guadeloupe
          Portsmouth DMPOR Dominica
          Roseau DMRSU Dominica
          Grand Bourg Guadeloupe
          Saint Louis Guadeloupe
          Saint Pierre Martinique
          Fort de France MQFDF Martinique
          La Trinite Martinique
          Le Robert Martinique
          Cul de Sac Bay LCCDS Saint Lucia
          Castries LCSLU Saint Lucia
          Le Marin Martinique
          Kingstown VCKTN Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
          Admiralty Bay Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
          Vieux Fort Saint Lucia
          Saint George's GDSTG Grenada
          Speightstown Barbados
          Bridgetown BBBGI Barbados

          Dams

          Reservoir Dam Name River Year
          Saint Pierre la Manzo Manche 1978
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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.2 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Bridgetown, Barbados. This height is estimated for 27 Sep 2018 22:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (75 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 8 of 24 Sep 2018 09:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          27 Sep 2018 22:00 Bridgetown Barbados  0.2
          28 Sep 2018 05:00 Calliaqua St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.2
          28 Sep 2018 05:00 Union St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.2
          27 Sep 2018 21:00 Saint Lawrence Gap Barbados  0.2
          27 Sep 2018 21:00 Oistins Barbados  0.2
          27 Sep 2018 21:00 Gibbons Barbados  0.2
          28 Sep 2018 05:00 Kingstown St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.2
          28 Sep 2018 04:00 Mustique St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.2
          27 Sep 2018 21:00 Sam Lord's Castle Barbados  0.2
          27 Sep 2018 21:00 Holetown Barbados  0.2
          28 Sep 2018 04:00 Georgetown St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.2
          26 Sep 2018 06:00 Burnside Suriname  0.2
          26 Sep 2018 06:00 Totness Suriname  0.2
          27 Sep 2018 20:00 San Fernando Trinidad and Tobago  0.2
          27 Sep 2018 22:00 Speightstown Barbados  0.2
          27 Sep 2018 22:00 Mullins Bay Barbados  0.2
          27 Sep 2018 21:00 Collins Barbados  0.2
          27 Sep 2018 21:00 Bathsheba Barbados  0.2
          28 Sep 2018 04:00 Canouan St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.2
          28 Sep 2018 01:00 Cacandee Settlement Trinidad and Tobago  0.2
          28 Sep 2018 03:00 Port-of-Spain Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 05:00 Engagement Umbrella St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
          27 Sep 2018 23:00 Carapichaima Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 05:00 Hyacinthe Martinique  0.1
          26 Sep 2018 07:00 Nieuw Amsterdam Suriname  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 03:00 Dibe Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 01:00 Belle Garden Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 01:00 Speyside Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 07:00 L'Appelle Grenada  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 07:00 Ashton St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
          27 Sep 2018 22:00 California Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 04:00 Argyle Grenada  0.1
          27 Sep 2018 20:00 Plaisance Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
          27 Sep 2018 20:00 Hermitage Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 00:00 Grande Riviere Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
          27 Sep 2018 23:00 Salibea Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 01:00 Rampanalgas Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 01:00 Redhead Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 00:00 Scarborough Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 00:00 Matelot Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 03:00 Vieux Fort St. Lucia  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 05:00 Soufriere St. Lucia  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 09:00 Caimancito Venezuela  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 09:00 Guamache Venezuela  0.1
          27 Sep 2018 22:00 Mount Pleasant Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 00:00 Castara Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 01:00 La Retraite Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 01:00 Coolie Block Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 01:00 La Pastora Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 03:00 Las Cuevas Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
          27 Sep 2018 23:00 Blanchisseuse Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 05:00 Castries St. Lucia  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 03:00 Cap Estate St. Lucia  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 03:00 Bosquet d'Or St. Lucia  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 03:00 Sainte-Anne Martinique  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 07:00 Fancy St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 03:00 Fonds Panier Martinique  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 03:00 Anbre St. Lucia  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 03:00 Le Vauclin Martinique  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 07:00 Prickley Bay Grenada  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 07:00 Victoria Grenada  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 07:00 Thebaide Grenada  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 07:00 Grenville Grenada  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 07:00 Chateaubelair St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 07:00 Saint George's Grenada  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 07:00 The Lance Grenada  0.1
          26 Sep 2018 04:00 Nieuw Nickerie Suriname  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 06:00 Guaca Venezuela  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 04:00 Carupano Venezuela  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 04:00 Puerto Santo Venezuela  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 04:00 San Juan de las Galdonas Venezuela  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 04:00 San Juan Venezuela  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 04:00 Unare Venezuela  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 03:00 Macuro Venezuela  0.1
          28 Sep 2018 04:00 Rio Caribe Venezuela  0.1