Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for SERGIO-18
in Mexico

Current storm status

This tropical cyclone is expected to have a low humanitarian impact based on the storm strength and the affected population in the past and forecasted path.

Population affected by Category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is: No people affected
Maximum windspeed: 222 km/h
Vulnerability of affected countries: Medium

Bulletin Timeline

Advisory Alert color Date (UTC) Category Wind speed Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon)
1
GREEN
29 Sep 2018 15:30 Tropical storm 65 km/h (40 mph) no people no people 12.4, -102.1
2
GREEN
29 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 65 km/h (40 mph) no people no people 12.1, -102.8
3
GREEN
30 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 74 km/h (46 mph) no people no people 12.3, -103.3
4
GREEN
30 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 83 km/h (52 mph) no people no people 12, -104.3
5
GREEN
30 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 93 km/h (57 mph) no people no people 12.1, -105.4
6
GREEN
30 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 102 km/h (63 mph) no people no people 11.5, -106.3
7
GREEN
01 Oct 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 102 km/h (63 mph) no people no people 11.6, -107.3
8
GREEN
01 Oct 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 111 km/h (69 mph) no people no people 11.5, -108.6
9
GREEN
01 Oct 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 111 km/h (69 mph) no people no people 11.5, -109.5
10
GREEN
01 Oct 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 111 km/h (69 mph) no people no people 11.3, -111
11
GREEN
02 Oct 2018 03:00 Category 1 120 km/h (75 mph) no people no people 10.9, -112
12
GREEN
02 Oct 2018 09:00 Category 1 139 km/h (86 mph) no people no people 10.7, -113.2
13
GREEN
02 Oct 2018 15:00 Category 2 157 km/h (98 mph) no people no people 10.6, -114
14
GREEN
02 Oct 2018 21:00 Category 3 185 km/h (115 mph) no people no people 11.2, -115.1
15
GREEN
03 Oct 2018 03:00 Category 3 185 km/h (115 mph) no people no people 11.8, -115.8
16
GREEN
03 Oct 2018 09:00 Category 3 185 km/h (115 mph) no people no people 12.3, -116.7
17
GREEN
03 Oct 2018 15:00 Category 3 204 km/h (126 mph) no people no people 12.9, -117.3
18
GREEN
03 Oct 2018 21:00 Category 3 204 km/h (126 mph) no people no people 13.3, -117.9
19
GREEN
04 Oct 2018 03:00 Category 4 213 km/h (132 mph) no people no people 13.8, -118.3
20
GREEN
04 Oct 2018 09:00 Category 4 222 km/h (138 mph) no people no people 14.4, -118.8
21
GREEN
04 Oct 2018 15:00 Category 4 222 km/h (138 mph) no people no people 15, -119.3
22
GREEN
04 Oct 2018 21:00 Category 4 213 km/h (132 mph) no people no people 15.5, -119.9
23
GREEN
05 Oct 2018 03:00 Category 3 204 km/h (126 mph) no people no people 15.9, -120.5
24
GREEN
05 Oct 2018 09:00 Category 3 194 km/h (120 mph) no people no people 16, -121.2
25
GREEN
05 Oct 2018 15:00 Category 3 185 km/h (115 mph) no people no people 15.9, -121.8
26
GREEN
05 Oct 2018 21:00 Category 3 194 km/h (120 mph) no people no people 15.7, -122.3
27
GREEN
06 Oct 2018 03:00 Category 3 204 km/h (126 mph) no people no people 15.3, -122.7
28
GREEN
06 Oct 2018 09:00 Category 3 204 km/h (126 mph) no people no people 14.9, -123.5
29
GREEN
06 Oct 2018 15:00 Category 3 204 km/h (126 mph) no people no people 14.7, -124
30
GREEN
06 Oct 2018 21:00 Category 3 204 km/h (126 mph) no people no people 14.6, -124.7
31
GREEN
07 Oct 2018 03:00 Category 3 194 km/h (120 mph) no people no people 14.5, -125.4
32
GREEN
07 Oct 2018 09:00 Category 3 185 km/h (115 mph) no people no people 14.6, -126.1
33
GREEN
07 Oct 2018 15:00 Category 2 167 km/h (103 mph) no people no people 14.5, -126.8
34
GREEN
07 Oct 2018 21:00 Category 2 157 km/h (98 mph) no people no people 14.7, -127.5
35
GREEN
08 Oct 2018 03:00 Category 1 148 km/h (92 mph) no people no people 14.9, -127.9
36
GREEN
08 Oct 2018 09:00 Category 1 148 km/h (92 mph) no people no people 15.2, -128.1
37
GREEN
08 Oct 2018 15:00 Category 1 148 km/h (92 mph) no people no people 15.3, -128.6
38
GREEN
08 Oct 2018 21:00 Category 1 139 km/h (86 mph) no people no people 15.7, -128.5
39
GREEN
09 Oct 2018 03:00 Category 1 139 km/h (86 mph) no people no people 16, -128.6
40
GREEN
09 Oct 2018 09:00 Category 1 139 km/h (86 mph) no people no people 16.3, -127.9
41
GREEN
09 Oct 2018 15:00 Category 1 130 km/h (80 mph) no people no people 16.6, -127.4
42
GREEN
09 Oct 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 111 km/h (69 mph) no people no people 16.9, -126.5
43
GREEN
10 Oct 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 111 km/h (69 mph) no people no people 17.5, -125.6
44
GREEN
10 Oct 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 111 km/h (69 mph) no people no people 17.5, -124.9
45
GREEN
10 Oct 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 102 km/h (63 mph) no people no people 18.4, -123.5
46
GREEN
10 Oct 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 102 km/h (63 mph) no people no people 19.2, -122.4
47
GREEN
11 Oct 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 102 km/h (63 mph) no people no people 20, -121.5
48
GREEN
11 Oct 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 102 km/h (63 mph) no people no people 21, -120.2
49
GREEN
11 Oct 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 102 km/h (63 mph) no people no people 22.2, -118.7
50
GREEN
11 Oct 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 93 km/h (57 mph) 6500 people no people 23.5, -116.7
51
GREEN
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 93 km/h (57 mph) 95000 people no people 24.7, -115.4
52
GREEN
12 Oct 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 83 km/h (52 mph) 1.5 million people no people 26.1, -113.8
52
GREEN
12 Oct 2018 18:00 Tropical depression 56 km/h (34 mph) no people no people 28.2, -111.2
52
GREEN
13 Oct 2018 06:00 Tropical depression 46 km/h (29 mph) no people no people 31, -107.2
52
GREEN
13 Oct 2018 18:00 Tropical depression 28 km/h (17 mph) no people no people 33.8, -103.2
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Wind

Up to no people can be affected by wind speeds of cyclone strength or above.

StormSurge

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Boca del Melgoita, Mexico. This height is estimated for 12 Oct 2018 11:30:00.

Locations affected by Storm surge (78 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 53 of 12 Oct 2018 15:00:00. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Date Name Country Alert Storm surge height (m)
12 Oct 2018 11:30:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.6m
12 Oct 2018 11:30:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.5m
12 Oct 2018 11:30:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.5m
12 Oct 2018 11:30:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.4m
12 Oct 2018 11:30:00 La Playa Mexico  0.4m
12 Oct 2018 14:30:00 Aguaje Mexico  0.4m
12 Oct 2018 16:30:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.4m
12 Oct 2018 18:30:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.3m
12 Oct 2018 11:30:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.3m
12 Oct 2018 15:30:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.3m
12 Oct 2018 12:30:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.3m
12 Oct 2018 18:30:00 Liliba Mexico  0.3m
12 Oct 2018 17:30:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.3m
12 Oct 2018 11:30:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.3m
12 Oct 2018 16:30:00 San Jose Mexico  0.3m
12 Oct 2018 17:30:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.3m
12 Oct 2018 12:30:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.3m
12 Oct 2018 17:30:00 Empalme Mexico  0.3m
12 Oct 2018 16:30:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.3m
12 Oct 2018 11:30:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2m
12 Oct 2018 11:30:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2m
12 Oct 2018 17:30:00 Guaymas Mexico  0.2m
12 Oct 2018 15:30:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.2m
12 Oct 2018 12:30:00 La Florida Mexico  0.2m
12 Oct 2018 16:30:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.2m
12 Oct 2018 15:30:00 Altata Mexico  0.2m
12 Oct 2018 15:30:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2m
12 Oct 2018 14:30:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2m
12 Oct 2018 14:30:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2m
12 Oct 2018 15:30:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2m
12 Oct 2018 10:30:00 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.2m
12 Oct 2018 14:30:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2m
12 Oct 2018 13:30:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2m
12 Oct 2018 14:30:00 San Felipe Mexico  0.2m
12 Oct 2018 15:30:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2m
12 Oct 2018 14:30:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2m
12 Oct 2018 15:30:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.2m
12 Oct 2018 12:30:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.2m
12 Oct 2018 16:30:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2m
12 Oct 2018 15:30:00 La Boca Mexico  0.2m
12 Oct 2018 15:30:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2m
12 Oct 2018 14:30:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1m
12 Oct 2018 16:30:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1m
12 Oct 2018 16:30:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1m
12 Oct 2018 14:30:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1m
12 Oct 2018 16:30:00 La Palmita Mexico  0.1m
12 Oct 2018 16:30:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1m
12 Oct 2018 14:30:00 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1m
12 Oct 2018 14:30:00 Cedros Mexico  0.1m
12 Oct 2018 15:30:00 El Barril Mexico  0.1m
12 Oct 2018 15:30:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1m
12 Oct 2018 15:30:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1m
12 Oct 2018 15:30:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1m
12 Oct 2018 16:30:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.1m
12 Oct 2018 16:30:00 Novillero Mexico  0.1m
12 Oct 2018 16:30:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1m
12 Oct 2018 16:30:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1m
12 Oct 2018 15:30:00 Puertecitos Mexico  0.1m
12 Oct 2018 15:30:00 San Rafael Mexico  0.1m
12 Oct 2018 15:30:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.1m
12 Oct 2018 15:30:00 Dimas Mexico  0.1m
12 Oct 2018 16:30:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.1m
12 Oct 2018 16:30:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1m
12 Oct 2018 15:30:00 Quinones Mexico  0.1m
12 Oct 2018 13:30:00 Mulege Mexico  0.1m
12 Oct 2018 16:30:00 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.1m
12 Oct 2018 09:30:00 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1m
12 Oct 2018 16:30:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.1m
12 Oct 2018 15:30:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1m
12 Oct 2018 16:30:00 Loreto Mexico  0.1m
12 Oct 2018 16:30:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.1m
12 Oct 2018 16:30:00 Ligui Mexico  0.1m
12 Oct 2018 15:30:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.1m
12 Oct 2018 16:30:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.1m
12 Oct 2018 16:30:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.1m
12 Oct 2018 15:30:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1m
12 Oct 2018 16:30:00 Molino Mexico  0.1m
12 Oct 2018 08:30:00 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1m

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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