Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BOUCHRA-18
Off-shore
18 Nov 2018 12 UTC
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  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
  • GFS
  • HWRF
  • ECMWF
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone BOUCHRA-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 102 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (10 Nov 10:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability --

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 102 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 102 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      102 km/h Current Max.

      Up to no people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 10 Nov 2018 06:00 93 No people No people
        Green 2 10 Nov 2018 12:00 83 No people No people
        Green 3 10 Nov 2018 18:00 83 No people No people
        Green 4 11 Nov 2018 00:00 83 No people No people
        Green 5 11 Nov 2018 06:00 102 No people No people
        Green 6 11 Nov 2018 12:00 93 No people No people
        Green 7 11 Nov 2018 18:00 93 No people No people
        Green 8 12 Nov 2018 00:00 83 No people No people
        Green 9 12 Nov 2018 06:00 83 No people No people
        Green 10 12 Nov 2018 12:00 83 No people No people
        Green 11 12 Nov 2018 18:00 83 No people No people
        Green 12 13 Nov 2018 00:00 83 No people No people
        Green 13 13 Nov 2018 06:00 56 No people No people
        Green 14 18 Nov 2018 06:00 102 No people No people
        Green 15 18 Nov 2018 12:00 102 No people No people

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 10 Nov 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -5.5, 90.7
          GREEN
          		 2 10 Nov 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -5.6, 89.8
          GREEN
          		 3 10 Nov 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -5.6, 89.5
          GREEN
          		 4 11 Nov 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -5.6, 89
          GREEN
          		 5 11 Nov 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -5.5, 88.2
          GREEN
          		 6 11 Nov 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -5.3, 88.9
          GREEN
          		 7 11 Nov 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -5.3, 89
          GREEN
          		 8 12 Nov 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -5.2, 89.2
          GREEN
          		 9 12 Nov 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -5.9, 89.3
          GREEN
          		 10 12 Nov 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -6.2, 89.3
          GREEN
          		 11 12 Nov 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -6.6, 89.3
          GREEN
          		 12 13 Nov 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -6.9, 89.9
          GREEN
          		 13 13 Nov 2018 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -7.2, 90.2
          GREEN
          		 14 18 Nov 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -12.2, 84.4
          GREEN
          		 15 18 Nov 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -12.8, 83.7
          GREEN
          		 15 19 Nov 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people -13.7, 82.1
          GREEN
          		 15 19 Nov 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people -14.5, 80.5
          GREEN
          		 15 20 Nov 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -15.1, 78.9
          GREEN
          		 15 20 Nov 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -15.6, 77.2
          GREEN
          		 15 21 Nov 2018 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -16, 74.4
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
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          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.4 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Paritsungaibutuh, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 10 Nov 2018 10:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (2 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 12 of 13 Nov 2018 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          10 Nov 2018 10:00 Paritsungaibutuh Indonesia  0.4
          10 Nov 2018 10:00 Sungaidaun Indonesia  0.2