Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for WUTIP-19 in Guam from 19 Feb 2019 06:00 UTC to 28 Feb 2019 18:00 UTC

28 Feb 2019 18 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone WUTIP-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Guam
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	259 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability	Medium (Guam)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	37 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	259 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

37 km/h Current Max.

Up to 220000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	19 Feb 2019 06:00	167	50 thousand	2 thousand
2	19 Feb 2019 12:00	194	220 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
3	19 Feb 2019 18:00	194	220 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
4	20 Feb 2019 00:00	194	220 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
5	20 Feb 2019 06:00	194	200 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
6	20 Feb 2019 12:00	204	220 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
7	20 Feb 2019 18:00	194	220 thousand	Few people	Guam
8	21 Feb 2019 00:00	194	210 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
9	21 Feb 2019 06:00	194	210 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
10	21 Feb 2019 12:00	194	220 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
11	21 Feb 2019 18:00	194	220 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
12	22 Feb 2019 00:00	194	220 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
13	22 Feb 2019 06:00	194	220 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
14	22 Feb 2019 12:00	194	220 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
15	22 Feb 2019 18:00	194	220 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
16	23 Feb 2019 00:00	194	220 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
17	23 Feb 2019 06:00	213	220 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
18	23 Feb 2019 12:00	259	220 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
19	23 Feb 2019 18:00	259	220 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
20	24 Feb 2019 00:00	250	220 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
21	24 Feb 2019 06:00	213	220 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
22	24 Feb 2019 12:00	194	220 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
23	24 Feb 2019 18:00	204	220 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
24	25 Feb 2019 00:00	213	220 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
25	25 Feb 2019 06:00	259	220 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
26	25 Feb 2019 12:00	241	220 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
27	25 Feb 2019 18:00	241	220 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
28	26 Feb 2019 00:00	222	220 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
29	26 Feb 2019 06:00	213	220 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
30	26 Feb 2019 12:00	194	220 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
31	26 Feb 2019 18:00	176	220 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
32	27 Feb 2019 00:00	167	220 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
33	27 Feb 2019 06:00	148	220 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
34	27 Feb 2019 12:00	111	220 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
35	27 Feb 2019 18:00	74	220 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
36	28 Feb 2019 00:00	65	220 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
37	28 Feb 2019 06:00	65	220 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
38	28 Feb 2019 12:00	46	220 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
39	28 Feb 2019 18:00	37	220 thousand	2 thousand	Guam

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	19 Feb 2019 06:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	3700 people	4.4, 158.3
2	19 Feb 2019 12:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	3900 people	4.4, 157
3	19 Feb 2019 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	4800 people	4.5, 155.7
4	20 Feb 2019 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	50000 people	4.6, 154.7
5	20 Feb 2019 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	50000 people	4.8, 153.6
6	20 Feb 2019 12:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	53000 people	5.3, 152.5
7	20 Feb 2019 18:00	Tropical storm	111	<1000 people	50000 people	5.6, 151.1
8	21 Feb 2019 00:00	Category 1	120	1700 people	50000 people	6.2, 150.5
9	21 Feb 2019 06:00	Category 1	139	2000 people	12000 people	6.9, 149.3
10	21 Feb 2019 12:00	Category 2	157	<1000 people	3600 people	7.1, 148.7
11	21 Feb 2019 18:00	Category 2	167	<1000 people	3800 people	7.6, 148.1
12	22 Feb 2019 00:00	Category 2	176	<1000 people	3800 people	8.2, 147.1
13	22 Feb 2019 06:00	Category 3	185	no people	3900 people	9, 146.1	Guam
14	22 Feb 2019 12:00	Category 3	194	no people	160000 people	9.8, 145.1	Guam
15	22 Feb 2019 18:00	Category 3	194	no people	160000 people	10.3, 144	Guam
16	23 Feb 2019 00:00	Category 3	194	no people	160000 people	10.7, 143.7	Guam
17	23 Feb 2019 06:00	Category 4	213	no people	160000 people	11.4, 143.2	Guam
18	23 Feb 2019 12:00	Category 4	250	no people	160000 people	12, 142.8	Guam
19	23 Feb 2019 18:00	Category 4	250	no people	160000 people	12.4, 142.4	Guam
20	24 Feb 2019 00:00	Category 4	250	no people	82000 people	12.7, 142.1	Guam
21	24 Feb 2019 06:00	Category 4	213	no people	no people	12.9, 141.7
22	24 Feb 2019 12:00	Category 3	194	no people	no people	13.1, 141.2
23	24 Feb 2019 18:00	Category 3	204	no people	no people	13.1, 140.7
24	25 Feb 2019 00:00	Category 4	213	no people	no people	13.4, 140.4
25	25 Feb 2019 06:00	Category 5	259	no people	no people	13.8, 140.2
26	25 Feb 2019 12:00	Category 4	241	no people	no people	14.2, 140.1
27	25 Feb 2019 18:00	Category 4	241	no people	no people	14.7, 139.9
28	26 Feb 2019 00:00	Category 4	222	no people	no people	14.9, 139.9
29	26 Feb 2019 06:00	Category 4	213	no people	no people	15.2, 139.9
30	26 Feb 2019 12:00	Category 3	194	no people	no people	15.4, 139.8
31	26 Feb 2019 18:00	Category 2	176	no people	no people	15.6, 140.1
32	27 Feb 2019 00:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	15.7, 140.1
33	27 Feb 2019 06:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	16.2, 139.9
34	27 Feb 2019 12:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	16.4, 139.1
35	27 Feb 2019 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	16.7, 137.7
36	28 Feb 2019 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	17.1, 136.7
37	28 Feb 2019 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	17.6, 135.6
38	28 Feb 2019 12:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	18.2, 134.9
39	28 Feb 2019 18:00	Tropical depression	37	no people	no people	18.6, 134.7
39	01 Mar 2019 06:00	Tropical depression	37	no people	no people	18.9, 133.8
39	01 Mar 2019 18:00	Tropical depression	37	no people	no people	18.8, 133.4

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Guam

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Guam	Guam

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Hagåtña		Guam	Capital	1000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
A.B. Won Pat International	GUM	91				0
Andersen AFB	UAM	191				0
Truk International	TKK	3	Civ.	Paved	Yes	6000

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Apra Harbor		Guam
Apra (Agana)	GUAPR	Guam
Woleai Atoll		Micronesia
Moen		Micronesia

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 37 of 28 Feb 2019 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

Alert

Date (UTC)

Name

Country

Storm surge height (m)