Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for IDAI-19
in Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
09 Mar 2019 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone IDAI-19 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
    Exposed population 1.9 million in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 194 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (13 Mar 12:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability High (Mozambique)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 213 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 1.5
    Overall 194 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 1.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      213 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 550000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Orange 1 09 Mar 2019 06:00 213 6.6 million 870 thousand Mozambique
        Orange 2 09 Mar 2019 12:00 213 5.6 million 550 thousand Mozambique

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 09 Mar 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 110000 people -17, 40.2 Mozambique
          GREEN
          		 2 09 Mar 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -17, 41.3 Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
          GREEN
          		 2 10 Mar 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 11000 people -17.1, 41.9 Madagascar
          GREEN
          		 2 10 Mar 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 11000 people -17.3, 42.4 Madagascar
          GREEN
          		 2 11 Mar 2019 00:00 Category 1 148 no people 3400 people -17.6, 42.3 Madagascar
          GREEN
          		 2 11 Mar 2019 12:00 Category 3 185 no people 27000 people -17.9, 41.7 Mozambique
          GREEN
          		 2 12 Mar 2019 12:00 Category 4 213 no people 2.1 million people -18.3, 39.9 Mozambique
          ORANGE
          		 2 13 Mar 2019 12:00 Category 4 213 550000 people 5.1 million people -18.8, 37.3 Mozambique
          GREEN
          		 2 14 Mar 2019 12:00 Category 2 176 no people no people -19.3, 34.3 Mozambique
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Mozambique

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Zambezia Mozambique
          Sofala Mozambique

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Chinde INE unknown 0
          Luabo LBM unknown 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Vila Do Chinde Mozambique
          Chinde MZINE Mozambique

          Dams

          Reservoir Dam Name River Year
          Bue Maria Pungoe n/a
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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.6 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Maconharumo, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 13 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (119 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 2 of 09 Mar 2019 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          13 Mar 2019 12:00 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.6
          13 Mar 2019 12:00 Amado Mozambique  0.6
          13 Mar 2019 12:00 Mulia Mozambique  0.5
          09 Mar 2019 08:00 Baly Madagascar  0.5
          13 Mar 2019 12:00 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.4
          09 Mar 2019 11:00 Damiao Mozambique  0.4
          09 Mar 2019 11:00 Nhangau Mozambique  0.4
          09 Mar 2019 11:00 Chamba Mozambique  0.4
          09 Mar 2019 11:00 Beira Mozambique  0.4
          13 Mar 2019 12:00 Vila do Chinde Mozambique  0.4
          13 Mar 2019 12:00 Barra Mozambique  0.4
          09 Mar 2019 08:00 Boanamary Madagascar  0.4
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.3
          13 Mar 2019 12:00 Nhamatamanga Mozambique  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 09:00 Machesse Mozambique  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 12:00 Ocone Mozambique  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 09:00 Tama Mozambique  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 09:00 Jonja Mozambique  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 11:00 Manica Mozambique  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 08:00 Katsepy Madagascar  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Panaca Mozambique  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 09:00 Rupia Mozambique  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 09:00 Bingue Mozambique  0.3
          13 Mar 2019 10:00 Quelimane do Sal Mozambique  0.3
          13 Mar 2019 10:00 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.3
          13 Mar 2019 10:00 Magromane Mozambique  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 07:00 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 08:00 Majunga Madagascar  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 11:00 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 08:00 Ampasitsilavitra Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 08:00 Mendozo Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 08:00 Metapa Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 08:00 Pebane Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Manehoko Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Mutiba Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Raraga Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 09:00 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 09:00 Andriana Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 09:00 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 08:00 Tomodo Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 08:00 Caliua Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Morrua Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Chululu Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Caramaca Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 07:00 Tsilambana Madagascar  0.2
          10 Mar 2019 16:00 Ankazobe Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Antanimandry Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Tanambao Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Anjabe Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Andranomena Madagascar  0.2
          10 Mar 2019 16:00 Manampea Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Murrumuana Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Carramali Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Mutadua Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Moebase Mozambique  0.2
          10 Mar 2019 16:00 Tambohorano Madagascar  0.2
          10 Mar 2019 16:00 Ambatomilahy Madagascar  0.2
          10 Mar 2019 16:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 08:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 08:00 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 08:00 Bevatry Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 09:00 Ankinganomby Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 09:00 Antonibe Madagascar  0.2
          10 Mar 2019 20:00 Belailay Madagascar  0.2
          11 Mar 2019 00:00 Andemba Madagascar  0.2
          11 Mar 2019 00:00 Reharaka Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Andrafia Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Ambaramidada Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 12:00 Ampapamena Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 12:00 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 11:00 Chiloane Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Natiquinde Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 09:00 Anjiajia Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 08:00 Andranovoribe Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 09:00 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 09:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 09:00 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Bajone Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Napito Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Namorre Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 14:00 Amboaboaka Madagascar  0.2
          11 Mar 2019 01:00 Manomba Madagascar  0.1
          10 Mar 2019 16:00 Ankatrafay Madagascar  0.1
          10 Mar 2019 20:00 Antandrokomby Madagascar  0.1
          11 Mar 2019 04:00 Ampanihy Madagascar  0.1
          10 Mar 2019 15:00 Antsafy Madagascar  0.1
          10 Mar 2019 14:00 Onara Madagascar  0.1
          10 Mar 2019 15:00 Ankoakala Madagascar  0.1
          10 Mar 2019 15:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 18:00 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 14:00 Matahibory Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 14:00 Mahabo Madagascar  0.1
          11 Mar 2019 01:00 Maintirano Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Larde Mozambique  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 09:00 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 09:00 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Mocareja Mozambique  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 12:00 Ampitilova Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 09:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 09:00 Bobasakoa Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Coropoa Mozambique  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 08:00 Mahabo Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 13:00 Mailakapasy Madagascar  0.1
          10 Mar 2019 14:00 Marovazha Madagascar  0.1
          10 Mar 2019 14:00 Belavenoka Madagascar  0.1
          10 Mar 2019 14:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 09:00 Antetikireja Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 13:00 Antsahampano Madagascar  0.1
          10 Mar 2019 14:00 Marofototra Madagascar  0.1
          10 Mar 2019 14:00 Voalavo Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 12:00 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Fadrina Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 09:00 Antaribao Madagascar  0.1