Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for DORIAN-19
in Canada, United States, Bahamas, Virgin Islands, U.S., British, Puerto Rico, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados, Dominican Republic, Turks and Caicos Islands, Haiti, Dominica, Guadeloupe
24 Aug 2019 21 UTC
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  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone DORIAN-19 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Canada, United States, Bahamas, Virgin Islands, U.S., British, Puerto Rico, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados, Dominican Republic, Turks and Caicos Islands, Haiti, Dominica, Guadeloupe
    Exposed population 2.7 million in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 296 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (27 Aug 17:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Low (The Bahamas)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 139 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 296 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 24 Aug 2019 15:00 139 920 thousand No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Dominica, Puerto Rico
        Green 2 24 Aug 2019 21:00 139 8.1 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Dominica, Guadeloupe, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 24 Aug 2019 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 10.4, -47.9
          GREEN
          		 2 24 Aug 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 10.7, -49.1
          GREEN
          		 2 25 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 11, -50.7
          GREEN
          		 2 25 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 11.4, -52.8
          GREEN
          		 2 26 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 11.9, -54.9
          GREEN
          		 2 26 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 900000 people 12.7, -57 Dominica
          GREEN
          		 2 27 Aug 2019 18:00 Category 1 120 no people 670000 people 14.6, -61.1 Guadeloupe
          GREEN
          		 2 28 Aug 2019 18:00 Category 1 139 no people 7.2 million people 16.5, -65.3 Dominican Republic
          GREEN
          		 2 29 Aug 2019 18:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 18.4, -69 Dominican Republic
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.5 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Hyacinthe, Martinique. This height is estimated for 27 Aug 2019 17:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (51 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 2 of 24 Aug 2019 21:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          27 Aug 2019 17:00 Hyacinthe Martinique  0.5
          27 Aug 2019 16:00 Le Vauclin Martinique  0.3
          27 Aug 2019 18:00 Fort-de-France Martinique  0.3
          27 Aug 2019 19:00 Fonds Panier Martinique  0.3
          27 Aug 2019 17:00 Sainte-Anne Martinique  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Punta Santiago Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Playa de Humacao Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Buena Vista Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Palmas del Mar Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Bajandas Puerto Rico  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 19:00 Sainte Pierre Martinique  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 17:00 Lero Martinique  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 19:00 Basse-Pointe Martinique  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Campamento Punta Lima Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Daguao Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Estacion Botija Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Aguas Claras Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Ceiba Puerto Rico  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 22:00 Roseau Dominica  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 22:00 Dubuc Dominica  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Luis M. Cintron Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Roosevelt Roads Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Naguabo Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Esperanza Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Isidra Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Hacienda Arcadia Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Playa de Guayanes Puerto Rico  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 16:00 Castries St. Lucia  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 16:00 Cap Estate St. Lucia  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Margarita Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Convento Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Fajardo Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Las Croabas Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Isabel Segunda Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Santa Maria Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Vieques Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Culebra Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 San Ildefonso Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 20:00 Camporico Virgin Islands  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 15:00 Bosquet d'Or St. Lucia  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 17:00 Les Anses dArlets Martinique  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 22:00 La Plaine Dominica  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 23:00 Baroui Dominica  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 21:00 Scotts Head Dominica  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Palmer Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Playa Fortuna Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Luquillo Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Arenas Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Loiza Aldea Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Suarez Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Hato Candal Puerto Rico  0.1