Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PABLO-19
in Portugal
28 Oct 2019 15 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone PABLO-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Portugal
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 130 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.1 m (26 Oct 22:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Low (Portugal)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 65 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 130 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      65 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 5700 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 25 Oct 2019 21:00 83 150 thousand No people Portugal
        Green 2 26 Oct 2019 03:00 83 150 thousand No people Portugal
        Green 3 26 Oct 2019 09:00 83 150 thousand No people Portugal
        Green 4 26 Oct 2019 15:00 83 150 thousand No people Portugal
        Green 5 26 Oct 2019 21:00 93 10 thousand No people Portugal
        Green 6 27 Oct 2019 03:00 102 6 thousand No people Portugal
        Green 7 27 Oct 2019 09:00 111 6 thousand No people Portugal
        Green 8 27 Oct 2019 15:00 120 6 thousand No people Portugal
        Green 9 27 Oct 2019 21:00 130 6 thousand No people Portugal
        Green 10 28 Oct 2019 03:00 111 6 thousand No people Portugal
        Green 11 28 Oct 2019 09:00 83 6 thousand No people Portugal
        Green 12 28 Oct 2019 15:00 65 6 thousand No people Portugal

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 25 Oct 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 35.8, -32.2
          GREEN
          		 2 26 Oct 2019 03:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 35.5, -31.1
          GREEN
          		 3 26 Oct 2019 09:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 35.3, -30.3
          GREEN
          		 4 26 Oct 2019 15:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 150000 people 35.2, -28.1 Portugal
          GREEN
          		 5 26 Oct 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 13000 people 36.3, -25.6 Portugal
          GREEN
          		 6 27 Oct 2019 03:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 38.2, -22.6
          GREEN
          		 7 27 Oct 2019 09:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 40.7, -20
          GREEN
          		 8 27 Oct 2019 15:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 42.8, -18.3
          GREEN
          		 9 27 Oct 2019 21:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 44.7, -17.2
          GREEN
          		 10 28 Oct 2019 03:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 46, -17.1
          GREEN
          		 11 28 Oct 2019 09:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 46.6, -17.5
          GREEN
          		 12 28 Oct 2019 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 46.8, -17.7
          GREEN
          		 12 29 Oct 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 47.4, -17.9
          GREEN
          		 12 29 Oct 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 48.5, -18.3
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Portugal

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Azores Portugal

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Vila Do Porto SMA 93 Civ. Paved Yes 10000

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Formigas Island Portugal
          Vila Do Porto PTVDP Portugal
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          0.1 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.1m in Vila do Porto, Portugal. This height is estimated for 26 Oct 2019 22:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (2 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 12 of 28 Oct 2019 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          26 Oct 2019 22:00 Vila do Porto Portugal  0.1
          26 Oct 2019 22:00 Sao Lourenco Portugal  0.1