Red alert for wind impact in China
This tropical cyclone is expected to have a high humanitarian impact
based on the storm strength and the affected population in the past and forecasted path.
Current storm status
This report is for advisory number 14 of tropical cyclone VICENTE-12 issued at 7/24/2012 12:00:00 AM
(GDACS Event ID 31445,
Latest episode ID: 14).
Current impact estimate:
- Population affected by Category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 6.1million
- Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph (maximum wind speed of 212 km/h)
- Vulnerability of affected countries: Medium
Impact of Extreme Wind
Cloud map. The map shows the areas affected by tropical storm strength winds (green), 58mph winds (orange) and cyclone wind strengths (red). (
Source: JRC)
Affected population
Up to
no people
people can be affected by wind speeds of cyclone strength or above. In addition,
no people
people are living in coastal areas below 5m and can therefore be affected by storm surge.
Affected country
| China |
Guangxi |
46.8 million people
|
| China |
Guangdong |
69.6 million people
|
Affected provinces
| China |
Guangxi |
46.8 million people
|
| China |
Guangdong |
69.6 million people
|
Affected cities
| Jiangcheng |
Guangdong |
China |
City |
no people
|
Critical infrastructure
Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.
Major ports
| Yangjiang |
CNYJI |
China |
Hydro-dams
|
|
Gaozhou |
Dajing He |
1959 |
|
|
Donghu |
Nalong He |
1961 |
Event time line
The storm evolution is shown in the table below. Alert levels and population estimates are related to the area from a point to the next.
| 1 |
|
7/20/2012 6:00:00 PM |
Tropical depression |
47 km/h (29 mph) |
64 km/h
(40 mph)
|
no people
|
121.1,
18.3 |
| 2 |
|
7/21/2012 |
Tropical depression |
47 km/h (29 mph) |
64 km/h
(40 mph)
|
no people
|
120,
19.3 |
| 3 |
|
7/21/2012 6:00:00 AM |
Tropical depression |
47 km/h (29 mph) |
64 km/h
(40 mph)
|
no people
|
118.1,
19.8 |
| 4 |
|
7/21/2012 12:00:00 PM |
Tropical depression |
56 km/h (35 mph) |
74 km/h
(46 mph)
|
no people
|
116.6,
19.5 |
| 5 |
|
7/21/2012 6:00:00 PM |
Tropical storm |
84 km/h (52 mph) |
101 km/h
(63 mph)
|
no people
|
115.9,
19.2 |
| 6 |
|
7/22/2012 |
Tropical storm |
84 km/h (52 mph) |
101 km/h
(63 mph)
|
no people
|
115.5,
19.4 |
| 7 |
|
7/22/2012 6:00:00 AM |
Tropical storm |
84 km/h (52 mph) |
101 km/h
(63 mph)
|
no people
|
115.1,
18.8 |
| 8 |
|
7/22/2012 12:00:00 PM |
Tropical storm |
84 km/h (52 mph) |
101 km/h
(63 mph)
|
no people
|
115,
18.8 |
| 9 |
|
7/22/2012 6:00:00 PM |
Tropical storm |
93 km/h (58 mph) |
121 km/h
(75 mph)
|
no people
|
114.7,
19.2 |
| 10 |
|
7/23/2012 |
Tropical storm |
101 km/h (63 mph) |
130 km/h
(81 mph)
|
no people
|
115,
19.9 |
| 11 |
|
7/23/2012 6:00:00 AM |
Category 1 |
121 km/h (75 mph) |
148 km/h
(92 mph)
|
no people
|
114.7,
20.5 |
| 12 |
|
7/23/2012 12:00:00 PM |
Category 1 |
130 km/h (81 mph) |
158 km/h
(98 mph)
|
no people
|
114.2,
21 |
| 12 |
|
7/24/2012 |
Category 1 |
121 km/h (75 mph) |
148 km/h
(92 mph)
|
no people
|
112.5,
21.8 |
| 12 |
|
7/24/2012 12:00:00 PM |
Tropical storm |
93 km/h (58 mph) |
121 km/h
(75 mph)
|
no people
|
110.3,
22.3 |
| 12 |
|
7/25/2012 |
Tropical storm |
64 km/h (40 mph) |
84 km/h
(52 mph)
|
no people
|
107.8,
22.6 |
| 12 |
|
7/25/2012 12:00:00 PM |
Tropical depression |
56 km/h (35 mph) |
74 km/h
(46 mph)
|
no people
|
105.8,
22.6 |
| 12 |
|
7/26/2012 12:00:00 PM |
Tropical depression |
37 km/h (23 mph) |
56 km/h
(35 mph)
|
no people
|
103.2,
22.3 |
Previous advisories
For accessing reports of previous advisories, please click on the advisory number in the table below.
| 1 |  | 7/20/2012 6:00:00 PM |
Tropical storm
|
101
|
No people affected
| China |
08:46:16 GMT
|
| 2 | | 7/21/2012 12:00:00 AM |
Tropical storm
|
101
|
No people affected
| China |
03:16:30 GMT
|
| 3 | | 7/21/2012 6:00:00 AM |
Tropical storm
|
93
|
No people affected
| China |
08:16:22 GMT
|
| 4 | | 7/21/2012 12:00:00 PM |
Tropical storm
|
93
|
No people affected
| China,Viet Nam |
01:46:28 GMT
|
| 5 | | 7/21/2012 6:00:00 PM |
Tropical storm
|
111
|
No people affected
| China,Viet Nam |
08:46:46 GMT
|
| 6 | | 7/22/2012 12:00:00 AM |
Tropical storm
|
111
|
No people affected
| China |
02:46:46 GMT
|
| 7 | | 7/22/2012 6:00:00 AM |
Category 1
|
121
|
No people affected
| China |
07:46:34 GMT
|
| 8 | | 7/22/2012 12:00:00 PM |
Category 1
|
121
|
No people affected
| China |
02:16:40 GMT
|
| 9 | | 7/22/2012 6:00:00 PM |
Category 1
|
121
|
No people affected
| China |
09:47:01 GMT
|
| 10 | | 7/23/2012 12:00:00 AM |
Category 1
|
121
|
No people affected
| China |
03:16:51 GMT
|
| 11 | | 7/23/2012 6:00:00 AM |
Category 1
|
138
|
No people affected
| China |
07:47:28 GMT
|
| 12 | | 7/23/2012 12:00:00 PM |
Category 1
|
130
|
No people affected
| China |
01:48:06 GMT
|
| 13 | | 7/23/2012 6:00:00 PM |
Category 4
|
212
|
No people affected
| China |
09:18:12 GMT
|
| 14 |  | 7/24/2012 12:00:00 AM |
Category 3
|
185
|
6.1 million
| |
08:02:51 GMT
|
More information
Data resources
For a full list of available products related to this event, please refer to the
GDACS Resources page.
About the data
The information on storm characteristics is taken from a web service provided
by the Pacific Disaster Center, which processes
the official advisory bulletins.
JRC calculates areas affected by high winds (wind buffers at 39, 58 and
74mph). This is done using the maximum reported wind radius (maximum of 4
quadrants) or, in case no wind radii are provided, through a regression analysis
based on historical data. JRC also calculates the area affected by storm surge
using HyFlux2 (hydrodynamic software).
Sources for data on critical infrastructure are: JRC NUMAS database
(nuclear plants), ESRI (hydro dams, 1996),
Global Discovery (airports, ports and cities).
Population data is from
LandScan 2010.
Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information. The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.