Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for RUSTY-13
in Australia
27 Feb 2013 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • JRC
Impact Single TC
    Impact based on all weather systems in the area

    Impact

      Tropical Cyclone RUSTY-13 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

      Meteorological source GDACS
      Exposed countries Australia
      Exposed population Few people in Category 1 or higher
      Maximum wind speed 212 km/h
      Maximum storm surge 1.2 m (27 Feb 09:00 UTC)
      Vulnerability Low (Australia)

      GDACS Score

      GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
      For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
        Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
      Current 138 km/h 1.2 m n.a. 0.5
      Overall 212 km/h 1.2 m n.a. 0.5

      Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

      TOP

      Wind

        138 km/h Current Max.

        Up to <1000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

        Impact Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
          Tropical Storm or higher          		 Population in
          Cat 1. or higher          		 Countries
          Green 1 24 Feb 2013 00:00 158 No people 10 thousand Australia
          Green 2 24 Feb 2013 12:00 175 No people 20 thousand Australia
          Green 3 24 Feb 2013 18:00 212 No people 20 thousand Australia
          Green 4 25 Feb 2013 06:00 185 No people 10 thousand Australia
          Green 5 25 Feb 2013 18:00 185 No people 10 thousand Australia
          Green 6 26 Feb 2013 06:00 148 No people 2 thousand Australia
          Green 7 26 Feb 2013 18:00 175 No people Few people Australia
          Green 8 27 Feb 2013 06:00 148 No people Few people Australia
          Green 9 27 Feb 2013 12:00 138 No people Few people

          Bulletin Timeline

            Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
            (SSHS)             		Max winds
            (km/h)             		Population in
            Cat.1 or higher             		Population in
            Tropical Storm
            or higher             		Location (lat, lon) Countries
            green
            		 1 2/24/2013 Tropical storm 64 no people no people -16.7, 118.1
            green
            		 2 2/24/2013 12:00:00 PM Tropical storm 84 no people no people -17.4, 117.9
            green
            		 3 2/24/2013 6:00:00 PM Tropical storm 111 no people no people -17.7, 118.2
            green
            		 4 2/25/2013 6:00:00 AM Category 1 121 no people <1000 people -18.2, 119 Australia
            green
            		 5 2/25/2013 6:00:00 PM Category 1 138 no people 15000 people -18.8, 119.4 Australia
            green
            		 6 2/26/2013 6:00:00 AM Category 1 121 <1000 people 15000 people -19.4, 119.2 Australia
            green
            		 7 2/26/2013 6:00:00 PM Category 2 175 <1000 people 16000 people -19.3, 119.1 Australia
            green
            		 8 2/27/2013 6:00:00 AM Category 1 148 <1000 people 16000 people -19.7, 119.4 Australia
            green
            		 9 2/27/2013 12:00:00 PM Category 1 138 <1000 people 16000 people -20.3, 119.8 Australia
            green
            		 9 2/28/2013 Tropical storm 93 no people 1900 people -21.5, 120 Australia
            green
            		 9 2/28/2013 12:00:00 PM Tropical depression 56 no people no people -23.2, 119.9 Australia
            **
            Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO
            Actual track of the current bulletin
            The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
            Download:



            Exposed population - AoIs

            Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

            Provinces

            Country Region Province
            Australia Western Australia

            Populated places

            Name Region Province Country City class Population
            Mount Goldsworthy Western Australia Australia City -

            Critical infrastructure

            Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

            Airports

            Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
            Mt. Goldsworthy GLY unknown
            Muccan MUQ unknown
            Pardoo PRD unknown
            Shay Gap SGP unknown
            TOP

            Rainfall

            Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

            ...

            TOP

            StormSurge

            1.2 m

            The maximum Storm surge height is  1.2m in Condon, Australia. This height is estimated for 27 Feb 2013 09:00 UTC .

            The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

            Locations affected by Storm surge (13 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 8 of 27 Feb 2013 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

            Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
            27 Feb 2013 09:00 Condon Australia  1.2
            25 Feb 2013 21:00 Thangoo Australia  0.2
            25 Feb 2013 21:00 Broome Australia  0.2
            25 Feb 2013 21:00 Waterbank Australia  0.2
            25 Feb 2013 21:00 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.2
            24 Feb 2013 15:00 Derby Australia  0.2
            25 Feb 2013 08:00 Wickham Australia  0.2
            25 Feb 2013 08:00 Point Samson Australia  0.2
            25 Feb 2013 08:00 Cossack Australia  0.2
            24 Feb 2013 14:00 Pender Australia  0.1
            25 Feb 2013 17:00 Ah Chong I Australia  0.1
            25 Feb 2013 17:00 East Lewis I Australia  0.1
            24 Feb 2013 16:00 Kollan I Australia  0.1