Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for MAHASEN-13 in Bangladesh, India from 11 May 2013 12:00 UTC to 16 May 2013 06:00 UTC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHASEN-13 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Bangladesh, India
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	167 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1.1 m (16 May 07:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (Bangladesh)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	84 km/h	1.1 m	n.a.	1.5
Overall	167 km/h	1.1 m	n.a.	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

84 km/h Current Max.

Up to 72.9 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	10 May 2013 06:00	167	No people	1.9 million	Myanmar
2	10 May 2013 12:00	167	No people	3.8 million	Myanmar
3	10 May 2013 18:00	167	No people	1.3 million	Myanmar, Bangladesh
4	11 May 2013 00:00	158	No people	5.8 million	Myanmar, Bangladesh, India
5	11 May 2013 06:00	158	No people	8.4 million	Bangladesh
6	11 May 2013 12:00	158	No people	8.7 million	Bangladesh, India
7	11 May 2013 18:00	158	No people	9.8 million	Bangladesh, India
8	12 May 2013 00:00	158	No people	13.4 million	Bangladesh, India
9	12 May 2013 06:00	148	No people	5.2 million	Myanmar, Bangladesh, India
10	12 May 2013 12:00	138	No people	2.2 million	Myanmar, Bangladesh, India
12	13 May 2013 00:00	130	No people	3.8 million	Bangladesh, India
13	13 May 2013 06:00	130	No people	7.3 million	Bangladesh, India
14	13 May 2013 12:00	130	No people	6.7 million	Myanmar, Bangladesh, India
15	13 May 2013 18:00	130	No people	6.6 million	Bangladesh, Myanmar, India
16	14 May 2013 00:00	130	No people	8.4 million	Bangladesh, Myanmar, India
17	14 May 2013 06:00	130	No people	6.1 million	Bangladesh
20	15 May 2013 00:00	111	No people	No people	Bangladesh, Myanmar, India
21	15 May 2013 06:00	101	No people	No people	Bangladesh, Myanmar, India
22	15 May 2013 12:00	93	No people	No people	Bangladesh, Myanmar, India
23	15 May 2013 18:00	101	No people	No people	Bangladesh, Myanmar, India
24	16 May 2013 00:00	93	No people	No people	Bangladesh, Myanmar, India
25	16 May 2013 06:00	84	No people	No people

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	5/10/2013 6:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	64	no people	no people	4.8, 93.6
2	5/10/2013 12:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	64	no people	no people	5.5, 92.7
3	5/10/2013 6:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	64	no people	no people	6.1, 91.9
4	5/11/2013	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	7, 91
5	5/11/2013 6:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	7.7, 90.2
6	5/11/2013 12:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	8.8, 88.8
7	5/11/2013 6:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	9.3, 88.1
8	5/12/2013	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	10.2, 86.9
9	5/12/2013 6:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	10, 87.3
10	5/12/2013 12:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	10.2, 87
11		Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	10.7, 86.7
12	5/13/2013	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	11.5, 86.7
13	5/13/2013 6:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	11.8, 86.4
14	5/13/2013 12:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	12.4, 85.7
15	5/13/2013 6:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	12.9, 85.4
16	5/14/2013	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	13.7, 85.3
17	5/14/2013 6:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	14.2, 85.8
18		Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	14.8, 86.2
19		Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	15.4, 86.7
20	5/15/2013	Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	16.4, 87.3
21	5/15/2013 6:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	17.5, 87.8
22	5/15/2013 12:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	18.5, 88.4
23	5/15/2013 6:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	93	no people	6.5 million people	19.6, 89.1	Bangladesh
24	5/16/2013	Tropical storm	93	no people	53.6 million people	20.5, 89.9	Bangladesh, India
25	5/16/2013 6:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	84	no people	67.3 million people	23, 91	Bangladesh, India
25	5/16/2013 6:00:00 PM	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	25.8, 93.9	India, Myanmar

Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Provinces

Country	Region Province
Bangladesh	Khulna
Bangladesh	Barisal
Bangladesh	Chittagong
Bangladesh	Dhaka
India	Assam
India	Manipur
India	Mizoram
India	Nagaland
India	Tripura
India	Meghalaya

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Chittagong	Chittagong	Bangladesh	Major city	2.5 million people
Barisal	Barisal	Bangladesh	City	260000 people
Noakhali	Chittagong	Bangladesh	City	100000 people
Chandpur	Chittagong	Bangladesh	City	120000 people
Comilla	Chittagong	Bangladesh	City	-
Munshiganj	Dhaka	Bangladesh	City	120000 people
Narayanganj	Dhaka	Bangladesh	City	350000 people
Agartala	Tripura	India	City	200000 people
Habiganj	Sylhet	Bangladesh	City	69000 people
Baniyachung	Sylhet	Bangladesh	City	-
Imphal	Manipur	India	City	220000 people
Silchar	Assam	India	City	150000 people
Sylhet	Sylhet	Bangladesh	City	-
Dacca	Dhaka	Bangladesh	Capital	8.4 million people
Dimapur	Assam	India	City	110000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

1.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 1.1m in Char Fakura, Bangladesh. This height is estimated for 16 May 2013 07:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (180 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 25 of 16 May 2013 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	16 May 2013 07:00	Char Fakura	Bangladesh	1.1
	16 May 2013 07:00	Char Chandia	Bangladesh	1.1
	16 May 2013 07:00	Barabkunda	Bangladesh	1.1
	16 May 2013 07:00	Bansbaria	Bangladesh	1.1
	16 May 2013 07:00	Jafarnagar	Bangladesh	1.1
	16 May 2013 07:00	Kumira	Bangladesh	1.1
	16 May 2013 06:00	Dasher Hat	Bangladesh	1.1
	16 May 2013 08:00	Munshir Hat	Bangladesh	1.1
	16 May 2013 08:00	Bariakhali	Bangladesh	1.1
	16 May 2013 08:00	Dhalapara	Bangladesh	1.1
	16 May 2013 07:00	Sitalpur	Bangladesh	1.1
	16 May 2013 08:00	Bamnia	Bangladesh	1.1
	16 May 2013 07:00	Akbar Hat	Bangladesh	1.1
	16 May 2013 07:00	Bhatiari	Bangladesh	1.1
	16 May 2013 07:00	Nayamasti	Bangladesh	1.0
	16 May 2013 07:00	Maitbhanga	Bangladesh	1.0
	16 May 2013 07:00	Kamla Char	Bangladesh	1.0
	16 May 2013 04:00	Char Pyarimohan	Bangladesh	1.0
	16 May 2013 04:00	Char Faizuddin	Bangladesh	1.0
	16 May 2013 07:00	Dakhin Kattali	Bangladesh	1.0
	16 May 2013 05:00	Maijchara	Bangladesh	1.0
	16 May 2013 05:00	Sagaria	Bangladesh	1.0
	16 May 2013 05:00	Char Ishwar	Bangladesh	1.0
	16 May 2013 08:00	Ghoshbagh	Bangladesh	1.0
	16 May 2013 08:00	Sandwip	Bangladesh	1.0
	16 May 2013 05:00	Char Ishwar Ray	Bangladesh	0.9
	16 May 2013 04:00	Char Aicha	Bangladesh	0.9
	16 May 2013 08:00	Tulatali	Bangladesh	0.9
	16 May 2013 08:00	Bara Ahmadpur	Bangladesh	0.9
	16 May 2013 08:00	Banskhali	Bangladesh	0.9
	16 May 2013 07:00	Dakhin Patenga	Bangladesh	0.9
	16 May 2013 05:00	Char Manpura	Bangladesh	0.9
	16 May 2013 07:00	Napura	Bangladesh	0.9
	16 May 2013 08:00	Lamchhi Prasad	Bangladesh	0.8
	16 May 2013 08:00	Khaser Hat	Bangladesh	0.8
	16 May 2013 08:00	Aswadia	Bangladesh	0.8
	16 May 2013 08:00	Ewazbalia	Bangladesh	0.8
	16 May 2013 08:00	Miar Hat	Bangladesh	0.8
	16 May 2013 08:00	Chandhuri Hat	Bangladesh	0.8
	16 May 2013 04:00	Char Paila	Bangladesh	0.8
	16 May 2013 06:00	Char Krishnaprasad	Bangladesh	0.8
	16 May 2013 08:00	Nalchira	Bangladesh	0.8
	16 May 2013 07:00	Lemsikhali	Bangladesh	0.8
	16 May 2013 07:00	Magnama	Bangladesh	0.8
	16 May 2013 06:00	Hatia	Bangladesh	0.8
	16 May 2013 07:00	Khankhanabad	Bangladesh	0.8
	16 May 2013 05:00	Char Annadaprasad	Bangladesh	0.8
	16 May 2013 06:00	Char Algi	Bangladesh	0.7
	16 May 2013 06:00	Char Gazi	Bangladesh	0.7
	16 May 2013 06:00	Char Ramiz	Bangladesh	0.7
	16 May 2013 07:00	Uttar Nalbila	Bangladesh	0.7
	16 May 2013 06:00	Char Munsi	Bangladesh	0.7
	16 May 2013 06:00	Char Falcon	Bangladesh	0.7
	16 May 2013 03:00	Andar Char	Bangladesh	0.7
	16 May 2013 06:00	Hazari	Bangladesh	0.7
	16 May 2013 06:00	Char Madhyam Lamchhidhali	Bangladesh	0.7
	16 May 2013 06:00	Hazipur	Bangladesh	0.7
	16 May 2013 06:00	Rabipur	Bangladesh	0.7
	16 May 2013 09:00	Chandpur	Bangladesh	0.7
	16 May 2013 09:00	Char Tarabania	Bangladesh	0.7
	16 May 2013 09:00	Boro Char	Bangladesh	0.7
	16 May 2013 09:00	Mugadi	Bangladesh	0.7
	16 May 2013 09:00	Bara Char Kalia	Bangladesh	0.7
	16 May 2013 09:00	Amanullapur	Bangladesh	0.7
	16 May 2013 06:00	Kalupura	Bangladesh	0.7
	16 May 2013 07:00	Kanchanpur	Bangladesh	0.7
	16 May 2013 09:00	Adam Manirabad	Bangladesh	0.7
	16 May 2013 09:00	Char Idris	Bangladesh	0.7
	16 May 2013 09:00	Aithadi	Bangladesh	0.7
	16 May 2013 09:00	Char Hijla	Bangladesh	0.6
	16 May 2013 09:00	Harni	Bangladesh	0.6
	16 May 2013 06:00	Char Medua	Bangladesh	0.6
	16 May 2013 06:00	South Dighaldi	Bangladesh	0.6
	16 May 2013 06:00	Sakusia	Bangladesh	0.6
	16 May 2013 06:00	Bara Pata	Bangladesh	0.6
	16 May 2013 07:00	Chandpur	Bangladesh	0.6
	16 May 2013 06:00	Jagannathpur	Bangladesh	0.6
	16 May 2013 06:00	Chiladi	Bangladesh	0.6
	16 May 2013 07:00	Char Lakshmi	Bangladesh	0.6
	16 May 2013 06:00	Dhurung	Bangladesh	0.6
	16 May 2013 07:00	Kalarmarchara	Bangladesh	0.6
	16 May 2013 07:00	Saflapur	Bangladesh	0.6
	16 May 2013 07:00	Fulchhari	Bangladesh	0.6
	16 May 2013 09:00	Nilkamal	Bangladesh	0.6
	16 May 2013 09:00	Fatehjangpur	Bangladesh	0.6
	16 May 2013 09:00	Char Haim	Bangladesh	0.6
	16 May 2013 09:00	Bausia	Bangladesh	0.6
	16 May 2013 09:00	Goal Bhaor	Bangladesh	0.6
	16 May 2013 09:00	Char Bansi	Bangladesh	0.6
	16 May 2013 07:00	Ali Akbardeil	Bangladesh	0.6
	16 May 2013 06:00	Char Bedama	Bangladesh	0.6
	16 May 2013 06:00	Char Kadira	Bangladesh	0.6
	16 May 2013 07:00	Dineshpur	Bangladesh	0.5
	16 May 2013 10:00	Andharmanik	Bangladesh	0.5
	16 May 2013 10:00	Char Lakshmi	Bangladesh	0.5
	16 May 2013 10:00	Chandpur	Bangladesh	0.5
	16 May 2013 10:00	Majanadi	Bangladesh	0.5
	16 May 2013 06:00	Char Lawrence	Bangladesh	0.5
	16 May 2013 10:00	Mahishkhola	Bangladesh	0.5
	16 May 2013 10:00	Char Nandanpur	Bangladesh	0.5
	16 May 2013 10:00	Pangasia	Bangladesh	0.5
	16 May 2013 06:00	Dhalghata	Bangladesh	0.4
	16 May 2013 13:00	Mehdigunj	Bangladesh	0.4
	16 May 2013 06:00	Amavasyakhali	Bangladesh	0.4
	16 May 2013 06:00	Khurushkul	Bangladesh	0.4
	16 May 2013 03:00	Char Bagala	Bangladesh	0.4
	16 May 2013 06:00	Pechardwip	Bangladesh	0.3
	16 May 2013 06:00	Dhoapalong	Bangladesh	0.3
	16 May 2013 06:00	Ghatibhanga	Bangladesh	0.3
	16 May 2013 12:00	Hogla Char	Bangladesh	0.3
	16 May 2013 12:00	Atpara	Bangladesh	0.3
	16 May 2013 05:00	Coxs Bazar	Bangladesh	0.3
	16 May 2013 05:00	Fasiakhali	Bangladesh	0.3
	16 May 2013 13:00	Adhara	Bangladesh	0.3
	16 May 2013 17:00	Anantasar	Bangladesh	0.3
	16 May 2013 17:00	Ahadi Bayatir Kandi	Bangladesh	0.3
	16 May 2013 17:00	Baniagaon	Bangladesh	0.3
	16 May 2013 17:00	Bhatkul	Bangladesh	0.3
	16 May 2013 17:00	Banari	Bangladesh	0.3
	16 May 2013 17:00	Baghia	Bangladesh	0.3
	16 May 2013 17:00	Naria	Bangladesh	0.3
	16 May 2013 04:00	Kelatali	Bangladesh	0.3
	16 May 2013 04:00	Tumbru	Myanmar	0.2
	16 May 2013 04:00	Whaikhyang	Bangladesh	0.2
	16 May 2013 04:00	Jaliapalong	Bangladesh	0.2
	16 May 2013 04:00	Inani	Bangladesh	0.2
	16 May 2013 04:00	Monakhali	Bangladesh	0.2
	16 May 2013 02:00	Dakshim Nhila	Bangladesh	0.2
	16 May 2013 02:00	Atikhalipara	Bangladesh	0.2
	16 May 2013 03:00	Ale Kalaywa	Myanmar	0.2
	16 May 2013 04:00	Silkhali	Bangladesh	0.2
	16 May 2013 03:00	Teknaf	Bangladesh	0.2
	16 May 2013 04:00	Kyunbouk	Myanmar	0.2
	16 May 2013 03:00	Dakhinpara	Bangladesh	0.2
	16 May 2013 03:00	Kanyinchaung	Myanmar	0.2
	16 May 2013 02:00	Donbaik	Myanmar	0.2
	16 May 2013 02:00	Rathedaung	Myanmar	0.2
	16 May 2013 02:00	Kudaung	Myanmar	0.2
	16 May 2013 05:00	Char Kali	Bangladesh	0.2
	16 May 2013 03:00	Bardeil	Bangladesh	0.2
	16 May 2013 03:00	Jaliapara	Bangladesh	0.2
	16 May 2013 03:00	Zawmadat	Myanmar	0.2
	16 May 2013 09:00	Sibsa Point	Bangladesh	0.2
	16 May 2013 05:00	Bageswari	Bangladesh	0.1
	16 May 2013 05:00	Chandkati	Bangladesh	0.1
	16 May 2013 10:00	Bara Patharghata	Bangladesh	0.1
	15 May 2013 17:00	Satabhaya	India	0.1
	16 May 2013 00:00	Seiktaya	Myanmar	0.1
	16 May 2013 01:00	Aindin	Myanmar	0.1
	16 May 2013 03:00	Anauk Myinhlut	Myanmar	0.1
	16 May 2013 00:00	Taikkyua	Myanmar	0.1
	16 May 2013 00:00	Thabyichaung	Myanmar	0.1
	16 May 2013 00:00	Nga Thamok	Myanmar	0.1
	16 May 2013 00:00	Magyi-ywa	Myanmar	0.1
	16 May 2013 00:00	Gyibyin	Myanmar	0.1
	16 May 2013 00:00	Temauk	Myanmar	0.1
	16 May 2013 01:00	Kangyaung	Myanmar	0.1
	13 May 2013 12:00	Talaimannar	Sri Lanka	0.1
	13 May 2013 12:00	Chiruttoppu	Sri Lanka	0.1
	15 May 2013 12:00	Bideipur	India	0.1
	15 May 2013 12:00	Rasalpur	India	0.1
	16 May 2013 05:00	Bazemahal	Bangladesh	0.1
	16 May 2013 05:00	Baga	Bangladesh	0.1
	16 May 2013 03:00	Kyaukpandu	Myanmar	0.1
	16 May 2013 00:00	Chaunggya	Myanmar	0.1
	16 May 2013 00:00	Peikseik	Myanmar	0.1
	16 May 2013 00:00	Koyanbyin	Myanmar	0.1
	16 May 2013 00:00	Byichaung	Myanmar	0.1
	16 May 2013 00:00	Kyunthaya	Myanmar	0.1
	16 May 2013 00:00	Phapholting	Myanmar	0.1
	16 May 2013 00:00	Thawinchaung	Myanmar	0.1
	16 May 2013 00:00	Ponnagyi	Myanmar	0.1
	16 May 2013 00:00	Chindaung	Myanmar	0.1
	16 May 2013 05:00	Bisarikati Charkhanda	Bangladesh	0.1
	16 May 2013 06:00	Mahisha Gagaria	Bangladesh	0.1
	16 May 2013 05:00	Char Chandra Prasad	Bangladesh	0.1
	16 May 2013 03:00	Hparabyin	Myanmar	0.1
	16 May 2013 00:00	Amaw	Myanmar	0.1
	16 May 2013 00:00	Kyaukpyinseik	Myanmar	0.1
	16 May 2013 00:00	Myaukpyin	Myanmar	0.1