Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CHANTAL-13
in Haiti, Cuba, Jamaica, Dominican Republic, Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
10 Jul 2013 09 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • JRC
Impact Single TC
    Impact based on all weather systems in the area

    Impact

      Tropical Cyclone CHANTAL-13 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

      Meteorological source GDACS
      Exposed countries Haiti, Cuba, Jamaica, Dominican Republic, Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
      Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
      Maximum wind speed 111 km/h
      Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (11 Jul 20:00 UTC)
      Vulnerability High (Haiti)

      GDACS Score

      GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
      For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
        Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
      Current 74 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
      Overall 111 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5

      Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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      Wind

        74 km/h Current Max.

        Up to no people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

        Impact Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
          Tropical Storm or higher          		 Population in
          Cat 1. or higher          		 Countries
          Green 1 08 Jul 2013 03:00 101 No people No people Haiti, Cuba, United States, Dominican Republic, Bahamas, Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
          Orange 2 08 Jul 2013 09:00 101 No people No people Haiti, Cuba, United States, Dominican Republic, Bahamas, Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
          Green 3 08 Jul 2013 15:00 111 No people No people Dominican Republic, Haiti, Cuba, United States, Bahamas, Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
          Green 4 08 Jul 2013 21:00 111 No people No people Dominican Republic, Haiti, Cuba, Bahamas, Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Puerto Rico
          Green 5 09 Jul 2013 03:00 111 No people No people Dominican Republic, Haiti, Cuba, Bahamas, Barbados, Guadeloupe, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Puerto Rico
          Green 6 09 Jul 2013 09:00 111 No people No people Dominican Republic, Haiti, Bahamas, Barbados, Guadeloupe, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Puerto Rico
          Green 7 09 Jul 2013 15:00 111 No people No people Dominican Republic, Haiti, Cuba, Bahamas, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Puerto Rico
          Green 8 09 Jul 2013 21:00 111 No people No people Dominican Republic, Haiti, Cuba, United States, Bahamas, Puerto Rico
          Green 9 10 Jul 2013 03:00 93 No people No people Haiti, Cuba, United States, Dominican Republic, Bahamas
          Green 10 10 Jul 2013 09:00 74 No people No people Haiti, Cuba, United States, Dominican Republic

          Bulletin Timeline

            Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
            (SSHS)             		Max winds
            (km/h)             		Population in
            Cat.1 or higher             		Population in
            Tropical Storm
            or higher             		Location (lat, lon) Countries
            green
            		 1 7/8/2013 3:00:00 AM Tropical storm 64 no people no people 9.8, -47.2
            green
            		 2 7/8/2013 9:00:00 AM Tropical storm 64 no people no people 10.4, -49.5
            green
            		 3 7/8/2013 3:00:00 PM Tropical storm 74 no people no people 10.9, -51.7
            green
            		 4 7/8/2013 9:00:00 PM Tropical storm 74 no people no people 11.8, -53.9
            green
            		 5 7/9/2013 3:00:00 AM Tropical storm 84 no people no people 12.4, -56.1 Barbados
            green
            		 6 7/9/2013 9:00:00 AM Tropical storm 84 no people no people 13.3, -58.4 Barbados, Dominica, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
            green
            		 7 7/9/2013 3:00:00 PM Tropical storm 93 no people no people 14.4, -61.5 Dominica, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
            green
            		 8 7/9/2013 9:00:00 PM Tropical storm 101 no people no people 15.2, -63.7 Puerto Rico
            green
            		 9 7/10/2013 3:00:00 AM Tropical storm 93 no people no people 15.3, -66.2
            green
            		 10 7/10/2013 9:00:00 AM Tropical storm 74 no people no people 16.5, -69.5 Haiti, Dominican Republic
            green
            		 10 7/10/2013 6:00:00 PM Tropical storm 64 no people no people 17.8, -72.3 Haiti, Cuba, United States, Dominican Republic
            green
            		 10 7/11/2013 6:00:00 AM Tropical depression 56 no people no people 19.5, -75.7
            green
            		 10 7/11/2013 6:00:00 PM Tropical depression 56 no people no people 21.5, -78.5
            green
            		 10 7/12/2013 6:00:00 AM Tropical depression 56 no people no people 23.8, -79.5
            green
            		 10 7/13/2013 6:00:00 AM Tropical depression 56 no people no people 27.5, -80
            green
            		 10 7/14/2013 6:00:00 AM Tropical storm 64 no people no people 31, -81
            green
            		 10 7/15/2013 6:00:00 AM Tropical depression 47 no people no people 32.5, -82
            **
            Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO
            Actual track of the current bulletin
            The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
            Download:



            Exposed population - AoIs

            Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

            Provinces

            Country Region Province
            Haiti Grand Anse
            Haiti Nord-Ouest
            Haiti Sud
            Cuba Guantanamo
            Cuba Granma
            Cuba Holguin
            Cuba Santiago de Cuba
            United States Guantanamo Bay
            Haiti Artibonite
            Haiti Centre
            Haiti Ouest
            Haiti Sud-Est
            Dominican Republic Baoruco
            Dominican Republic Barahona
            Dominican Republic Independencia
            Dominican Republic La Estrelleta
            Dominican Republic Pedernales
            Dominican Republic San Juan
            Dominican Republic Azua
            Dominican Republic Peravia
            Dominican Republic San Cristobal
            Barbados Barbados
            Dominica Dominica
            Saint Lucia St. Lucia
            Martinique Martinique
            Saint Vincent and the Grenadines St. Vincent & the Grenadines

            Populated places

            Name Region Province Country City class Population
            Fort-de-France Martinique Capital 89000 people
            Castries Castries St. Lucia Capital 13000 people
            Kingstown Saint George St. Vincent and the Grenadines Capital 18000 people
            Port-au-Prince Ouest Haiti Capital 1.2 million people
            Roseau Saint George Dominica Capital 17000 people
            Bridgetown Saint Michael Barbados Capital 97000 people
            Saint-Marc Artibonite Haiti City 65000 people
            Pétionville Ouest Haiti City 91000 people
            Neiba Baoruco Dominican Republic City -
            Azua Azua Dominican Republic City 59000 people
            Petit-Goave Ouest Haiti City -
            Vicente Noble Barahona Dominican Republic City 11000 people
            Duvergé Independencia Dominican Republic City 9800 people
            Baní Peravia Dominican Republic City 58000 people
            Cabral Barahona Dominican Republic City 12000 people
            Jacmel Sud-Est Haiti City 33000 people
            Barahona Barahona Dominican Republic City 76000 people
            Jérémie Grand'Anse Haiti City 30000 people
            Les Cayes Sud Haiti City 59000 people
            Palma Soriano Santiago de Cuba Cuba City 100000 people
            Guantánamo Guantánamo Cuba City 260000 people
            Santiago de Cuba Santiago de Cuba Cuba City 550000 people

            Critical infrastructure

            Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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            Rainfall

            Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

            ...

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            StormSurge

            0.3 m

            The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in El Toro, Cuba. This height is estimated for 11 Jul 2013 20:00 UTC .

            The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

            Locations affected by Storm surge (29 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 11 of 10 Jul 2013 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

            Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
            11 Jul 2013 20:00 El Toro Cuba  0.3
            11 Jul 2013 19:00 Jucaro Cuba  0.2
            09 Jul 2013 14:00 Cap Estate St. Lucia  0.2
            09 Jul 2013 14:00 Le Vauclin Martinique  0.2
            09 Jul 2013 14:00 Castries St. Lucia  0.2
            09 Jul 2013 14:00 Fonds Panier Martinique  0.2
            09 Jul 2013 14:00 Sainte-Anne Martinique  0.2
            11 Jul 2013 19:00 Playa Santa Maria Cuba  0.2
            09 Jul 2013 14:00 Les Anses dArlets Martinique  0.1
            09 Jul 2013 14:00 Anbre St. Lucia  0.1
            09 Jul 2013 15:00 Hyacinthe Martinique  0.1
            11 Jul 2013 21:00 Tunas de Zaza Cuba  0.1
            11 Jul 2013 20:00 El Caney Cuba  0.1
            09 Jul 2013 11:00 Collins Barbados  0.1
            09 Jul 2013 11:00 Bathsheba Barbados  0.1
            09 Jul 2013 11:00 Speightstown Barbados  0.1
            09 Jul 2013 11:00 Mullins Bay Barbados  0.1
            09 Jul 2013 14:00 Fort-de-France Martinique  0.1
            09 Jul 2013 14:00 Soufriere St. Lucia  0.1
            09 Jul 2013 14:00 Bosquet d'Or St. Lucia  0.1
            09 Jul 2013 11:00 Sam Lord's Castle Barbados  0.1
            09 Jul 2013 11:00 Holetown Barbados  0.1
            09 Jul 2013 15:00 Sainte Pierre Martinique  0.1
            09 Jul 2013 11:00 Saint Lawrence Gap Barbados  0.1
            09 Jul 2013 11:00 Oistins Barbados  0.1
            09 Jul 2013 11:00 Gibbons Barbados  0.1
            09 Jul 2013 14:00 Lero Martinique  0.1
            09 Jul 2013 14:00 Vieux Fort St. Lucia  0.1
            09 Jul 2013 15:00 Basse-Pointe Martinique  0.1