Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for MADI-13 in India from 07 Dec 2013 06:00 UTC to 12 Dec 2013 00:00 UTC

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Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MADI-13 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	India
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	138 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (12 Dec 13:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	64 km/h	0.4 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	138 km/h	0.4 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

64 km/h Current Max.

Up to 5.4 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	06 Dec 2013 00:00	111	---	No people
2	06 Dec 2013 06:00	121	---	No people
3	06 Dec 2013 12:00	121	---	No people
5	07 Dec 2013 00:00	130	---	No people
6	07 Dec 2013 06:00	130	---	No people
7	07 Dec 2013 12:00	138	---	No people
8	07 Dec 2013 18:00	138	---	No people
9	08 Dec 2013 00:00	138	---	No people
10	08 Dec 2013 06:00	121	---	No people
11	08 Dec 2013 12:00	121	---	No people
12	08 Dec 2013 18:00	121	---	No people
13	09 Dec 2013 00:00	121	---	No people	India
14	09 Dec 2013 06:00	111	No people	No people	India
15	09 Dec 2013 12:00	111	No people	No people	India
16	09 Dec 2013 18:00	111	No people	No people	India
17	10 Dec 2013 00:00	111	No people	No people	India, Sri Lanka
18	10 Dec 2013 06:00	130	No people	No people	India
19	10 Dec 2013 12:00	111	No people	No people	India
20	10 Dec 2013 18:00	93	No people	No people	India
21	11 Dec 2013 00:00	84	No people	No people	India
22	11 Dec 2013 06:00	74	No people	No people	India
23	11 Dec 2013 12:00	74	No people	No people	India
24	11 Dec 2013 18:00	64	No people	No people
25	12 Dec 2013 00:00	64	No people	No people

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	12/6/2013	Tropical storm	64	no people	no people	9.8, 83.8
2	12/6/2013 6:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	64	no people	no people	10.1, 83.6
3	12/6/2013 12:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	9.8, 83.7
4		Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	10, 83.9
5	12/7/2013	Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	10.4, 83.8
6	12/7/2013 6:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	101	no people	no people	10.4, 84.3
7	12/7/2013 12:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	11, 84.5
8	12/7/2013 6:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	11.4, 84.5
9	12/8/2013	Category 1	121	no people	no people	11.9, 84.5
10	12/8/2013 6:00:00 AM	Category 1	121	no people	no people	12.4, 84.6
11	12/8/2013 12:00:00 PM	Category 1	121	no people	no people	13, 84.8
12	12/8/2013 6:00:00 PM	Category 1	121	no people	no people	13.5, 84.6
13	12/9/2013	Category 1	121	no people	no people	13.8, 84.6
14	12/9/2013 6:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	14.4, 84.7
15	12/9/2013 12:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	14.6, 84.8
16	12/9/2013 6:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	15, 84.8
17	12/10/2013	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	15, 85.3
18	12/10/2013 6:00:00 AM	Category 1	130	no people	no people	15.4, 85.3
19	12/10/2013 12:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	15.1, 84.9
20	12/10/2013 6:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	14.7, 84.7
21	12/11/2013	Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	14.5, 84.2
22	12/11/2013 6:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	13.9, 83.6
23	12/11/2013 12:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	13.4, 83.1
24	12/11/2013 6:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	64	no people	no people	12.9, 82.7
25	12/12/2013	Tropical storm	64	no people	5.4 million people	12.2, 82	India
25	12/12/2013 12:00:00 PM	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	10.9, 80.2	India
25	12/13/2013	Tropical depression	47	no people	no people	9.9, 78	India

Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Provinces

Country	Region Province
India	Pondicherry
India	Tamil Nadu

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Cuddalore	Tamil Nadu	India	City	-
Porto Novo	Tamil Nadu	India	City	-
Chidambaram	Tamil Nadu	India	City	58000 people
Mannargudi	Tamil Nadu	India	City	-
Sirkazhi	Tamil Nadu	India	City	-
Mayuram	Tamil Nadu	India	City	-
Tranquebar	Tamil Nadu	India	City	-
Kumbakonam	Tamil Nadu	India	City	140000 people
Karikal	Pondicherry	India	City	-
Papanasam	Tamil Nadu	India	City	16000 people
Nagappattinam	Tamil Nadu	India	City	-
Thiruvarur	Tamil Nadu	India	City	57000 people
Mannargudi	Tamil Nadu	India	City	63000 people
Muttupet	Tamil Nadu	India	City	21000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Kiranchi, Sri Lanka. This height is estimated for 12 Dec 2013 13:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (58 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 23 of 11 Dec 2013 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	12 Dec 2013 13:00	Kiranchi	Sri Lanka	0.4
	12 Dec 2013 14:00	Pooneryn	Sri Lanka	0.4
	12 Dec 2013 14:00	Point Pedro	Sri Lanka	0.4
	12 Dec 2013 14:00	Ampan	Sri Lanka	0.4
	12 Dec 2013 22:00	Vedaranyam	India	0.4
	12 Dec 2013 22:00	Vedaranniyam	India	0.4
	12 Dec 2013 14:00	Kayts	Sri Lanka	0.3
	13 Dec 2013 00:00	Kattumavadi	India	0.3
	11 Dec 2013 19:00	Chiruttoppu	Sri Lanka	0.3
	11 Dec 2013 19:00	Mannar	Sri Lanka	0.3
	12 Dec 2013 12:00	Porto Novo	India	0.3
	13 Dec 2013 00:00	Manamelkudi	India	0.2
	12 Dec 2013 12:00	Kalapettai	India	0.2
	12 Dec 2013 13:00	Kaveripattanam	India	0.2
	12 Dec 2013 11:00	Silavatturai	Sri Lanka	0.2
	12 Dec 2013 13:00	Tirumullaivasal	India	0.2
	13 Dec 2013 00:00	Ammapatam	India	0.2
	11 Dec 2013 21:00	Anaippapan	Sri Lanka	0.2
	12 Dec 2013 13:00	Tranquebar	India	0.2
	12 Dec 2013 13:00	Tarangambadi	India	0.2
	12 Dec 2013 12:00	Pondicherry	India	0.2
	12 Dec 2013 18:00	Talaimannar	Sri Lanka	0.2
	12 Dec 2013 12:00	Marakkanam	India	0.2
	13 Dec 2013 00:00	Tondi	India	0.2
	12 Dec 2013 10:00	Kuvattur	India	0.2
	12 Dec 2013 16:00	Karaikal	India	0.2
	12 Dec 2013 16:00	Accarapatam	India	0.2
	12 Dec 2013 12:00	Purnankuppam	India	0.2
	12 Dec 2013 09:00	Mahabalipuram	India	0.2
	12 Dec 2013 13:00	Cuddalore	India	0.2
	11 Dec 2013 08:00	Kakinada	India	0.2
	13 Dec 2013 00:00	Kottaippattanam	India	0.2
	12 Dec 2013 14:00	Delft Centre	Sri Lanka	0.2
	11 Dec 2013 13:00	Therunattam	India	0.2
	12 Dec 2013 16:00	Nagappattinam	India	0.2
	07 Dec 2013 00:00	Pomparippu	Sri Lanka	0.2
	12 Dec 2013 03:00	Durgarajupatnam	India	0.1
	12 Dec 2013 07:00	Kelambakkam	India	0.1
	07 Dec 2013 00:00	Kurichchikadu	Sri Lanka	0.1
	07 Dec 2013 01:00	Alankuda	Sri Lanka	0.1
	07 Dec 2013 01:00	Mudalaipalai	Sri Lanka	0.1
	07 Dec 2013 01:00	Puttalam	Sri Lanka	0.1
	07 Dec 2013 01:00	Karadipuval	Sri Lanka	0.1
	10 Dec 2013 19:00	Pentakota	India	0.1
	12 Dec 2013 12:00	Pakala	India	0.1
	12 Dec 2013 12:00	Kottapatnam	India	0.1
	12 Dec 2013 10:00	Saint Thomas Mount	India	0.1
	12 Dec 2013 16:00	Velangann	India	0.1
	07 Dec 2013 00:00	Rameswaram	India	0.1
	12 Dec 2013 05:00	Ennore	India	0.1
	07 Dec 2013 00:00	Kalpitiya	Sri Lanka	0.1
	07 Dec 2013 00:00	Chundikkulam	Sri Lanka	0.1
	12 Dec 2013 08:00	Chakicherla	India	0.1
	12 Dec 2013 12:00	Ullapalem	India	0.1
	11 Dec 2013 21:00	Vatturupallepalem	India	0.1
	11 Dec 2013 20:00	Govundlapalem	India	0.1
	12 Dec 2013 06:00	Peddapatnam	India	0.1
	12 Dec 2013 08:00	Madhavaram	India	0.1