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Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PHANFONE-14
in Japanfrom 29 Sep 2014 06:00 UTC to 06 Oct 2014 06:00 UTC
Automatic impact report for tropical cyclone PHANFONE-14
alertimage

Current Green alert for wind impact in Japan as of 06 Oct 2014 06:00:00 UTC

This tropical cyclone is expected to have a low humanitarian impact based on the storm strength and the affected population in the past and forecasted path.

Current storm status

This report is for advisory number 31 of tropical cyclone PHANFONE-14 issued at 06 Oct 2014 06:00 UTC (GDACS Event ID 48205, Latest episode ID: 31, inserted at 06 Oct 2014 08:03 UTC ).

Current impact estimate:

  • Population affected by Category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 39.3 million
  • Tropical Storm (maximum wind speed of 241 km/h)
  • Vulnerability of affected countries: Low

Impact of Extreme Wind

1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9  10  11  12  13  14  15  17  18  19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28  29  30  31  
Cloud map
Cloud map. Track and wind-buffer map. Green area: Area that can be affected by winds of more than 64 km/h (Tropical Storm strength). Orange area: Same, for winds of more than 92 km/h. Red area: Same, for winds above 120 km/h (Hurricane or Typhoon strength) (Source: JRC)
Cloud Map Zoomed on last forecast
Cloud Map Zoomed on last forecast. The zoomed map on the last track. (Source: JRC)

Affected population

Up to 39.3 million people people can be affected by wind speeds of cyclone strength or above. In addition, 4.8 million people people are living in coastal areas below 5m and can therefore be affected by storm surge.

Affected provinces

Country Region Province Population
Japan Chubu 5.1 million people
Japan Kinki 22.2 million people
Japan Kanto 38.5 million people

Affected Populated Places (first 20 records)

(first 20 records)
Name Region Province Country City class Population
Tokyo Tokyo Japan Capital 8.1 million people
Shizuoka Shizuoka Japan Major city 700000 people
Yokohama Kanagawa Japan Major city 3.5 million people
Mito Ibaraki Japan Major city 240000 people
Chiba Chiba Japan Major city 910000 people
Kawasaki Kanagawa Japan Major city 1.2 million people
Ito Shizuoka Japan City 71000 people
Fujieda Shizuoka Japan City 130000 people
Yaizu Shizuoka Japan City 110000 people
Shimada Shizuoka Japan City 75000 people
Kakeoawa Shizuoka Japan City -
Matsuzaki Shizuoka Japan City -
Toyohashi Aichi Japan City 370000 people
Hamamatsu Shizuoka Japan City 590000 people
Arai Shizuoka Japan City -
Tanabe Wakayama Japan City 69000 people
Shingu Wakayama Japan City 31000 people
Kushimoto Wakayama Japan City -
Noda Chiba Japan City 110000 people
Kawagoe Saitama Japan City 330000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Nearby and affected airports (first 20 records)
Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Shizuhama 7 Civ. Paved Yes 4900
Oshima OIM 40 Civ. Paved Yes 3900
Hamamatsu 46 Mil. Paved Yes 8300
Nanki Shirahama SHM 105 Civ. Paved Yes 5900
Chiba-ken 19
Iruma 91 Mil. Paved Yes 6500
Yokota AFB OKO 139 Mil. Paved Yes 11000
Tachikawa 95
Chofu 41 Civ. Paved No 3200
Tokyo Haneda International HND 7 Civ. Paved Yes 9800
Katsner AAF 109 Civ. Paved No 1900
Atsugi NJA 62 Mil. Paved Yes 7900
Nashigahara 1001
Kisarazu 3 Mil. Paved Yes 6000
Fuji 686
Hyakuri 32 Mil. Paved Yes 8800
26
Ryugasaki 2
Ryugasaki South 2
Shimofusa 30 Civ. Paved Yes 7300
Major ports (first 20 records)
Name LOCODE Country
Anegasaki JPANE Japan
Chiba JPCHB Japan
Choshi JPCHO Japan
Goi JPGOI Japan
Hamamatsu JPHMM Japan
Hitachi JPHTC Japan
Kashima JPKSM Japan
Kawasaki JPKWS Japan
Kisarazu JPKZU Japan
Kurihama JPKRH Japan
Numazu JPNUM Japan
Ogasawara JPOGA Japan
Omaezaki JPOMZ Japan
Oshima JPOSM Japan
Owase JPOWA Japan
Shimizu JPSMZ Japan
Shimoda JPSMD Japan
Shingu JPSHN Japan
Tagonour JPTGO Japan
Tanabe JPTAE Japan
Hydro-dams (first 20 records)
Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Jajanboike Kozogawa Kozogawa 1985
Kasumigaura Kasumigaura-Kaihatsu Tonegawa 1995
Sayamako Yamaguchi Tamagawa 2002
Tamako Murayamakami Tamagawa 1924
Tamako Murayamashimo Tamagawa 2008
Ono Ono Yatagawa 1914
Sagamiko Sagami Sagamigawa 1947
Tsukuiko Shiroyama Sagamigawa 1964
Miyagaseko Miyagase Nakatsugawa 2001
Yamakura Yamakura Yamakuragawa 1964
Tanzawako Miho Kawauchigawa 1978
Takatakiko Takataki Yorogawa 1990
Kori Kori Korigawa 1972
Tenshiko Kakimoto Sanogawa 1952
Iizumishusuizeki Iizumishusuizeki Sakawagawa 1973
Kameyamako Kameyama Obitsugawa 1980
Ikawako Ikawa Oigawa 1957
Sakuma Sakuma Okuzuregawa 1990
Akibako Akiha Tenryugawa 1958
Sasama Sasamagawa Sasamagawa 1960

See complete report

Event time line

The storm evolution is shown in the table below. Alert levels and population estimates are related to the area from a point to the next.

Advisory Alert color Date (UTC) Category Wind speed Wind gusts Population affected
by cyclone winds (>120km/h)
Location (lat, lon)
1
green
9/28/2014 6:00:00 PM Tropical depression 47 km/h (29 mph) 64 km/h (40 mph) no people 12.4, 153.3
2
green
9/29/2014 Tropical storm 64 km/h (40 mph) 84 km/h (52 mph) no people 12.5, 152.2
3
green
9/29/2014 6:00:00 AM Tropical storm 64 km/h (40 mph) 84 km/h (52 mph) no people 13.2, 151
4
green
9/29/2014 12:00:00 PM Tropical storm 74 km/h (46 mph) 93 km/h (58 mph) no people 13.5, 150.1
5
green
9/29/2014 6:00:00 PM Tropical storm 84 km/h (52 mph) 101 km/h (63 mph) no people 14.1, 149.5
6
green
9/30/2014 Tropical storm 84 km/h (52 mph) 101 km/h (63 mph) no people 15.4, 148.3
7
green
9/30/2014 6:00:00 AM Tropical storm 74 km/h (46 mph) km/h ( mph) no people 16.6, 147.2
8
green
9/30/2014 12:00:00 PM Tropical storm 84 km/h (52 mph) km/h ( mph) no people 16.9, 145.5
9
green
9/30/2014 6:00:00 PM Tropical storm 93 km/h (58 mph) km/h ( mph) no people 16.6, 144.4
10
green
10/1/2014 Category 1 121 km/h (75 mph) km/h ( mph) no people 16.7, 143.6
11
green
10/1/2014 6:00:00 AM Category 1 121 km/h (75 mph) km/h ( mph) no people 18, 142.5
12
green
10/1/2014 12:00:00 PM Category 1 130 km/h (81 mph) km/h ( mph) no people 19, 141.4
13
green
10/1/2014 6:00:00 PM Category 1 138 km/h (86 mph) km/h ( mph) no people 18.9, 140.3
14
green
10/2/2014 Category 3 195 km/h (121 mph) km/h ( mph) no people 19.5, 139
15
green
10/2/2014 6:00:00 AM Category 4 212 km/h (132 mph) km/h ( mph) no people 19.8, 138.2
16
green
Category 3 204 km/h (127 mph) 249 km/h (155 mph) no people 20.6, 137.4
17
green
10/2/2014 6:00:00 PM Category 3 204 km/h (127 mph) km/h ( mph) no people 21.7, 136.3
18
green
10/3/2014 Category 3 204 km/h (127 mph) km/h ( mph) no people 22.2, 135.6
19
green
10/3/2014 6:00:00 AM Category 3 204 km/h (127 mph) km/h ( mph) no people 23.2, 134.7
20
green
10/3/2014 12:00:00 PM Category 3 195 km/h (121 mph) km/h ( mph) no people 24, 134
21
green
10/3/2014 6:00:00 PM Category 4 212 km/h (132 mph) km/h ( mph) no people 24.7, 133.4
22
green
10/4/2014 Category 4 241 km/h (150 mph) km/h ( mph) no people 25.6, 132.8
23
green
10/4/2014 6:00:00 AM Category 4 222 km/h (138 mph) km/h ( mph) no people 26.4, 132.2
24
green
10/4/2014 12:00:00 PM Category 3 204 km/h (127 mph) km/h ( mph) no people 27.3, 131.7
25
green
10/4/2014 6:00:00 PM Category 3 204 km/h (127 mph) km/h ( mph) no people 28.1, 131.5
26
green
10/5/2014 Category 3 185 km/h (115 mph) km/h ( mph) no people 28.9, 131.4
27
green
10/5/2014 6:00:00 AM Category 2 167 km/h (104 mph) km/h ( mph) 280000 people 30.2, 131.8
28
green
10/5/2014 12:00:00 PM Category 2 167 km/h (104 mph) km/h ( mph) 89000 people 31.3, 133.2
29
green
10/5/2014 6:00:00 PM Category 1 148 km/h (92 mph) km/h ( mph) 4.1 million people 32.9, 135.4
30
green
10/6/2014 Category 1 130 km/h (81 mph) km/h ( mph) 37.3 million people 34.8, 138.5
31
green
10/6/2014 6:00:00 AM Tropical storm 111 km/h (69 mph) km/h ( mph) no people 37.2, 142.5
31
green
10/6/2014 6:00:00 PM Tropical storm 84 km/h (52 mph) km/h ( mph) no people 40.2, 152.7
31
green
10/7/2014 6:00:00 AM Tropical depression 56 km/h (35 mph) km/h ( mph) no people 41.5, 164.4

Previous advisories

For accessing reports of previous advisories, please click on the advisory number in the table below.

IDAlert ColorDate (UTC)CategoryMaximum sustained
wind speed (km/h)
Population affected
by cyclone winds (>120km/h)
Affected countries
1 28 Sep 2014 18:00 Category 2 158 No people affected  
2 29 Sep 2014 00:00 Category 3 185 No people affected  
3 29 Sep 2014 06:00 Category 4 232 No people affected Northern Mariana Islands
4 29 Sep 2014 12:00 Category 4 232 No people affected Northern Mariana Islands
5 29 Sep 2014 18:00 Category 4 232 No people affected Northern Mariana Islands
6 30 Sep 2014 00:00 Category 4 222 No people affected Northern Mariana Islands
7 30 Sep 2014 06:00 Category 4 212 No people affected  
8 30 Sep 2014 12:00 Category 4 212 No people affected  
9 30 Sep 2014 18:00 Category 4 212 No people affected Japan
10 01 Oct 2014 00:00 Category 4 232 No people affected Japan
11 01 Oct 2014 06:00 Category 4 232 No people affected Japan
12 01 Oct 2014 12:00 Category 4 222 10.9 million Japan
13 01 Oct 2014 18:00 Category 4 222 No people affected Japan
14 02 Oct 2014 00:00 Category 4 241 No people affected Japan
15 02 Oct 2014 06:00 Category 4 241 No people affected Japan
17 02 Oct 2014 18:00 Category 4 232 No people affected Japan
18 03 Oct 2014 00:00 Category 4 222 No people affected Japan
19 03 Oct 2014 06:00 Category 4 222 No people affected Japan
20 03 Oct 2014 12:00 Category 4 212 No people affected Japan
21 03 Oct 2014 18:00 Category 4 222 No people affected Japan
22 04 Oct 2014 00:00 Category 4 241 No people affected Japan
23 04 Oct 2014 06:00 Category 4 222 10.7 million Japan
24 04 Oct 2014 12:00 Category 3 204 35.9 million Japan
25 04 Oct 2014 18:00 Category 3 204 23.4 million Japan
26 05 Oct 2014 00:00 Category 3 185 34.5 million Japan
27 05 Oct 2014 06:00 Category 2 167 42.5 million Japan
28 05 Oct 2014 12:00 Category 2 167 28.9 million Japan
29 05 Oct 2014 18:00 Category 1 148 21.7 million Japan
30 06 Oct 2014 00:00 Category 1 130 34 million Japan
31 06 Oct 2014 06:00 Tropical storm 111 39.3 million  

More information

Data resources

For a full list of available products related to this event, please refer to the GDACS Resources page.

About the data

JRC set up an automatic routine that includes the Tropical Cyclone (TC) bulletins produced by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) into a single database, covering all TC basins.

JRC calculates areas affected by high winds (wind buffers at 39, 58 and 74mph). This is done using the maximum reported wind radius (maximum of 4 quadrants) or, in case no wind radii are provided, through a regression analysis based on historical data. JRC also calculates the area affected by storm surge using HyFlux2 (hydrodynamic software).

Sources for data on critical infrastructure are: JRC NUMAS database (nuclear plants), ESRI (hydro dams, 1996), Global Discovery (airports, ports and cities).

Population data is from LandScan 2014.

Disclaimer

While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information. The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.