Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for GUILLERMO-15
in United States
04 Aug 2015 09 UTC
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  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
  • GFS
  • HWRF
  • ECMWF
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone GUILLERMO-15 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries United States
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 185 km/h
    Maximum storm surge
    Vulnerability Low (United States)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 111 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 185 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      111 km/h Current Max.

      Up to no people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 30 Jul 2015 03:00 139 No people No people
        Green 2 30 Jul 2015 09:00 139 No people No people
        Green 3 30 Jul 2015 15:00 148 No people No people
        Green 4 30 Jul 2015 21:00 148 No people No people
        Green 5 31 Jul 2015 03:00 176 No people No people
        Green 6 31 Jul 2015 09:00 176 No people No people
        Green 7 31 Jul 2015 15:00 185 No people No people
        Green 8 31 Jul 2015 21:00 185 No people No people
        Green 9 01 Aug 2015 03:00 176 No people No people
        Green 10 01 Aug 2015 09:00 167 No people No people United States
        Green 11 01 Aug 2015 15:00 167 No people No people United States
        Green 12 01 Aug 2015 21:00 167 No people No people United States
        Green 13 02 Aug 2015 03:00 167 No people No people United States
        Green 14 02 Aug 2015 09:00 167 No people No people United States
        Green 15 02 Aug 2015 15:00 167 No people No people United States
        Green 16 02 Aug 2015 21:00 148 No people No people United States
        Green 17 03 Aug 2015 03:00 139 No people No people United States
        Green 18 03 Aug 2015 09:00 120 No people No people United States
        Green 19 03 Aug 2015 15:00 111 No people No people United States
        Green 20 03 Aug 2015 21:00 102 No people No people
        Green 21 04 Aug 2015 03:00 102 No people No people
        Green 22 04 Aug 2015 09:00 111 No people No people

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 30 Jul 2015 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 8.2, -125.3
          GREEN
          		 2 30 Jul 2015 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 8.5, -126.3
          GREEN
          		 3 30 Jul 2015 15:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 9.1, -127.5
          GREEN
          		 4 30 Jul 2015 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 9.8, -128.4
          GREEN
          		 5 31 Jul 2015 03:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 10.8, -129.3
          GREEN
          		 6 31 Jul 2015 09:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 11.5, -130.6
          GREEN
          		 7 31 Jul 2015 15:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 12.4, -132.7
          GREEN
          		 8 31 Jul 2015 21:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 12.7, -134.8
          GREEN
          		 9 01 Aug 2015 03:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 13.2, -136.1
          GREEN
          		 10 01 Aug 2015 09:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 13.4, -137.4
          GREEN
          		 11 01 Aug 2015 15:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 13.5, -139
          GREEN
          		 12 01 Aug 2015 21:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 13.8, -140.1
          GREEN
          		 13 02 Aug 2015 03:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 14, -141
          GREEN
          		 14 02 Aug 2015 09:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 14.2, -142.3
          GREEN
          		 15 02 Aug 2015 15:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 14.5, -143.5
          GREEN
          		 16 02 Aug 2015 21:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 15.2, -144.1
          GREEN
          		 17 03 Aug 2015 03:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 15.5, -145
          GREEN
          		 18 03 Aug 2015 09:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 16.2, -145.4
          GREEN
          		 19 03 Aug 2015 15:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 16.6, -146.1
          GREEN
          		 20 03 Aug 2015 21:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 17.5, -146.8
          GREEN
          		 21 04 Aug 2015 03:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 18.1, -147.4
          GREEN
          		 22 04 Aug 2015 09:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 18.9, -147.7
          GREEN
          		 22 04 Aug 2015 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 19.7, -148.9
          GREEN
          		 22 05 Aug 2015 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 20.5, -150.7
          GREEN
          		 22 05 Aug 2015 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 21.3, -152.6
          GREEN
          		 22 06 Aug 2015 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 22.2, -154.5
          GREEN
          		 22 07 Aug 2015 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 24.2, -158.5
          GREEN
          		 22 08 Aug 2015 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 26, -163
          GREEN
          		 22 09 Aug 2015 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 27, -167.5
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
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          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0 m

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 32 of 06 Aug 2015 21:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)