Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KILO-15
Off-shore
08 Sep 2015 18 UTC
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  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
  • GFS
  • HWRF
  • ECMWF
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone KILO-15 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 241 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (11 Sep 11:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability --

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 120 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 241 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      120 km/h Current Max.

      Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 47 01 Sep 2015 06:00 231 --- No people United States Minor Outlying Islands
        Green 48 01 Sep 2015 12:00 231 --- No people United States Minor Outlying Islands
        Green 49 01 Sep 2015 18:00 222 --- No people United States Minor Outlying Islands
        Green 50 02 Sep 2015 00:00 222 --- No people United States Minor Outlying Islands
        Green 51 02 Sep 2015 06:00 222 --- No people United States Minor Outlying Islands
        Green 52 02 Sep 2015 12:00 222 --- No people United States Minor Outlying Islands
        Green 53 02 Sep 2015 18:00 194 --- No people United States Minor Outlying Islands
        Green 54 03 Sep 2015 00:00 204 --- No people United States Minor Outlying Islands
        Green 55 03 Sep 2015 06:00 222 --- No people United States Minor Outlying Islands
        Green 56 03 Sep 2015 12:00 222 --- No people United States Minor Outlying Islands
        Green 57 03 Sep 2015 18:00 222 --- No people United States Minor Outlying Islands
        Green 58 04 Sep 2015 00:00 222 --- No people United States Minor Outlying Islands
        Green 59 04 Sep 2015 06:00 222 --- No people United States Minor Outlying Islands
        Green 60 04 Sep 2015 12:00 222 --- No people United States Minor Outlying Islands
        Green 61 04 Sep 2015 18:00 222 --- No people United States Minor Outlying Islands
        Green 62 05 Sep 2015 00:00 222 --- No people United States Minor Outlying Islands
        Green 63 05 Sep 2015 06:00 222 --- No people United States Minor Outlying Islands
        Green 64 05 Sep 2015 12:00 222 --- No people United States Minor Outlying Islands
        Green 65 05 Sep 2015 18:00 222 --- No people United States Minor Outlying Islands
        Green 66 06 Sep 2015 00:00 222 --- No people
        Green 67 06 Sep 2015 06:00 213 --- No people
        Green 68 06 Sep 2015 12:00 194 --- No people
        Green 69 06 Sep 2015 18:00 185 --- No people
        Green 70 07 Sep 2015 00:00 185 --- No people
        Green 71 07 Sep 2015 06:00 176 --- No people
        Green 72 07 Sep 2015 12:00 167 --- No people
        Green 73 07 Sep 2015 18:00 157 --- No people
        Green 74 08 Sep 2015 00:00 157 --- No people
        Green 75 08 Sep 2015 06:00 139 --- No people Russian Federation, United States Minor Outlying Islands
        Green 76 08 Sep 2015 12:00 120 --- No people Russian Federation, United States Minor Outlying Islands
        Green 77 08 Sep 2015 18:00 120 --- No people Russian Federation, Japan, United States Minor Outlying Islands

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 20 Aug 2015 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 11, -150.2
          GREEN
          		 2 21 Aug 2015 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 11, -151.5
          GREEN
          		 3 21 Aug 2015 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 12.3, -151.3
          GREEN
          		 4 21 Aug 2015 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 12.7, -151.7
          GREEN
          		 5 21 Aug 2015 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 13, -153.3
          GREEN
          		 6 22 Aug 2015 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.4, -154.9
          GREEN
          		 7 22 Aug 2015 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.3, -156.5
          GREEN
          		 8 22 Aug 2015 15:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 13.8, -158.2
          GREEN
          		 9 22 Aug 2015 21:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 14.2, -159.4
          GREEN
          		 10 23 Aug 2015 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 15.2, -160.7
          GREEN
          		 11 23 Aug 2015 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 15.2, -162.3
          GREEN
          		 13 23 Aug 2015 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 14.5, -164.9
          GREEN
          		 14 24 Aug 2015 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 14.5, -166.1
          GREEN
          		 15 24 Aug 2015 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 14.8, -166.7
          GREEN
          		 16 24 Aug 2015 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 15.6, -167.6
          GREEN
          		 17 24 Aug 2015 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 16.7, -167.8
          GREEN
          		 18 25 Aug 2015 03:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 17.4, -167.1
          GREEN
          		 19 25 Aug 2015 09:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 18.4, -167.3
          GREEN
          		 20 25 Aug 2015 15:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 18.5, -167.3
          GREEN
          		 21 25 Aug 2015 21:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 18.5, -167.2
          GREEN
          		 22 26 Aug 2015 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 18.6, -167.4
          GREEN
          		 23 26 Aug 2015 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 18.4, -167.9
          GREEN
          		 24 26 Aug 2015 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 18.9, -167.8
          GREEN
          		 25 26 Aug 2015 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 18.3, -167.6
          GREEN
          		 26 27 Aug 2015 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 17.9, -168.1
          GREEN
          		 27 27 Aug 2015 09:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 17.9, -168.1
          GREEN
          		 28 27 Aug 2015 15:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 17.8, -168.1
          GREEN
          		 29 27 Aug 2015 21:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 17.7, -168.5 United States Minor Outlying Islands
          GREEN
          		 30 28 Aug 2015 03:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 17.4, -169.1 United States Minor Outlying Islands
          GREEN
          		 31 28 Aug 2015 09:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 17.1, -169.8 United States Minor Outlying Islands
          GREEN
          		 32 28 Aug 2015 15:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 17.2, -170.6 United States Minor Outlying Islands
          GREEN
          		 33 28 Aug 2015 21:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 17.5, -171.7
          GREEN
          		 34 29 Aug 2015 03:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 17.7, -172.5
          GREEN
          		 35 29 Aug 2015 09:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 17.8, -173.3
          GREEN
          		 36 29 Aug 2015 15:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 18, -174.3
          GREEN
          		 37 29 Aug 2015 21:00 Category 3 204 no people no people 18, -175.5
          GREEN
          		 38 30 Aug 2015 03:00 Category 4 213 no people no people 18.4, -176.2
          GREEN
          		 39 30 Aug 2015 09:00 Category 4 222 no people no people 18.6, -176.8
          GREEN
          		 40 30 Aug 2015 15:00 Category 4 213 no people no people 18.9, -177.5
          GREEN
          		 41 30 Aug 2015 21:00 Category 3 204 no people no people 19.4, -178.1
          GREEN
          		 42 31 Aug 2015 03:00 Category 3 204 no people no people 20, -178.4
          GREEN
          		 43 31 Aug 2015 09:00 Category 4 213 no people no people 20.6, -178.6
          GREEN
          		 44 31 Aug 2015 15:00 Category 4 213 no people no people 21.5, -179.3
          GREEN
          		 45 31 Aug 2015 21:00 Category 4 213 no people no people 22, -179.5
          GREEN
          		 46 01 Sep 2015 03:00 Category 3 204 no people no people 22.6, -179.8
          GREEN
          		 47 01 Sep 2015 06:00 Category 3 194 no people no people 22.9, -179.6
          GREEN
          		 48 01 Sep 2015 12:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 23.4, -179.8
          GREEN
          		 49 01 Sep 2015 18:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 23.8, 179.8
          GREEN
          		 50 02 Sep 2015 00:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 24, 179.7
          GREEN
          		 51 02 Sep 2015 06:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 24.3, 179.3
          GREEN
          		 52 02 Sep 2015 12:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 24.5, 179.1
          GREEN
          		 53 02 Sep 2015 18:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 24.7, 178.6
          GREEN
          		 54 03 Sep 2015 00:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 24.7, 178.3
          GREEN
          		 55 03 Sep 2015 06:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 24.7, 178
          GREEN
          		 56 03 Sep 2015 12:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 24.5, 177.9
          GREEN
          		 57 03 Sep 2015 18:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 24.3, 177.7
          GREEN
          		 58 04 Sep 2015 00:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 23.8, 176.9
          GREEN
          		 59 04 Sep 2015 06:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 23.5, 176.3
          GREEN
          		 60 04 Sep 2015 12:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 23.4, 175.7
          GREEN
          		 61 04 Sep 2015 18:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 23.5, 174.6
          GREEN
          		 62 05 Sep 2015 00:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 23.5, 174
          GREEN
          		 63 05 Sep 2015 06:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 23.6, 172.9
          GREEN
          		 64 05 Sep 2015 12:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 23.6, 171.9
          GREEN
          		 65 05 Sep 2015 18:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 23.7, 170.5
          GREEN
          		 66 06 Sep 2015 00:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 23.8, 169.4
          GREEN
          		 67 06 Sep 2015 06:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 24, 168.5
          GREEN
          		 68 06 Sep 2015 12:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 24.3, 167.6
          GREEN
          		 69 06 Sep 2015 18:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 24.5, 166.5
          GREEN
          		 70 07 Sep 2015 00:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 24.7, 165.7
          GREEN
          		 71 07 Sep 2015 06:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 25, 164.1
          GREEN
          		 72 07 Sep 2015 12:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 25.2, 163
          GREEN
          		 73 07 Sep 2015 18:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 25.6, 161.5
          GREEN
          		 74 08 Sep 2015 00:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 26, 160.3
          GREEN
          		 75 08 Sep 2015 06:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 26.8, 158.5
          GREEN
          		 76 08 Sep 2015 12:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 27.3, 157.3
          GREEN
          		 77 08 Sep 2015 18:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 28.1, 155.8
          GREEN
          		 77 09 Sep 2015 06:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 29.7, 153.3
          GREEN
          		 77 09 Sep 2015 18:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 31.4, 151.1
          GREEN
          		 77 10 Sep 2015 06:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 33.4, 149.5
          GREEN
          		 77 10 Sep 2015 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 37.1, 148.2 Japan
          GREEN
          		 77 11 Sep 2015 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 46.4, 149.2 Russian Federation
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          0.5 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Fushiko-tobuto, Japan. This height is estimated for 11 Sep 2015 11:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (148 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 86 of 11 Sep 2015 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          11 Sep 2015 11:00 Fushiko-tobuto Japan  0.5
          11 Sep 2015 12:00 Svetloye Japan  0.5
          11 Sep 2015 12:00 Nishi-wada Japan  0.5
          11 Sep 2015 12:00 Nemuro Japan  0.5
          11 Sep 2015 12:00 Tomoshiri Japan  0.5
          11 Sep 2015 11:00 Bekkai Japan  0.5
          11 Sep 2015 13:00 Nassafu Japan  0.4
          11 Sep 2015 13:00 Zeikomae Russia  0.4
          11 Sep 2015 11:00 Odaito Japan  0.4
          11 Sep 2015 13:00 Moshirikeshi Russia  0.4
          11 Sep 2015 13:00 Akiajiba Russia  0.4
          11 Sep 2015 16:00 Higashirucharu Russia  0.3
          11 Sep 2015 13:00 Pontokomoi Russia  0.3
          11 Sep 2015 13:00 Nishimae Russia  0.3
          11 Sep 2015 13:00 Sunahama Russia  0.3
          11 Sep 2015 13:00 Kamenka Russia  0.3
          11 Sep 2015 12:00 Tokkariiso Russia  0.3
          11 Sep 2015 12:00 Kafenotsu Russia  0.3
          11 Sep 2015 10:00 Golovnino Russia  0.3
          11 Sep 2015 13:00 Aitomari Russia  0.3
          11 Sep 2015 12:00 Kitaura Russia  0.3
          11 Sep 2015 15:00 Chikkaporo Russia  0.3
          11 Sep 2015 16:00 Reydovo Russia  0.3
          11 Sep 2015 16:00 Rokubanchi Russia  0.3
          11 Sep 2015 16:00 Kuybyshevo Russia  0.3
          11 Sep 2015 15:00 Sernozavodskiy Russia  0.3
          11 Sep 2015 11:00 Shibetsu Japan  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 16:00 Shamambe Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 12:00 Yuzhno-Kurilsk Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 15:00 Otlivnyy Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 16:00 Sentyabrskiy Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 11:00 Danilovo Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 11:00 Chibukarabetsu Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 15:00 Mysovaya Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 16:00 Rybaki Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 16:00 Kurilsk Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 12:00 Nakanokotan Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 12:00 Medelevo Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 12:00 Goryachiy Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 12:00 Ayvazovskoye Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 13:00 Shikotan Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 15:00 Iodnyy Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 15:00 Nov' Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 15:00 Kasatka Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 16:00 Kitovyy Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 10:00 Oshiusu Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 12:00 Gavrilovka Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 12:00 Grigor'yevo Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 13:00 Kekkyowan Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 13:00 Kambaraiso Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 14:00 Riyaushi Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 16:00 Yanketo Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 12:00 Kunashiri Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 13:00 Anama Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 14:00 Rokko Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 15:00 Okeanskiy Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 15:00 Mataruzaru Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 13:00 Mombetsu Japan  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 13:00 Komukai Japan  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 15:00 Selivanovka Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 17:00 Medvezhye Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 17:00 Sokitani Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 16:00 Zolotoy Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 17:00 Slavnoye Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 13:00 Onirusu Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 12:00 Il'inka Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 12:00 Nazarovo Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 13:00 Masuba Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 12:00 Yubetsu Japan  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 15:00 Dobroye Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 16:00 Astaurova Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 16:00 Chippuporo Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 15:00 Mammae Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 07:00 Kiritappu Japan  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 13:00 Ruchi Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 13:00 Rudnaya Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 13:00 Kruglovo Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 15:00 Lesozavodskiy Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 12:00 Bannaguro Japan  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 16:00 Parusnoye Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 17:00 Sopochnyy Russia  0.2
          11 Sep 2015 12:00 Tyatino Russia  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 12:00 Mysovoye Russia  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 12:00 Kombuusu Russia  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 15:00 Tayezhnyy Russia  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 12:00 Zenibako Japan  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 12:00 Ishikari Japan  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 15:00 Odesskiy Russia  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 16:00 Osenniy Russia  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 11:00 Hikiushi Japan  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 12:00 Gordeyevka Russia  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 14:00 Berezovka Russia  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 13:00 Tokoro Japan  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 15:00 Kirpichnaya Russia  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 14:00 Ay Russia  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 14:00 Naibuchi Russia  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 14:00 Starodubskoye Russia  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 14:00 Svobodnoye Russia  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 14:00 Svobodnaya Russia  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 07:00 Mo-chirippu Japan  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 13:00 Protochnaya Russia  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 12:00 Saru Japan  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 12:00 Shokotsu Japan  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 12:00 Gokibiri Japan  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 12:00 Atsuta Japan  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 12:00 Omu Japan  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 12:00 Okoppe Japan  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 06:00 Moraito Japan  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 14:00 Baklanovo Russia  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 15:00 Arsent'yevka Russia  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 14:00 Vemorye Russia  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 14:00 Tayezhnoye Russia  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 14:00 Beregovaya Russia  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 14:00 Firsovo Russia  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 14:00 Enrunkomanai Russia  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 13:00 Ochiho Russia  0.1
          10 Sep 2015 20:00 Minami-Ibi Japan  0.1
          10 Sep 2015 20:00 Tsurishi Japan  0.1
          10 Sep 2015 20:00 Haragama Japan  0.1
          10 Sep 2015 20:00 Umekawa Japan  0.1
          10 Sep 2015 20:00 Isobe Japan  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 11:00 Sarufutsu Japan  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 11:00 Hama-sarufutsu Japan  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 12:00 Alekhino Russia  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 13:00 Abashiri Japan  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 15:00 Sanjibotsu Russia  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 15:00 Ostromysovka Russia  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 14:00 Nosamu Russia  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 14:00 Ayaushi Russia  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 11:00 Rukushibetsu Japan  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 14:00 Tikaporo Russia  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 14:00 Buruny Russia  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 17:00 Matoiso Russia  0.1
          10 Sep 2015 23:00 Kayahama Japan  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 12:00 Otoshibe Japan  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 12:00 Horonai Japan  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 13:00 Shari Japan  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 12:00 Esashi Japan  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 12:00 Tokushibetsu Japan  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 12:00 Otchimbe Japan  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 13:00 Koshikawa Japan  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 12:00 Shanai Japan  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 13:00 Chipputomari Japan  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 12:00 Hama-tombetsu Japan  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 14:00 Ptichye Russia  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 14:00 Kotan Japan  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 13:00 Bakkai Japan  0.1
          11 Sep 2015 13:00 Wakkana Japan  0.1