Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for IGNACIO-15
Off-shore
31 Aug 2015 21 UTC
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  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
  • GFS
  • HWRF
  • ECMWF
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone IGNACIO-15 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 231 km/h
    Maximum storm surge
    Vulnerability --

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 167 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 231 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      167 km/h Current Max.

      Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 25 Aug 2015 03:00 111 No people No people
        Green 2 25 Aug 2015 09:00 120 No people No people
        Green 3 25 Aug 2015 15:00 139 No people No people
        Green 4 25 Aug 2015 21:00 157 No people No people
        Green 5 26 Aug 2015 03:00 157 No people No people
        Green 6 26 Aug 2015 09:00 157 No people No people
        Green 7 26 Aug 2015 15:00 167 No people No people
        Green 8 26 Aug 2015 21:00 176 No people No people
        Green 9 27 Aug 2015 03:00 185 No people No people United States
        Green 10 27 Aug 2015 09:00 185 No people No people United States
        Green 11 27 Aug 2015 15:00 185 No people No people United States
        Green 12 27 Aug 2015 21:00 185 No people No people United States
        Green 13 28 Aug 2015 03:00 176 No people No people United States
        Green 14 28 Aug 2015 09:00 176 No people No people
        Green 15 28 Aug 2015 15:00 176 No people No people United States
        Green 16 28 Aug 2015 21:00 167 No people No people
        Green 17 29 Aug 2015 03:00 167 No people No people United States
        Green 18 29 Aug 2015 09:00 167 No people No people United States
        Green 19 29 Aug 2015 15:00 204 No people No people United States
        Green 20 29 Aug 2015 21:00 231 No people No people
        Green 21 30 Aug 2015 03:00 222 No people No people United States
        Green 22 30 Aug 2015 09:00 231 No people No people
        Green 23 30 Aug 2015 15:00 222 No people No people
        Green 24 30 Aug 2015 21:00 185 No people No people
        Green 25 31 Aug 2015 03:00 185 No people No people
        Green 26 31 Aug 2015 09:00 185 No people No people
        Green 27 31 Aug 2015 15:00 167 No people No people
        Green 28 31 Aug 2015 21:00 167 No people No people

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 25 Aug 2015 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.1, -130.9
          GREEN
          		 2 25 Aug 2015 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.2, -131.7
          GREEN
          		 3 25 Aug 2015 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.2, -132.4
          GREEN
          		 4 25 Aug 2015 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 13, -133.1
          GREEN
          		 5 26 Aug 2015 03:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 12.3, -133.4
          GREEN
          		 6 26 Aug 2015 09:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 12.3, -134.1
          GREEN
          		 7 26 Aug 2015 15:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 12.2, -135.1
          GREEN
          		 8 26 Aug 2015 21:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 11.9, -136.2
          GREEN
          		 9 27 Aug 2015 03:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 12.2, -137.5
          GREEN
          		 10 27 Aug 2015 09:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 12.6, -138.5
          GREEN
          		 11 27 Aug 2015 15:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 12.9, -139.5
          GREEN
          		 12 27 Aug 2015 21:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 12.9, -140.8
          GREEN
          		 13 28 Aug 2015 03:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 13.3, -141.9
          GREEN
          		 14 28 Aug 2015 09:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 13.9, -143.1
          GREEN
          		 15 28 Aug 2015 15:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 14.1, -143.8
          GREEN
          		 16 28 Aug 2015 21:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 14.6, -144.5
          GREEN
          		 17 29 Aug 2015 03:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 15.2, -145.2
          GREEN
          		 18 29 Aug 2015 09:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 15.7, -146
          GREEN
          		 19 29 Aug 2015 15:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 15.9, -146.5
          GREEN
          		 20 29 Aug 2015 21:00 Category 4 222 no people no people 16.4, -146.9
          GREEN
          		 21 30 Aug 2015 03:00 Category 4 222 no people no people 17, -147.6
          GREEN
          		 22 30 Aug 2015 09:00 Category 4 231 no people no people 17.4, -147.9
          GREEN
          		 23 30 Aug 2015 15:00 Category 4 222 no people no people 18.3, -148.4
          GREEN
          		 24 30 Aug 2015 21:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 19, -149
          GREEN
          		 25 31 Aug 2015 03:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 19.8, -149.6
          GREEN
          		 26 31 Aug 2015 09:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 20.3, -150.2
          GREEN
          		 27 31 Aug 2015 15:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 20.9, -150.8
          GREEN
          		 28 31 Aug 2015 21:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 21.6, -151.5
          GREEN
          		 28 01 Sep 2015 06:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 22.4, -152.6
          GREEN
          		 28 01 Sep 2015 18:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 23.5, -154.1
          GREEN
          		 28 02 Sep 2015 06:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 24.5, -155.7
          GREEN
          		 28 02 Sep 2015 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 25.6, -157.3
          GREEN
          		 28 03 Sep 2015 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 27.8, -160.5
          GREEN
          		 28 04 Sep 2015 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 31.3, -162.9
          GREEN
          		 28 05 Sep 2015 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 36.1, -164.2
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
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          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0 m

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 45 of 05 Sep 2015 03:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)