Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for IGNACIO-15 Off-shore from 25 Aug 2015 03:00 UTC to 04 Sep 2015 03:00 UTC

04 Sep 2015 03 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone IGNACIO-15 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	231 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	111 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	231 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

111 km/h Current Max.

Up to 81000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	25 Aug 2015 03:00	111	No people	No people
2	25 Aug 2015 09:00	120	No people	No people
3	25 Aug 2015 15:00	139	No people	No people
4	25 Aug 2015 21:00	157	No people	No people
5	26 Aug 2015 03:00	157	No people	No people
6	26 Aug 2015 09:00	157	No people	No people
7	26 Aug 2015 15:00	167	No people	No people
8	26 Aug 2015 21:00	176	No people	No people
9	27 Aug 2015 03:00	185	No people	No people	United States
10	27 Aug 2015 09:00	185	No people	No people	United States
11	27 Aug 2015 15:00	185	No people	No people	United States
12	27 Aug 2015 21:00	185	No people	No people	United States
13	28 Aug 2015 03:00	176	No people	No people	United States
14	28 Aug 2015 09:00	176	No people	No people
15	28 Aug 2015 15:00	176	No people	No people	United States
16	28 Aug 2015 21:00	167	No people	No people
17	29 Aug 2015 03:00	167	No people	No people	United States
18	29 Aug 2015 09:00	167	No people	No people	United States
19	29 Aug 2015 15:00	204	No people	No people	United States
20	29 Aug 2015 21:00	231	No people	No people
21	30 Aug 2015 03:00	222	No people	No people	United States
22	30 Aug 2015 09:00	231	No people	No people
23	30 Aug 2015 15:00	222	No people	No people
24	30 Aug 2015 21:00	185	No people	No people
25	31 Aug 2015 03:00	185	No people	No people
26	31 Aug 2015 09:00	185	No people	No people
27	31 Aug 2015 15:00	167	No people	No people
28	31 Aug 2015 21:00	167	No people	No people
29	01 Sep 2015 03:00	157	No people	No people
30	01 Sep 2015 09:00	139	No people	No people
31	01 Sep 2015 15:00	130	No people	No people
32	01 Sep 2015 21:00	120	No people	No people
33	02 Sep 2015 03:00	111	No people	No people
34	02 Sep 2015 09:00	111	No people	No people
35	02 Sep 2015 15:00	111	No people	No people
36	02 Sep 2015 21:00	111	No people	No people
37	03 Sep 2015 03:00	120	No people	No people
38	03 Sep 2015 09:00	120	No people	No people
39	03 Sep 2015 15:00	120	No people	No people
40	03 Sep 2015 21:00	111	No people	No people
41	04 Sep 2015 03:00	111	No people	No people	Canada, United States

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	25 Aug 2015 03:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	13.1, -130.9
2	25 Aug 2015 09:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	13.2, -131.7
3	25 Aug 2015 15:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	13.2, -132.4
4	25 Aug 2015 21:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	13, -133.1
5	26 Aug 2015 03:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	12.3, -133.4
6	26 Aug 2015 09:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	12.3, -134.1
7	26 Aug 2015 15:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	12.2, -135.1
8	26 Aug 2015 21:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	11.9, -136.2
9	27 Aug 2015 03:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	12.2, -137.5
10	27 Aug 2015 09:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	12.6, -138.5
11	27 Aug 2015 15:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	12.9, -139.5
12	27 Aug 2015 21:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	12.9, -140.8
13	28 Aug 2015 03:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	13.3, -141.9
14	28 Aug 2015 09:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	13.9, -143.1
15	28 Aug 2015 15:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	14.1, -143.8
16	28 Aug 2015 21:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	14.6, -144.5
17	29 Aug 2015 03:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	15.2, -145.2
18	29 Aug 2015 09:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	15.7, -146
19	29 Aug 2015 15:00	Category 3	185	no people	no people	15.9, -146.5
20	29 Aug 2015 21:00	Category 4	222	no people	no people	16.4, -146.9
21	30 Aug 2015 03:00	Category 4	222	no people	no people	17, -147.6
22	30 Aug 2015 09:00	Category 4	231	no people	no people	17.4, -147.9
23	30 Aug 2015 15:00	Category 4	222	no people	no people	18.3, -148.4
24	30 Aug 2015 21:00	Category 3	185	no people	no people	19, -149
25	31 Aug 2015 03:00	Category 3	185	no people	no people	19.8, -149.6
26	31 Aug 2015 09:00	Category 3	185	no people	no people	20.3, -150.2
27	31 Aug 2015 15:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	20.9, -150.8
28	31 Aug 2015 21:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	21.6, -151.5
29	01 Sep 2015 03:00	Category 2	157	no people	no people	22.2, -152.3
30	01 Sep 2015 09:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	23.1, -152.3
31	01 Sep 2015 15:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	23.5, -153.7
32	01 Sep 2015 21:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	23.8, -154.5
33	02 Sep 2015 03:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	24.6, -155.9
34	02 Sep 2015 09:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	25.2, -156.2
35	02 Sep 2015 15:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	26.1, -157.1
36	02 Sep 2015 21:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	26.7, -158.2
37	03 Sep 2015 03:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	27.4, -159.5
38	03 Sep 2015 09:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	28.2, -160.6
39	03 Sep 2015 15:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	28.8, -161.7
40	03 Sep 2015 21:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	29.4, -162.5
41	04 Sep 2015 03:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	30.4, -163.1
41	04 Sep 2015 12:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	32, -163.9
41	05 Sep 2015 00:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	34.6, -164.3
41	05 Sep 2015 12:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	37.4, -164.7
41	06 Sep 2015 00:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	40.4, -164.6
41	07 Sep 2015 00:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	46.5, -161
41	08 Sep 2015 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	81000 people	51.5, -146.5	United States
41	09 Sep 2015 00:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	54.9, -129.7	United States

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country	Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
United States	14000 people
Canada	42000 people

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Alaska	United States
British Columbia	Canada

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Prince Rupert	British Columbia	Canada	Major city	15000 people
Kitimat	British Columbia	Canada	City	10000 people
Terrace	British Columbia	Canada	City	19000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Queen Charlotte Is	ZQS	unknown				0
Langara	YLA	unknown				0
Sandspit	YZP	6	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5100
Masset	ZMT	7	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5000
Steamboat Bay	WSB	unknown				0
Port Alexander		unknown				0
Little Port Walter	LPW	unknown				0
Long Island	LIJ	unknown				0
Waterfall	KWF	unknown				0
Port Armstrong	PTL	unknown				0
Cape Decision C.G.		10				0
Port Walter	PWR	unknown				0
Hydaburg	HYG	unknown				0
Port Alice	PTC	unknown				0
Craig Cg		6				0
Cape Pole	CZP	unknown				0
Edna Bay	EDA	unknown				0
Klawock	KLW	15	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5000
Nichin Cove		unknown				0
Tokeen		unknown				0
Niblack	NIE	unknown				0
Polk Inlet	POQ	unknown				0
Hollis	HYL	unknown				0
Chomley	CIV	unknown				0
Cabin Creek	CBZ	unknown				0
Labouchere Bay	WLB	unknown				0
Port Johnson	PRF	unknown				0
Point Baker	KPB	unknown				0
Smith Cove	SCJ	unknown				0
Kasaan	KXA	unknown				0
North Whale		unknown				0
Thorne Bay	KTB	unknown				0
Coffman Cove	KCC	unknown				0
Annette Island	ANN	36				0
Tamgas Harbor		unknown				0
Metlakatla	MTM	unknown				0
Meyers Chuck		unknown				0
Ketchikan International	KTN	27	Civ.	Paved	Yes	7400
Prince Rupert	YPR	35	Civ.	Paved	Yes	6000
Deep Bay	WDB	unknown				0
Murphys Pullout		unknown				0
Port Simpson	YPI	unknown				0
Loring	WLR	unknown				0
Hartley Bay	YTB	unknown				0
Anita Bay	AIB	unknown				0
Marguerite Bay	RTE	unknown				0
Shoal Cove	HCB	unknown				0
Yes Bay Lodge		unknown				0
Fire Cove	FIC	unknown				0
Wrangell	WRG	13	Civ.	Paved	Yes	6000
Bell Island Hot Springs	KBE	unknown				0
Kitimat		76				0
Kemano	XKO	unknown				0
Jonny Mountain	YJM	unknown				0
Terrace	YXT	217	Civ.	Paved	Yes	6000
Bronson Creek	YBM	unknown				0
Hyder		unknown				0
Alice Arm / Kitsault	ZAA	unknown				0
Stewart	ZST	7	Civ.	Paved	No	3900
Woodcock		164				0
Bobquinn Lake	YBO	610				0

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Jedway	CAJED	Canada
Queen Charlotte	CASKI	Canada
Sandspit		Canada
Naden Harbor		Canada
Port Clements		Canada
Masset	CAZMT	Canada
Rose Inlet		Wake Island
Port Conclusion		Wake Island
Steamboat Bay		Wake Island
Port Armstrong		Wake Island
Waterfall		Wake Island
Big Port Walter		Wake Island
Little Port Walter		Wake Island
Hydaburg	USHYG	Wake Island
Craig		Wake Island
Fishermans Harbor		Wake Island
Klawock		Wake Island
Kasaan		Wake Island
Metlakatla	USMTM	Wake Island
Ward Cove		Wake Island
Ketchikan	USKTN	Wake Island
Knudson Cove		Wake Island
Union Bay		Wake Island
Porpoise Harbor	CAPTE	Canada
Burnett Inlet		Wake Island
Prince Rupert	CAPRR	Canada
Castle Island	USCAI	Wake Island
George Inlet		Wake Island
Port Simpson	CAPSI	Canada
Loring		Wake Island
Yes Bay		Wake Island
Butedale		Canada
Wrangell	USWRG	Wake Island
Hidden Inlet		Wake Island
Kitimat	CAKTM	Canada
Kemano		Canada
Hyder	CAHYD	Canada
Stewart	CASTW	Canada

Dams

Dam Name	River	Year
Ketchikan Lakes	Ketchikan Creek	1957
Upper Silvis	Beaver Falls Creek	1968
Diana Lake	Diana	1966
Cougar Lake Dam		1916
Shawatians	Shawatians	1914
Swan Lake	Falls Creek	1984
Anyox	Falls Creek	1923

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 45 of 05 Sep 2015 03:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

Alert

Date (UTC)

Name

Country

Storm surge height (m)