Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for FRED-15 Off-shore from 30 Aug 2015 05:30 UTC to 01 Sep 2015 03:00 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FRED-15 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	139 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (31 Aug 22:30 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	111 km/h	0.3 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	139 km/h	0.3 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

111 km/h Current Max.

Up to 490000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	30 Aug 2015 05:30	111	No people	No people	Cape Verde
2	30 Aug 2015 09:00	111	No people	No people	Cape Verde
3	30 Aug 2015 15:00	120	No people	120 thousand	Cape Verde
4	30 Aug 2015 21:00	130	No people	120 thousand	Cape Verde
5	31 Aug 2015 03:00	130	No people	120 thousand	Cape Verde
6	31 Aug 2015 09:00	139	No people	130 thousand	Cape Verde
7	31 Aug 2015 15:00	139	No people	50 thousand	Cape Verde
8	31 Aug 2015 21:00	130	No people	No people
9	01 Sep 2015 03:00	111	No people	10 thousand	Cape Verde

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	30 Aug 2015 05:30	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	12.1, -18.4
2	30 Aug 2015 09:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	12.4, -18.9
3	30 Aug 2015 15:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	13.4, -19.9
4	30 Aug 2015 21:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	250000 people	14.4, -21.3	Cape Verde
5	31 Aug 2015 03:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	270000 people	15.3, -22.4	Cape Verde
6	31 Aug 2015 09:00	Category 1	130	13000 people	380000 people	15.6, -22.9	Cape Verde
7	31 Aug 2015 15:00	Category 1	139	47000 people	150000 people	16.4, -23.7	Cape Verde
8	31 Aug 2015 21:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	17.2, -24.6
9	01 Sep 2015 03:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	110000 people	17.9, -25.2	Cape Verde
9	01 Sep 2015 12:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	18.6, -26.6
9	02 Sep 2015 00:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	19.6, -28.2
9	02 Sep 2015 12:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	20.5, -29.9
9	03 Sep 2015 00:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	21.1, -31.6
9	04 Sep 2015 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	22.2, -34.8
9	05 Sep 2015 00:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	23.5, -38
9	06 Sep 2015 00:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	25, -41

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country	Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Cape Verde	430000 people

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Cape Verde	Cape Verde

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Praia		Cape Verde	Capital	110000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Santo Antao	NTO	unknown				0
San Pedro	VXE	20	Civ.	Paved	No	3900
Preguica	SNE	204	Civ.	Paved	No	4500
Amilcar Cabral International	SID	54	Civ.	Paved	Yes	10700
Rabil	BVC	21	Civ.	Paved	No	4000
Maio	MMO	11	Civ.	Paved	No	3900
Francisco Mendes	RAI	70	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4200

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Santo Antao Island		Cape Verde
Porto Grande	CVPGR	Cape Verde
Saint Vincent	CVSVD	Cape Verde
Santa Lucia Island		Cape Verde
Preguica		Cape Verde
Palmeira Bay	CVPAL	Cape Verde
Sal Rei	CVSAR	Cape Verde
Porto Inglex Maio		Cape Verde
Praia	CVRAI	Cape Verde

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Janela, Cape Verde. This height is estimated for 31 Aug 2015 22:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (49 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 31 of 06 Sep 2015 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	31 Aug 2015 22:30	Janela	Cape Verde	0.3
	31 Aug 2015 23:30	Vila Maria Pia	Cape Verde	0.2
	31 Aug 2015 23:30	Mao para Tras	Cape Verde	0.2
	31 Aug 2015 23:30	Monte Joana	Cape Verde	0.2
	31 Aug 2015 23:30	Pombas	Cape Verde	0.2
	31 Aug 2015 23:30	Cha de Paulo	Cape Verde	0.2
	31 Aug 2015 23:30	Cha da Igreja	Cape Verde	0.2
	31 Aug 2015 23:30	Fajansinha	Cape Verde	0.2
	31 Aug 2015 23:30	Selada do Mocha	Cape Verde	0.2
	31 Aug 2015 23:30	Fontainhas	Cape Verde	0.2
	31 Aug 2015 23:30	Caculi	Cape Verde	0.2
	31 Aug 2015 22:30	Vila do Porto Novo	Cape Verde	0.2
	31 Aug 2015 22:30	Porto Novo	Cape Verde	0.2
	31 Aug 2015 21:30	Calhau	Cape Verde	0.2
	31 Aug 2015 21:30	Mindelo	Cape Verde	0.2
	31 Aug 2015 21:30	Salamansa	Cape Verde	0.2
	31 Aug 2015 21:30	Madeiral	Cape Verde	0.2
	31 Aug 2015 23:30	Aldeia	Cape Verde	0.2
	31 Aug 2015 23:30	Cha do Norte	Cape Verde	0.2
	31 Aug 2015 23:30	Bibeira Da Cruz	Cape Verde	0.2
	31 Aug 2015 23:30	Ribeira da Cruz	Cape Verde	0.2
	31 Aug 2015 23:30	Figueiras de Baixo	Cape Verde	0.2
	31 Aug 2015 21:30	Ponta da Cruz	Cape Verde	0.2
	31 Aug 2015 23:30	Ribeira Vermellia	Cape Verde	0.1
	31 Aug 2015 23:30	Morrinho D Egba	Cape Verde	0.1
	31 Aug 2015 23:30	Lascado	Cape Verde	0.1
	31 Aug 2015 23:30	Miguel Pires	Cape Verde	0.1
	31 Aug 2015 21:30	Barril	Cape Verde	0.1
	31 Aug 2015 21:30	Praia Branca	Cape Verde	0.1
	31 Aug 2015 21:30	Bibeira Calhau	Cape Verde	0.1
	31 Aug 2015 21:30	Ribeira Da Prata	Cape Verde	0.1
	31 Aug 2015 21:30	Ribeira Calhau	Cape Verde	0.1
	31 Aug 2015 21:30	Ortclao	Cape Verde	0.1
	31 Aug 2015 21:30	Covoada	Cape Verde	0.1
	31 Aug 2015 21:30	Camaroes	Cape Verde	0.1
	31 Aug 2015 21:30	Cabecalinho	Cape Verde	0.1
	31 Aug 2015 21:30	Queimada	Cape Verde	0.1
	31 Aug 2015 21:30	Calejao	Cape Verde	0.1
	31 Aug 2015 21:30	Ribeira Brava	Cape Verde	0.1
	31 Aug 2015 23:30	Monte Trigo	Cape Verde	0.1
	31 Aug 2015 23:30	Bonita	Cape Verde	0.1
	31 Aug 2015 21:30	Buqueirao	Cape Verde	0.1
	31 Aug 2015 21:30	Figueira de Coxe	Cape Verde	0.1
	31 Aug 2015 21:30	Casinhas	Cape Verde	0.1
	31 Aug 2015 21:30	Morre Braz	Cape Verde	0.1
	31 Aug 2015 21:30	Morro Alto	Cape Verde	0.1
	31 Aug 2015 21:30	Juncalinho	Cape Verde	0.1
	31 Aug 2015 21:30	Pedrinha	Cape Verde	0.1
	31 Aug 2015 21:30	Sao Pedro	Cape Verde	0.1