Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for JOAQUIN-15
in Bahamas
30 Sep 2015 15 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
  • GFS
  • HWRF
  • ECMWF
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone JOAQUIN-15 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Bahamas
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 250 km/h
    Maximum storm surge
    Vulnerability Low (The Bahamas)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 185 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 250 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      185 km/h Current Max.

      Up to <1000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 28 Sep 2015 03:00 56 No people No people
        Green 2 28 Sep 2015 09:00 65 No people No people
        Green 3 28 Sep 2015 15:00 74 No people No people
        Green 4 28 Sep 2015 21:00 83 No people No people
        Green 5 29 Sep 2015 03:00 102 No people No people United States
        Green 6 29 Sep 2015 09:00 102 No people No people
        Green 7 29 Sep 2015 15:00 111 No people No people
        Green 8 29 Sep 2015 21:00 148 No people No people Bahamas
        Green 9 30 Sep 2015 03:00 167 No people No people Bahamas
        Green 10 30 Sep 2015 09:00 176 No people No people Bahamas, United States
        Green 11 30 Sep 2015 15:00 185 No people Few people Bahamas

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 28 Sep 2015 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 27.5, -68.7
          GREEN
          		 2 28 Sep 2015 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 27.3, -68.9
          GREEN
          		 3 28 Sep 2015 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 27.8, -69.6
          GREEN
          		 4 28 Sep 2015 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 27.5, -70.2
          GREEN
          		 5 29 Sep 2015 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 26.7, -70.4
          GREEN
          		 6 29 Sep 2015 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 26.6, -70.6
          GREEN
          		 7 29 Sep 2015 15:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 26.5, -70.8
          GREEN
          		 8 29 Sep 2015 21:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 26, -71
          GREEN
          		 9 30 Sep 2015 03:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 25.8, -71.7
          GREEN
          		 10 30 Sep 2015 09:00 Tropical storm 111 no people <1000 people 25.4, -72.5 Bahamas
          GREEN
          		 11 30 Sep 2015 15:00 Category 1 130 no people 1300 people 24.7, -72.6 Bahamas
          GREEN
          		 11 01 Oct 2015 00:00 Category 1 148 <1000 people 9500 people 24.3, -73.2 Bahamas
          GREEN
          		 11 01 Oct 2015 12:00 Category 2 157 <1000 people 15000 people 24.1, -74 Bahamas
          GREEN
          		 11 02 Oct 2015 00:00 Category 2 167 <1000 people 20000 people 24.4, -74.4 Bahamas
          GREEN
          		 11 02 Oct 2015 12:00 Category 2 176 no people 19000 people 25.3, -74.5 Bahamas
          GREEN
          		 11 03 Oct 2015 12:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 28.5, -73.5
          GREEN
          		 11 04 Oct 2015 12:00 Category 2 167 no people 4.3 million people 34, -73 United States
          GREEN
          		 11 05 Oct 2015 12:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 38.5, -74 United States
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Provinces

          Country Region Province
          Bahamas Bahamas

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          San Salvador ZSA 3 Civ. Paved No 4500

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Cockburn Town The Bahamas
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          0 m

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 23 of Sat, 03 Oct 2015 13:00:00 GMT UTC. (Simulation using minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)