Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for JOAQUIN-15
in Bahamas
29 Sep 2015 03 UTC
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  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
  • GFS
  • HWRF
  • ECMWF
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone JOAQUIN-15 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Bahamas
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 250 km/h
    Maximum storm surge
    Vulnerability Low (The Bahamas)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 102 km/h 0.8 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 250 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      102 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 380000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 28 Sep 2015 03:00 56 No people No people
        Green 2 28 Sep 2015 09:00 65 No people No people
        Green 3 28 Sep 2015 15:00 74 No people No people
        Green 4 28 Sep 2015 21:00 83 No people No people
        Green 5 29 Sep 2015 03:00 102 No people No people United States

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 28 Sep 2015 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 27.5, -68.7
          GREEN
          		 2 28 Sep 2015 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 27.3, -68.9
          GREEN
          		 3 28 Sep 2015 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 27.8, -69.6
          GREEN
          		 4 28 Sep 2015 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 27.5, -70.2
          GREEN
          		 5 29 Sep 2015 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 26.7, -70.4
          GREEN
          		 5 29 Sep 2015 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 26.9, -71
          GREEN
          		 5 30 Sep 2015 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 27.1, -72
          GREEN
          		 5 30 Sep 2015 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 27.2, -72.8
          GREEN
          		 5 01 Oct 2015 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 27.4, -73.4
          GREEN
          		 5 02 Oct 2015 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 28.6, -74
          GREEN
          		 5 03 Oct 2015 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 380000 people 32.4, -74 United States
          GREEN
          		 5 04 Oct 2015 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 38, -74
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
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          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Provinces

          Country Region Province
          United States Maryland
          United States North Carolina
          United States Delaware
          United States New Jersey
          United States Virginia

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Atlantic City New Jersey United States City 41000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0 m

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 23 of Sat, 03 Oct 2015 13:00:00 GMT UTC. (Simulation using minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)