Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TATIANA-16
Off-shore
GDACS
Impact Single TC
HWRF
ECMWF
GFS
Impact all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TATIANA-16 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (JTWC)
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 120 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (13 Feb 13:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 65 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
GDACS Overall 120 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

65 km/h Current

Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Green 1 10 Feb 2016 18:00 111 No people No people
Green 2 11 Feb 2016 06:00 102 No people No people
Green 3 11 Feb 2016 18:00 120 No people No people
Green 4 12 Feb 2016 06:00 102 No people No people
Green 5 12 Feb 2016 18:00 74 No people No people
Green 6 13 Feb 2016 06:00 93 No people No people
Green 7 13 Feb 2016 18:00 65 No people No people

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon)
GREEN
1 10 Feb 2016 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -16.7, 156.3
GREEN
2 11 Feb 2016 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -16.9, 157.9
GREEN
3 11 Feb 2016 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people -17.1, 159.4
GREEN
4 12 Feb 2016 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people -18.1, 159.8
GREEN
5 12 Feb 2016 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -20.1, 160
GREEN
6 13 Feb 2016 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -21.8, 160.6
GREEN
7 13 Feb 2016 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -25.5, 159.8
GREEN
7 14 Feb 2016 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people -25.8, 158.8
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Arama, New Caledonia. This height is estimated for 13 Feb 2016 13:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (5 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 6 of 13 Feb 2016 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
13 Feb 2016 13:00 Arama New Caledonia  0.2
13 Feb 2016 13:00 Poum-Plage New Caledonia  0.2
13 Feb 2016 13:00 Pam New Caledonia  0.1
13 Feb 2016 17:00 Paagoumene New Caledonia  0.1
13 Feb 2016 18:00 Kaala-Gomen New Caledonia  0.1