Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for ENAWO-17
in Madagascar

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ENAWO-17 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Madagascar
Exposed population 1.7 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 231 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1 m (07 Mar 14:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 56 km/h 1.0 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 231 km/h 1.0 m n.a. 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

56 km/h Current Max.

Up to 20.9 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 03 Mar 2017 06:00 231 11.7 million No people Madagascar
Red 2 03 Mar 2017 18:00 222 14.2 million 2.6 million Madagascar
Orange 3 04 Mar 2017 06:00 204 6.5 million 1.5 million Madagascar
Red 4 04 Mar 2017 18:00 204 16 million 5.9 million Madagascar
Red 5 05 Mar 2017 06:00 185 15.7 million 240 thousand Madagascar
Red 6 05 Mar 2017 18:00 204 19.1 million 1.2 million Madagascar
Orange 7 06 Mar 2017 06:00 167 19.3 million 480 thousand Madagascar
Red 8 06 Mar 2017 18:00 231 21.4 million 1.2 million Madagascar
Red 9 07 Mar 2017 06:00 231 14.4 million 2 million Madagascar
Red 10 07 Mar 2017 18:00 167 19.5 million 1.7 million Madagascar
Green 11 10 Mar 2017 00:00 93 20.9 million 1.7 million Madagascar
Green 12 10 Mar 2017 12:00 56 20.9 million 1.7 million Madagascar

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 03 Mar 2017 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -12.7, 56.8
GREEN
2 03 Mar 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -13.1, 56.3
GREEN
3 04 Mar 2017 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people -13.6, 56.5
GREEN
4 04 Mar 2017 18:00 Category 1 120 no people no people -13.7, 56.9
GREEN
5 05 Mar 2017 06:00 Category 1 139 no people <1000 people -13.5, 56.1
GREEN
6 05 Mar 2017 18:00 Category 2 167 no people 550000 people -13.9, 55.1 Madagascar
GREEN
7 06 Mar 2017 06:00 Category 2 167 no people 2.7 million people -14, 53.8 Madagascar
RED
8 06 Mar 2017 18:00 Category 4 231 320000 people 4.2 million people -14.5, 52.4 Madagascar
RED
9 07 Mar 2017 06:00 Category 4 231 1.5 million people 4.8 million people -14.6, 50.6 Madagascar
RED
10 07 Mar 2017 18:00 Category 2 167 1.2 million people 12.6 million people -15.2, 49.5 Madagascar
GREEN
11 10 Mar 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 1.5 million people -26.2, 46.8 Madagascar
GREEN
12 10 Mar 2017 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -28, 49.3
GREEN
12 11 Mar 2017 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people -30.6, 49.4
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Madagascar

Provinces

Region Province Country
Toliara Madagascar
Fianarantsoa Madagascar
Toamasina Madagascar
Antananarivo Madagascar
Mahajanga Madagascar
Antsiranana Madagascar

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Tolanaro Madagascar City -
Farafangana Fianarantsoa Madagascar City 25000 people
Betroka Toliara Madagascar City -
Manakara Fianarantsoa Madagascar City 35000 people
Ihosy Fianarantsoa Madagascar City 17000 people
Sahasinaka Fianarantsoa Madagascar City -
Mananjary Fianarantsoa Madagascar City 27000 people
Fianarantsoa Fianarantsoa Madagascar City 160000 people
Ambositra Fianarantsoa Madagascar City 30000 people
Antsirabe Antananarivo Madagascar City 150000 people
Moramanga Toamasina Madagascar City 29000 people
Antananarivo Antananarivo Madagascar Capital 1.4 million people
Saka Antananarivo Madagascar City -
Tamatave Toamasina Madagascar City 200000 people
Fenerive Toamasina Madagascar City -
Ambato Boeni Mahajanga Madagascar City -
Mananara Toamasina Madagascar City 41000 people
Marovoay Mahajanga Madagascar City 31000 people
Mandritsara Mahajanga Madagascar City -
Maroantsetra Toamasina Madagascar City 24000 people
Antalaha Antsiranana Madagascar City 34000 people
Andapa Antsiranana Madagascar City 20000 people
Sambava Antsiranana Madagascar City 31000 people
Ambanja Antsiranana Madagascar City 30000 people
Vohemar Antsiranana Madagascar City -
Ambilobe Antsiranana Madagascar City 14000 people
Antseranana Antsiranana Madagascar City -

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Tolagnaro FTU 8 Civ. Paved No 5900
Bekily OVA 387 Civ. Unpaved No 4100
Ampanihy AMP 235 Civ. Unpaved No 3600
Farafangana RVA 8 Civ. Unpaved No 3400
Manakara Sud WVK 10 Civ. Paved No 3900
Ihosy IHO 762 Civ. Unpaved No 5400
Ambalavao 972 Civ. Unpaved No 3600
Mananjary MNJ 6 Civ. Paved No 4900
Fianarantsoa WFI 1115 Civ. Paved No 4100
Beroroha WBO 250 Civ. Unpaved No 3100
Mahanoro VVB 5 Civ. Unpaved No 4400
Malaimbandy WML 182 Civ. Unpaved No 3900
Antsirabe ATJ 1523 Civ. Unpaved No 4900
Atsinanana ILK 10 Civ. Unpaved No 3200
Vatomandry VAT 12 Civ. Unpaved No 3800
Ambatolahy AHY unknown 0
Miandrivazo ZVA 62 Civ. Paved No 3600
Antananarivo Arivonimamo 1450 0
Antananarivo Ivato TNR 1279 Civ. Paved Yes 10100
Tsiroanomandidy WTS 846 Civ. Unpaved No 3500
Toamasina TMM 6 Civ. Paved Yes 7200
Ambatondrazaka WAM 766 Civ. Unpaved No 4200
Andriamena WAD unknown 0
Sainte Marie SMS 2 Civ. Paved No 3300
Tsaratanana TTS 327 Civ. Unpaved No 4300
Madirovalo WMV unknown 0
Mananara Nord WMR 3 Civ. Paved No 4100
Mandritsara WMA 307 Civ. Unpaved No 3700
Port Berge WPB 65 Civ. Unpaved No 4200
Maroantsetra WMN 4 Civ. Paved No 4200
Mahajanga Amborovy MJN 26 Civ. Paved Yes 7200
Befandriana WBD 250 Civ. Unpaved No 4100
Antalaha Antsirabato ANM 6 Civ. Paved No 3900
Anahidrano 60 0
Antsohihy Ambalabe WAI 28 Civ. Paved No 4900
Andapa ZWA 473 Civ. Paved No 4100
Analalava HVA 105 Civ. Unpaved No 3900
Bealanana WBE 1120 0
Doany DOA unknown 0
Sambava SVB 6 Civ. Paved No 5900
Ambanja IVA 11 Civ. Unpaved No 3100
Ampampamena 15 0
Vohemar VOH 6 Civ. Paved No 4200
Nosy Be Fascene NOS 10 Civ. Paved No 7100
Ambilobe Mahavavy AMB 22 Civ. Paved No 4900
Antsiranana Arrachart DIE 114 Civ. Paved No 4900
Antsiranana Andrakaka 61 Mil. Paved No 8200

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Tolanaro MGFTU Madagascar
Ste Luce Madagascar
Manantenina Madagascar
Faux Cap Madagascar
Farafangana MGRVA Madagascar
Manakara MGWVK Madagascar
Mananjary MGMNJ Madagascar
Mahanoro MGVVB Madagascar
Vatomandry MGVAT Madagascar
Andevoranto Madagascar
Tamatave (Toamasina) MGTMM Madagascar
Foulpointe Madagascar
Fenerive Madagascar
Port Sainte Marie Madagascar
Saint Mary Island Madagascar
Mananara MGWMR Madagascar
Maroantsetra MGWMN Madagascar
Majunga (Mahajanga) MGMJN Madagascar
Antataha MGANM Madagascar
Analalava Madagascar
Sambava MGSVB Madagascar
Maromandia Madagascar
Nossi-Be MGNOS Madagascar
Vohemar Madagascar
Port St. Louis MGPSL Madagascar
Cap Diego Madagascar
Antsiranana MGDIE Madagascar
Cape Amber Madagascar
Agalaga Island Mauritius
Saint James Anchorage Mauritius

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Tsiazompaniry Varahina-Sud 1956
Mantasoa Varahina-Nord 1938
Antanifotsy Antanifotsy 1958
Sahamaloto Sahamaloto 1958
Amboromalandy 1934
Ambilivily 1954

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.0m in Manambia, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 07 Mar 2017 14:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (184 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 10 of 07 Mar 2017 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
07 Mar 2017 14:00 Manambia Madagascar  1.0
07 Mar 2017 14:00 Anantoraka Madagascar  1.0
07 Mar 2017 15:00 Voloina Madagascar  1.0
07 Mar 2017 14:00 Maroantsetra Madagascar  1.0
07 Mar 2017 10:00 Ampaha Madagascar  0.9
07 Mar 2017 13:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.9
07 Mar 2017 10:00 Ambinany Madagascar  0.9
07 Mar 2017 10:00 Antalaha Madagascar  0.8
07 Mar 2017 13:00 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.8
07 Mar 2017 14:00 Rantabe Madagascar  0.7
07 Mar 2017 09:00 Andrapengy Madagascar  0.7
07 Mar 2017 10:00 Anjahamarina Madagascar  0.6
07 Mar 2017 13:00 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.6
07 Mar 2017 14:00 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.5
07 Mar 2017 10:00 Ambodipont-Sahana Madagascar  0.5
07 Mar 2017 12:00 Benjana Madagascar  0.5
07 Mar 2017 14:00 Anoromby Madagascar  0.5
07 Mar 2017 14:00 Manambolosy Madagascar  0.5
07 Mar 2017 14:00 Fahambahy Madagascar  0.5
07 Mar 2017 10:00 Ambohitralanana Madagascar  0.5
07 Mar 2017 14:00 Fananehana Madagascar  0.4
07 Mar 2017 14:00 Tampolo Madagascar  0.4
07 Mar 2017 15:00 Mananara Madagascar  0.4
07 Mar 2017 13:00 Tampolo Madagascar  0.4
07 Mar 2017 11:00 Antsirabato Madagascar  0.4
07 Mar 2017 12:00 Ambalabe Madagascar  0.4
08 Mar 2017 01:00 Manehoko Madagascar  0.4
07 Mar 2017 11:00 Ambodivato Madagascar  0.4
07 Mar 2017 10:00 Antalavia Madagascar  0.4
07 Mar 2017 13:00 Fadrina Madagascar  0.4
07 Mar 2017 11:00 Ratsianarana Madagascar  0.4
07 Mar 2017 12:00 Anjanozana Madagascar  0.4
08 Mar 2017 01:00 Mahavanona Madagascar  0.4
08 Mar 2017 01:00 Antakobola Madagascar  0.4
07 Mar 2017 09:00 Amborimalana Madagascar  0.4
07 Mar 2017 23:00 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.3
08 Mar 2017 00:00 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.3
08 Mar 2017 01:00 Antanimandry Madagascar  0.3
08 Mar 2017 01:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.3
08 Mar 2017 01:00 Tanambao Madagascar  0.3
08 Mar 2017 01:00 Anjabe Madagascar  0.3
08 Mar 2017 01:00 Andranomena Madagascar  0.3
07 Mar 2017 13:00 Anaovandrano Madagascar  0.3
07 Mar 2017 23:00 Bobasakoa Madagascar  0.3
07 Mar 2017 07:00 Antohamaro Madagascar  0.3
08 Mar 2017 01:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.3
08 Mar 2017 02:00 Madirotelo Madagascar  0.3
08 Mar 2017 01:00 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.3
08 Mar 2017 02:00 Bevoay Madagascar  0.3
07 Mar 2017 11:00 Ilomotro Madagascar  0.3
07 Mar 2017 11:00 Andohonko Madagascar  0.3
07 Mar 2017 11:00 Antsisikala Madagascar  0.3
08 Mar 2017 02:00 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.3
08 Mar 2017 02:00 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.3
07 Mar 2017 14:00 Andilamboahangy Madagascar  0.3
07 Mar 2017 14:00 Manompana Madagascar  0.3
08 Mar 2017 00:00 Ampasina Madagascar  0.3
08 Mar 2017 04:00 Ananalava Madagascar  0.3
07 Mar 2017 10:00 Rantranavona Madagascar  0.3
07 Mar 2017 14:00 Ivontaka Madagascar  0.3
07 Mar 2017 11:00 Fampotabe Madagascar  0.3
07 Mar 2017 13:00 Ambatoharana Madagascar  0.3
07 Mar 2017 13:00 Vinanivao Madagascar  0.3
07 Mar 2017 14:00 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.3
07 Mar 2017 14:00 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.3
07 Mar 2017 23:00 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.3
08 Mar 2017 00:00 Fenerive Madagascar  0.3
07 Mar 2017 08:00 Farahalana Madagascar  0.3
07 Mar 2017 13:00 Antanjokatafana Madagascar  0.3
07 Mar 2017 22:00 Antsahabe Madagascar  0.3
07 Mar 2017 22:00 Ambodizaotra Madagascar  0.3
07 Mar 2017 22:00 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.3
07 Mar 2017 22:00 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.3
07 Mar 2017 23:00 Manakalana Madagascar  0.3
07 Mar 2017 21:00 Fandrarazana Madagascar  0.3
07 Mar 2017 15:00 Antanambe Madagascar  0.3
08 Mar 2017 00:00 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.3
07 Mar 2017 14:00 Seranambe Madagascar  0.3
07 Mar 2017 13:00 Ampanavoana Madagascar  0.3
08 Mar 2017 03:00 Analalava Madagascar  0.3
08 Mar 2017 01:00 Antsikafoka Madagascar  0.3
08 Mar 2017 18:00 Andanivato Madagascar  0.3
08 Mar 2017 18:00 Ambatojoby Madagascar  0.3
08 Mar 2017 18:00 Andramy Madagascar  0.3
08 Mar 2017 18:00 Marotaola Madagascar  0.3
07 Mar 2017 14:00 Vatobe Madagascar  0.3
07 Mar 2017 14:00 Manambato Madagascar  0.3
07 Mar 2017 12:00 Ankazomalemy Madagascar  0.3
07 Mar 2017 14:00 Ambatobe Madagascar  0.3
07 Mar 2017 14:00 Antanetilava Madagascar  0.3
08 Mar 2017 02:00 Mahambo Madagascar  0.3
07 Mar 2017 23:00 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.3
07 Mar 2017 14:00 Ambatofitarafana Madagascar  0.2
08 Mar 2017 00:00 Mandrony Madagascar  0.2
08 Mar 2017 02:00 Ampandrano Madagascar  0.2
08 Mar 2017 02:00 Andrafialava Madagascar  0.2
08 Mar 2017 14:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
08 Mar 2017 01:00 Maromanjo Madagascar  0.2
08 Mar 2017 01:00 Andamoty Madagascar  0.2
08 Mar 2017 01:00 Maromandia Madagascar  0.2
08 Mar 2017 01:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.2
08 Mar 2017 03:00 Marovoha Madagascar  0.2
07 Mar 2017 22:00 Vohilava Madagascar  0.2
07 Mar 2017 23:00 Tanambe Madagascar  0.2
08 Mar 2017 03:00 Mailakapasy Madagascar  0.2
07 Mar 2017 22:00 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.2
07 Mar 2017 11:00 Ambanisanjo Madagascar  0.2
08 Mar 2017 01:00 Namahoaka Madagascar  0.2
08 Mar 2017 03:00 Ampasibe Madagascar  0.2
07 Mar 2017 23:00 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.2
07 Mar 2017 22:00 Ambodiatafa Madagascar  0.2
08 Mar 2017 01:00 Mahatsara Madagascar  0.2
08 Mar 2017 03:00 Antsahampano Madagascar  0.2
07 Mar 2017 13:00 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.2
08 Mar 2017 15:00 Andriana Madagascar  0.2
07 Mar 2017 21:00 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.2
07 Mar 2017 13:00 Sambava Madagascar  0.2
07 Mar 2017 10:00 Maniroka Madagascar  0.2
08 Mar 2017 04:00 Foulpointe Madagascar  0.2
08 Mar 2017 14:00 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.2
08 Mar 2017 08:00 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.2
07 Mar 2017 07:00 Ambanjsondriry Madagascar  0.2
08 Mar 2017 00:00 Bejongoro Madagascar  0.2
07 Mar 2017 23:00 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.2
07 Mar 2017 12:00 Ampanakana Madagascar  0.2
07 Mar 2017 13:00 Antanifatsy Madagascar  0.2
08 Mar 2017 01:00 Marovato Madagascar  0.2
08 Mar 2017 03:00 Ampasimpilily Madagascar  0.2
08 Mar 2017 18:00 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.2
08 Mar 2017 18:00 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.2
07 Mar 2017 12:00 Mahatsaborimaika Madagascar  0.2
08 Mar 2017 03:00 Ampitily Madagascar  0.2
08 Mar 2017 18:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
08 Mar 2017 18:00 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.2
08 Mar 2017 18:00 Bevatry Madagascar  0.2
08 Mar 2017 18:00 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.2
08 Mar 2017 15:00 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.2
08 Mar 2017 10:00 Marosakoa Madagascar  0.2
07 Mar 2017 14:00 Antsorokaka Madagascar  0.1
07 Mar 2017 10:00 Antongompatatra Madagascar  0.1
07 Mar 2017 09:00 Bemanevika Madagascar  0.1
07 Mar 2017 08:00 Ampana Kanana Madagascar  0.1
07 Mar 2017 16:00 Anjiamalandy Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2017 18:00 Reharaka Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2017 18:00 Soahanina Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2017 18:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2017 17:00 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2017 00:00 Ambaramidada Madagascar  0.1
07 Mar 2017 22:00 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.1
07 Mar 2017 14:00 Fararano Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2017 03:00 Antetikireja Madagascar  0.1
07 Mar 2017 08:00 Tanambao Madagascar  0.1
07 Mar 2017 07:00 Masondrono Madagascar  0.1
07 Mar 2017 09:00 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2017 00:00 Antananabe Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2017 19:00 Voalavo Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2017 17:00 Andranira Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2017 10:00 Ampasitsilavitra Madagascar  0.1
07 Mar 2017 13:00 Dzamandzar Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2017 09:00 Anjajavy Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2017 18:00 Mahabo Madagascar  0.1
07 Mar 2017 13:00 Ampasimena Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2017 14:00 Andrafia Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2017 03:00 Taratasy Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2017 19:00 Andranovoribe Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2017 19:00 Baly Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2017 18:00 Manampatra Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2017 19:00 Ankinganomby Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2017 19:00 Anjiajia Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2017 03:00 Ambinanysahavary Madagascar  0.1
07 Mar 2017 15:00 Ambariomena Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2017 19:00 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2017 05:00 Singalana Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2017 18:00 Antaribao Madagascar  0.1
07 Mar 2017 09:00 Antsahotompy Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2017 05:00 Ambodiadabo Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2017 05:00 Androlavy Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2017 03:00 Vohitsara Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2017 03:00 Antetezambaro Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2017 03:00 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2017 13:00 Mahatsara Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2017 14:00 Marofinaritra Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2017 14:00 Ankarefo Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2017 18:00 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.1