Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for FRANKLIN-17
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FRANKLIN-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Glide number: TC-2017-000105-MEX
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population 1.1 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 139 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (09 Aug 03:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 139 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 1.5
Overall 139 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

139 km/h Current Max.

Up to 1.9 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 06 Aug 2017 21:00 111 6.5 million No people Belize, Mexico
Green 2 07 Aug 2017 03:00 111 8.3 million No people Honduras, Nicaragua, Belize, Mexico
Green 3 07 Aug 2017 09:00 102 18.5 million No people Honduras, Nicaragua, Belize, Mexico, Guatemala
Green 4 07 Aug 2017 15:00 111 39.2 million No people Honduras, Belize, Mexico, Nicaragua, Guatemala
Green 5 07 Aug 2017 21:00 120 50.4 million No people Mexico, Belize, Honduras, Guatemala, Nicaragua
Green 6 08 Aug 2017 03:00 120 49.5 million No people Mexico, Belize, Honduras, Nicaragua
Green 7 08 Aug 2017 09:00 111 55.9 million No people Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua
Green 8 08 Aug 2017 15:00 111 43.2 million No people Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua
Green 9 08 Aug 2017 21:00 111 13.7 million No people Mexico, Guatemala, Belize, Honduras, Nicaragua
Orange 10 09 Aug 2017 03:00 120 53.1 million 940 thousand Mexico
Orange 11 09 Aug 2017 09:00 130 32.1 million 3.6 million Mexico
Orange 12 09 Aug 2017 15:00 139 23.8 million 1.9 million Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 06 Aug 2017 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 15.6, -82
GREEN
2 07 Aug 2017 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 63000 people 16.4, -83 Honduras
GREEN
3 07 Aug 2017 09:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 210000 people 17.1, -84.2 Honduras
GREEN
4 07 Aug 2017 15:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 630000 people 17.7, -85.1 Belize
GREEN
5 07 Aug 2017 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 1.2 million people 18.6, -85.9 Mexico
GREEN
6 08 Aug 2017 03:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 3.4 million people 19.1, -87.3 Mexico
GREEN
7 08 Aug 2017 09:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 3.3 million people 19.3, -88.5 Guatemala
GREEN
8 08 Aug 2017 15:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 3.3 million people 19.6, -89.6 Guatemala
GREEN
9 08 Aug 2017 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 2.7 million people 20.2, -90.3 Mexico
GREEN
10 09 Aug 2017 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 5 million people 20.3, -91.3 Guatemala
GREEN
11 09 Aug 2017 09:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 3 million people 20.4, -92.7 Mexico
GREEN
12 09 Aug 2017 15:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 6.2 million people 20.2, -93.9 Mexico
ORANGE
12 10 Aug 2017 00:00 Category 1 139 1.9 million people 19.3 million people 20.1, -95.6 Mexico
GREEN
12 10 Aug 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 19.7, -97.7 Mexico
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Mexico

Provinces

Region Province Country
Veracruz Mexico
Puebla Mexico
Tlaxcala Mexico

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Misantla Veracruz Mexico City 23000 people
Jalapa Veracruz Mexico Major city -
Tlapacoyan Veracruz Mexico City 33000 people
Perote Veracruz Mexico City 32000 people
Teziutl�n Puebla Mexico City 60000 people
Tepeyahualco Puebla Mexico City -
Libres Puebla Mexico City 13000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
La Soledad Apulco 1962

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Santa Cruz, Mexico. This height is estimated for 09 Aug 2017 03:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (180 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 12 of 09 Aug 2017 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Aug 2017 03:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.7
09 Aug 2017 03:00 Sabancuy Mexico  0.7
09 Aug 2017 03:00 Noham Mexico  0.7
09 Aug 2017 02:00 Champoton Mexico  0.7
09 Aug 2017 02:00 Haltunchen Mexico  0.7
09 Aug 2017 02:00 Seybaplaya Mexico  0.7
09 Aug 2017 03:00 Porfirio Diaz Mexico  0.7
09 Aug 2017 03:00 Chenkan Mexico  0.7
08 Aug 2017 23:00 Balantanche Mexico  0.7
09 Aug 2017 01:00 Hoquel Mexico  0.6
08 Aug 2017 18:00 Paso Real Mexico  0.5
10 Aug 2017 05:00 El Laurel Mexico  0.5
08 Aug 2017 09:00 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.4
10 Aug 2017 05:00 Vega de Alatorre Mexico  0.4
10 Aug 2017 05:00 Emilio Carranza Mexico  0.4
08 Aug 2017 03:00 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.4
10 Aug 2017 06:00 Nautla Mexico  0.4
10 Aug 2017 06:00 Tecolutla Mexico  0.4
08 Aug 2017 07:00 Vigia Chico Mexico  0.3
10 Aug 2017 07:00 Tamiahua Mexico  0.3
10 Aug 2017 06:00 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.3
10 Aug 2017 06:00 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.3
09 Aug 2017 18:00 Monte de Oro Mexico  0.3
10 Aug 2017 06:00 Tenixtepec Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2017 07:00 Ranas Mexico  0.3
10 Aug 2017 06:00 Laja Mexico  0.3
07 Aug 2017 15:00 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.3
07 Aug 2017 15:00 Barrancones Honduras  0.3
07 Aug 2017 15:00 Condega Honduras  0.3
07 Aug 2017 15:00 Cedeno Honduras  0.3
07 Aug 2017 15:00 Santo Tomas Nicaragua  0.3
07 Aug 2017 15:00 Mangle Alto Nicaragua  0.3
09 Aug 2017 09:00 Majahual Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2017 03:00 Puerto Madero Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2017 02:00 Almacen Cuba  0.3
09 Aug 2017 04:00 San Pedro Mexico  0.3
10 Aug 2017 06:00 El Naranjal Mexico  0.3
09 Aug 2017 09:00 Calderas Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2017 03:00 Francisco I. Madero Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2017 09:00 Dos Hermanas Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2017 02:00 Guanimar Cuba  0.2
08 Aug 2017 01:00 Aguas Claras Cuba  0.2
08 Aug 2017 07:00 El Cajio Cuba  0.2
10 Aug 2017 11:00 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2017 06:00 San Jose de los Leones Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2017 01:00 Punta de Fisga Cuba  0.2
10 Aug 2017 11:00 El Tular Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2017 11:00 La Mata Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2017 05:00 Agua Dulce Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2017 04:00 Xcalak Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2017 06:00 El Porvenir Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2017 07:00 Los Ebanos Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2017 03:00 Hidalgo Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2017 06:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2017 07:00 Surgidero de Batabano Cuba  0.2
08 Aug 2017 07:00 Batabano Cuba  0.2
10 Aug 2017 08:00 La Presita Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2017 15:00 El Carmen Nicaragua  0.2
07 Aug 2017 15:00 Gualora Honduras  0.2
07 Aug 2017 22:00 Chabihau Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2017 04:00 El Placer Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2017 06:00 Rancho Nuevo Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2017 04:00 Ursulo Galvan Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2017 07:00 Chetumal Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2017 07:00 Calderita Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2017 03:00 Santeneja Belize  0.2
07 Aug 2017 22:00 Pixoy Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2017 18:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.2
09 Aug 2017 18:00 Palacios United States  0.2
07 Aug 2017 22:00 Telchac Puerto Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2017 04:00 Chiltepec Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2017 06:00 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2017 18:00 Holly Beach United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 18:00 Laguna Vista United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 18:00 Laguna Heights United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 18:00 Port Isabel United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 18:00 South Padre Island United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 18:00 Boca Chica United States  0.1
10 Aug 2017 07:00 Pueblo Viejo Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2017 07:00 Primero de Mayo Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2017 07:00 Tampico Alta Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2017 18:00 Spanish Village United States  0.1
10 Aug 2017 06:00 Los Pericos Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2017 04:00 Stann Creek Town Belize  0.1
09 Aug 2017 04:00 Tonala Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2017 09:00 Nadeau United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 09:00 Texas City Junction United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 09:00 Bayou Vista United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 09:00 Texas City United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 09:00 Anderson Ways United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 09:00 Virginia Point United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 09:00 Port Bolivar United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 09:00 Fort Travis United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 09:00 Flake United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 09:00 Elmgrove United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 09:00 Crystal Beach United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 09:00 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 19:00 Surfside United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 19:00 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 21:00 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2017 15:00 El Roble Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2017 15:00 Arista Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2017 13:00 Empalme Honduras  0.1
07 Aug 2017 13:00 Trujillo Honduras  0.1
07 Aug 2017 13:00 Barranco Blanco Honduras  0.1
07 Aug 2017 15:00 El Cuyo Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2017 05:00 Bacalar Chico Belize  0.1
10 Aug 2017 12:00 Celestum Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2017 21:00 Galveston United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 21:00 Patton United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 20:00 Caplen United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 20:00 Gilchrist United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 20:00 High Island United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 19:00 Mims United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 19:00 Hoskins United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 19:00 Port Morris United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 14:00 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 20:00 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 20:00 Sea Isle United States  0.1
10 Aug 2017 08:00 Rancho de Piedra Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2017 06:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2017 07:00 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
10 Aug 2017 07:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
10 Aug 2017 07:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
10 Aug 2017 07:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
10 Aug 2017 07:00 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
10 Aug 2017 07:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
10 Aug 2017 07:00 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
10 Aug 2017 07:00 Estes United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 18:00 Rockport United States  0.1
10 Aug 2017 07:00 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 18:00 Copano Village United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 18:00 Fulton United States  0.1
10 Aug 2017 04:00 Salmoral Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2017 15:00 Buenavista Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2017 04:00 Mullins Belize  0.1
07 Aug 2017 14:00 Las Pozas Nicaragua  0.1
08 Aug 2017 09:00 Playa Caimito Cuba  0.1
10 Aug 2017 12:00 Sisal Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2017 04:00 Sanchez Magallanes Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2017 04:00 Tupilco Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2017 21:00 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 18:00 Gulf Park United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 09:00 Hoskins United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 09:00 Valasco Heights United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 09:00 Freeport United States  0.1
10 Aug 2017 06:00 Yarborough United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 08:00 Kopernik Shores United States  0.1
10 Aug 2017 06:00 La Pesca Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2017 05:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2017 06:00 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
10 Aug 2017 06:00 Port Aransas United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 11:00 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 11:00 Constance Beach United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 11:00 Peveto Beach United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 09:00 Holly Beach United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 09:00 Cameron United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 10:00 Grand Chenier United States  0.1
07 Aug 2017 12:00 Donel Honduras  0.1
07 Aug 2017 13:00 Rio Esteban Honduras  0.1
07 Aug 2017 13:00 Miranda Honduras  0.1
07 Aug 2017 15:00 Chipepte Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2017 02:00 Veracruz Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2017 10:00 Barra del Patuca Honduras  0.1
07 Aug 2017 23:00 Mina de Oro Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2017 23:00 Cerrito Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2017 07:00 Chinquapin United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 18:00 Bryan Beach United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 13:00 Quintana United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 18:00 Matagorda United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 09:00 Oak Grove United States  0.1
07 Aug 2017 11:00 Bruner Honduras  0.1
07 Aug 2017 11:00 Tasbarraya Honduras  0.1
07 Aug 2017 12:00 El Urraco Honduras  0.1
07 Aug 2017 12:00 Iriona Honduras  0.1
07 Aug 2017 12:00 La Puerta Honduras  0.1
09 Aug 2017 09:00 Playa de Tasajera Cuba  0.1
09 Aug 2017 03:00 Buen Pais Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2017 04:00 Alvarado Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2017 04:00 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  0.1