Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for MARIA-17
in Virgin IslandsU.S.GuadeloupePuerto RicoDominicaTurks and Caicos IslandsDominican RepublicMartiniqueAntigua and BarbudaMontserratSaint Kitts and NevisAnguillaBritish

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MARIA-17 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Virgin IslandsU.S.GuadeloupePuerto RicoDominicaTurks and Caicos IslandsDominican RepublicMartiniqueAntigua and BarbudaMontserratSaint Kitts and NevisAnguillaBritish
Exposed population 2.7 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 278 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (19 Sep 13:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 148 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 278 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 16 Sep 2017 15:00 148 5.1 million No people Martinique, Dominica, Guadeloupe, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Anguilla, Virgin Islands, U.S., Virgin Islands, British, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 16 Sep 2017 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 12.2, -50.5
GREEN
1 17 Sep 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 12.8, -52.8
GREEN
1 17 Sep 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 13.6, -55.1
GREEN
1 18 Sep 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 14.3, -56.9
GREEN
1 18 Sep 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 920000 people 15, -58.6 Montserrat
GREEN
1 19 Sep 2017 12:00 Category 1 139 no people 890000 people 16.3, -61.3 Montserrat
GREEN
1 20 Sep 2017 12:00 Category 1 148 no people 4.1 million people 17.6, -64 Dominican Republic
GREEN
1 21 Sep 2017 12:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 18.7, -67.3 Puerto Rico
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Baie-Mahault, Guadeloupe. This height is estimated for 19 Sep 2017 13:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (207 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 1 of 16 Sep 2017 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
19 Sep 2017 13:00 Baie-Mahault Guadeloupe  0.5
19 Sep 2017 13:00 Pointe-a-Pitre Guadeloupe  0.5
19 Sep 2017 14:00 Port-Louis Guadeloupe  0.5
20 Sep 2017 04:00 Newton Ground St. Kitts and Nevis  0.4
20 Sep 2017 04:00 Fig Tree St. Kitts and Nevis  0.4
20 Sep 2017 04:00 Sandy Point St. Kitts and Nevis  0.4
20 Sep 2017 08:00 Windward Side Netherlands Antilles  0.4
20 Sep 2017 06:00 Oranjestad Netherlands Antilles  0.4
20 Sep 2017 05:00 Saint Paul's St. Kitts and Nevis  0.4
20 Sep 2017 05:00 Dieppe Bay Town St. Kitts and Nevis  0.4
19 Sep 2017 21:00 Saint John's Montserrat  0.3
19 Sep 2017 21:00 Saint Peter's Montserrat  0.3
19 Sep 2017 21:00 Cud Joe Head Montserrat  0.3
19 Sep 2017 21:00 Davy Hill Montserrat  0.3
20 Sep 2017 04:00 Saddlers St. Kitts and Nevis  0.3
19 Sep 2017 20:00 Molyneaux Montserrat  0.3
19 Sep 2017 20:00 Windy Hill Montserrat  0.3
19 Sep 2017 20:00 Lookout Montserrat  0.3
19 Sep 2017 20:00 Old Town Montserrat  0.3
19 Sep 2017 20:00 Olveston Montserrat  0.3
19 Sep 2017 20:00 Elberton Montserrat  0.3
19 Sep 2017 20:00 Woodlands Montserrat  0.3
19 Sep 2017 20:00 Salem Montserrat  0.3
19 Sep 2017 20:00 Weekes Montserrat  0.3
19 Sep 2017 20:00 Firth Montserrat  0.3
19 Sep 2017 20:00 Plymouth Montserrat  0.3
19 Sep 2017 20:00 Blakes Montserrat  0.3
19 Sep 2017 13:00 Moule Guadeloupe  0.3
19 Sep 2017 11:00 Grande Anse Guadeloupe  0.3
19 Sep 2017 10:00 Point du Nord Guadeloupe  0.2
19 Sep 2017 13:00 Sainte-Anne Guadeloupe  0.2
20 Sep 2017 01:00 Charlestown St. Kitts and Nevis  0.2
20 Sep 2017 01:00 Fig Tree St. Kitts and Nevis  0.2
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Hacienda Arcadia Puerto Rico  0.2
19 Sep 2017 14:00 Saint-Jacques Guadeloupe  0.2
19 Sep 2017 20:00 Tuitts Montserrat  0.2
20 Sep 2017 00:00 Hanley's Road St. Kitts and Nevis  0.2
20 Sep 2017 14:00 East End Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Cotton Grove Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Sep 2017 14:00 Annaberg Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Sep 2017 14:00 Bordeaux Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Sep 2017 14:00 Hermitage Virgin Islands  0.2
19 Sep 2017 14:00 Bas Vent Guadeloupe  0.2
19 Sep 2017 19:00 Bramble Village Montserrat  0.2
19 Sep 2017 19:00 Long Ground Montserrat  0.2
19 Sep 2017 19:00 Bethnal Montserrat  0.2
20 Sep 2017 01:00 Taylors Pleasure St. Kitts and Nevis  0.2
20 Sep 2017 01:00 Zion St. Kitts and Nevis  0.2
20 Sep 2017 01:00 Nelson's Spring St. Kitts and Nevis  0.2
20 Sep 2017 01:00 Cotton Ground St. Kitts and Nevis  0.2
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Isabel Segunda Puerto Rico  0.2
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Santa Maria Puerto Rico  0.2
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Vieques Puerto Rico  0.2
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Luis M. Cintron Puerto Rico  0.2
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Roosevelt Roads Puerto Rico  0.2
20 Sep 2017 14:00 Calabash Boom Virgin Islands  0.2
19 Sep 2017 19:00 Pares Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
19 Sep 2017 19:00 Betty's Hope Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Knight Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Esperanza Puerto Rico  0.2
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Christiansted Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Fareham Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Carden Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Cotton Valley Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Sep 2017 01:00 New River St. Kitts and Nevis  0.2
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Belvedere Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Clairmont Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Sep 2017 15:00 North Star Virgin Islands  0.2
19 Sep 2017 21:00 Saint Johnston Village Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
19 Sep 2017 21:00 Potters Village Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
19 Sep 2017 21:00 Osbourn Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
20 Sep 2017 05:00 Marigot Guadeloupe  0.2
20 Sep 2017 05:00 Blowing Point Anguilla  0.2
20 Sep 2017 05:00 Koolbaai Netherlands Antilles  0.2
20 Sep 2017 05:00 Concordia Guadeloupe  0.2
20 Sep 2017 05:00 St Louis Guadeloupe  0.2
20 Sep 2017 05:00 The Valley Anguilla  0.2
20 Sep 2017 05:00 Fort Amsterdam Netherlands Antilles  0.2
20 Sep 2017 05:00 Dutch Cul de Sac Netherlands Antilles  0.2
20 Sep 2017 05:00 Grand Case Guadeloupe  0.2
20 Sep 2017 05:00 Colombier Guadeloupe  0.2
20 Sep 2017 05:00 Philipsburg Netherlands Antilles  0.2
20 Sep 2017 05:00 Orleans Guadeloupe  0.2
20 Sep 2017 05:00 Point Blanche Netherlands Antilles  0.2
20 Sep 2017 05:00 Anse Marcel Guadeloupe  0.2
20 Sep 2017 05:00 French Cul de Sac Guadeloupe  0.2
20 Sep 2017 05:00 Green Cay Guadeloupe  0.2
20 Sep 2017 05:00 West End Village Anguilla  0.2
20 Sep 2017 05:00 Lowlands Netherlands Antilles  0.2
20 Sep 2017 05:00 Sandy Ground Guadeloupe  0.2
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Libanon Hill Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Bonne Esperance Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Montpellier Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Bellevue Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Annas Hope Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Bugbyhole Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Fountain Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Hermitage Virgin Islands  0.2
19 Sep 2017 18:00 Willikies Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
20 Sep 2017 03:00 Canyon St. Kitts and Nevis  0.2
20 Sep 2017 03:00 Keys St. Kitts and Nevis  0.2
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Spanish Town British Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Belle Vue British Virgin Islands  0.2
19 Sep 2017 18:00 Cobbs Cross Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
19 Sep 2017 18:00 English Harbour Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
19 Sep 2017 18:00 Newfield Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
19 Sep 2017 18:00 Half Moon Bay Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Diamond Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Jerusalem and Figtree Hill Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Jolly Hill Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Annaly Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Bethlehem Old Work Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Anguilla Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Clifton Hill Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Butler Bay Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Hams Bay Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Sep 2017 15:00 San Ildefonso Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Bettys Hope Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Naguabo Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Sep 2017 01:00 Brink Kiln St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
20 Sep 2017 01:00 Butlers St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
20 Sep 2017 06:00 Gustavia Guadeloupe  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Campamento Punta Lima Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Daguao Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Isidra Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Contant Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Adrian Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Fish Bay Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Punta Santiago Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Playa de Humacao Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Palmas del Mar Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Buena Vista Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Bajandas Puerto Rico  0.1
19 Sep 2017 10:00 Saint-Louis Guadeloupe  0.1
19 Sep 2017 16:00 Saint-Claude Guadeloupe  0.1
19 Sep 2017 19:00 Jolly Harbour Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
19 Sep 2017 19:00 Bolans Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
19 Sep 2017 19:00 Urlings Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
19 Sep 2017 19:00 Jennings Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
19 Sep 2017 19:00 Ebenezer Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
19 Sep 2017 19:00 Creekside Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
19 Sep 2017 19:00 Golden Grove Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
19 Sep 2017 19:00 John Hughes Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
19 Sep 2017 16:00 Boons Bay Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
19 Sep 2017 16:00 Cedar Grove Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
19 Sep 2017 19:00 Falmouth Harbour Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
20 Sep 2017 01:00 Hick's Village St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
20 Sep 2017 01:00 Jessup's Village St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Charlotte Amalie Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Enighed Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Bellevue Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Mandal Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Donoe Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Benner Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Butzberg Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Aguas Claras Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Ceiba Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Carlton Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Allandale Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Upper Love Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Negro Bay Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Estacion Botija Puerto Rico  0.1
19 Sep 2017 11:00 Grand-Bourg Guadeloupe  0.1
19 Sep 2017 16:00 La Pointe-Noire Guadeloupe  0.1
19 Sep 2017 16:00 Bouillante Guadeloupe  0.1
20 Sep 2017 03:00 Challengers St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
20 Sep 2017 03:00 Trinity St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
20 Sep 2017 03:00 Tabernacle St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
20 Sep 2017 03:00 Phillips St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
20 Sep 2017 03:00 Boyd's St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
20 Sep 2017 03:00 Mansion St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
20 Sep 2017 03:00 Molineux St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
20 Sep 2017 03:00 Lodge St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
20 Sep 2017 03:00 Ottley's St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
20 Sep 2017 03:00 Basseterre St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
20 Sep 2017 03:00 Half Way Tree St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
20 Sep 2017 03:00 Middle Island St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Culebra Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Bolongo Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Road Town British Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Camporico Virgin Islands  0.1
19 Sep 2017 10:00 Capesterre Guadeloupe  0.1
19 Sep 2017 13:00 Capesterre Guadeloupe  0.1
19 Sep 2017 15:00 Five Islands Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
19 Sep 2017 15:00 Runaway Bay Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
19 Sep 2017 15:00 Dickenson Bay Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
19 Sep 2017 19:00 Saint John's Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
19 Sep 2017 15:00 Barnes Hill Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
19 Sep 2017 16:00 Basse-Terre Guadeloupe  0.1
20 Sep 2017 03:00 Newcastle St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
20 Sep 2017 03:00 Fountain St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
20 Sep 2017 03:00 Westbury St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Adelphi Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Neltjeberg Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Cabritaberg Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Barrett Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Pacham Town British Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Margarita Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Convento Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Fajardo Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Las Croabas Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Sep 2017 06:00 Codrington Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Luquillo Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Palmer Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Playa Fortuna Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 San Vicente Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Sep 2017 15:00 Hato Candal Puerto Rico  0.1