Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for OPHELIA-17
in Ireland, United Kingdom

Impact

Tropical Cyclone OPHELIA-17 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (NOAA)
Exposed countries Ireland, United Kingdom
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 185 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (16 Oct 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability -- (Ireland)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 167 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
GDACS Overall 185 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

167 km/h Current

Up to 920000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Green 1 09 Oct 2017 09:00 93 No people No people
Green 2 09 Oct 2017 15:00 120 No people No people
Green 3 09 Oct 2017 21:00 120 No people No people
Green 4 10 Oct 2017 03:00 139 No people No people
Green 5 10 Oct 2017 09:00 139 No people No people
Green 6 10 Oct 2017 15:00 130 No people No people
Green 7 10 Oct 2017 21:00 130 No people No people
Green 8 11 Oct 2017 03:00 130 No people No people
Green 9 11 Oct 2017 09:00 139 No people No people
Green 10 11 Oct 2017 15:00 130 No people No people
Green 11 11 Oct 2017 21:00 139 790 thousand No people Portugal, Ireland
Green 12 12 Oct 2017 03:00 148 2.9 million 30 thousand Ireland
Green 13 12 Oct 2017 09:00 148 2.7 million 10 thousand Ireland, United Kingdom
Green 14 12 Oct 2017 15:00 148 4.5 million 20 thousand Ireland, United Kingdom
Green 15 12 Oct 2017 21:00 157 10.6 million 300 thousand Ireland, United Kingdom
Green 16 13 Oct 2017 03:00 167 12 million 930 thousand Ireland, United Kingdom

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon)
GREEN
1 09 Oct 2017 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 31.1, -39.9
GREEN
2 09 Oct 2017 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 31.4, -39.9
GREEN
3 09 Oct 2017 21:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 31.5, -39.6
GREEN
4 10 Oct 2017 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 32.3, -39
GREEN
5 10 Oct 2017 09:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 31.9, -38.8
GREEN
6 10 Oct 2017 15:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 31.5, -38.3
GREEN
7 10 Oct 2017 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 31.1, -38
GREEN
8 11 Oct 2017 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 30.7, -37.6
GREEN
9 11 Oct 2017 09:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 30.2, -37
GREEN
10 11 Oct 2017 15:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 30, -36.5
GREEN
11 11 Oct 2017 21:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 30, -36.1
GREEN
12 12 Oct 2017 03:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 30, -35.7
GREEN
13 12 Oct 2017 09:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 30.3, -35.6
GREEN
14 12 Oct 2017 15:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 30.5, -35.6
GREEN
15 12 Oct 2017 21:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 30.4, -35.5
GREEN
16 13 Oct 2017 03:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 30.7, -34.7
GREEN
16 13 Oct 2017 12:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 31.2, -33.5
GREEN
16 14 Oct 2017 00:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 32.2, -31.1
GREEN
16 14 Oct 2017 12:00 Category 1 148 140000 people no people 33.7, -27.5
GREEN
16 15 Oct 2017 00:00 Category 1 148 140000 people no people 36, -23
GREEN
16 16 Oct 2017 00:00 Category 1 139 9.5 million people 920000 people 45, -14.5
GREEN
16 17 Oct 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 102 10.1 million people no people 56, -7
GREEN
16 18 Oct 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 64, -.5
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Countries

Country
Ireland
United Kingdom

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Munster Ireland 1 million people
Connacht Ireland 420000 people
Ulster Ireland 230000 people
Northern Ireland United Kingdom 1.5 million people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population Distance
Trá Lí Kerry (Ciarraí) Ireland City 19000 people 3145 km
Gaillimh Galway City (Cathair na Gaillimhe) Ireland City 57000 people 3250 km
Sligo Sligo (Sligeach) Ireland City 18000 people 3352 km
Strabane Tyrone, Northern Ireland United Kingdom City 14000 people 3442 km
Londonderry Londonderry, Northern Ireland United Kingdom Major city 87000 people 3461 km

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft) Distance
Caherciveen Reenroe CHE unknown 0 3095 km
Kerry County Airport KIR 30 Civ. Paved Yes 6500 3148 km
Inisheer INQ unknown 0 3215 km
Shannon SNN 14 Civ. Paved Yes 10400 3217 km
Carnmore GWY 27 Civ. Paved Yes 4400 3258 km
Knock International NOC 203 Civ. Paved Yes 7500 3309 km
Collooney SXL 6 Civ. Paved Yes 3900 3346 km
Letterkenny LTR unknown 0 3437 km

Ports

Name LOCODE Country Distance
Crow Head Ireland 3072 km
Crookhaven Ireland 3089 km
Castletown Bere IECTB Ireland 3093 km
Bentwaters IEBEN Ireland 3095 km
Glengariff Ireland 3113 km
Kenmare Ireland 3123 km
Castlemaine Harbour Ireland 3131 km
Fenit IEFEN Ireland 3138 km
Tralee IETRA Ireland 3144 km
Kilkee Ireland 3177 km
Kilrush IEKLR Ireland 3182 km
Tarbert IETAB Ireland 3185 km
Foynes Island IEFOV Ireland 3201 km
Aughinish Island IEAUG Ireland 3205 km
Lahinch Ireland 3212 km
Clarecastle Ireland 3223 km
Galway IEGWY Ireland 3250 km
Sligo IESLI Ireland 3352 km
Donegal Ireland 3397 km
Rathmullan Ireland 3458 km
Londonderry GBLDY United Kingdom 3460 km
Buncrana IEBUC Ireland 3464 km

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year Distance
Cliff Erne 1950 3383 km

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Rianxo, Spain. This height is estimated for 16 Oct 2017 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (43 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 16 of 13 Oct 2017 03:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
16 Oct 2017 00:00 Rianxo Spain  0.2
16 Oct 2017 00:00 Villagarcia de Arousa Spain  0.2
16 Oct 2017 00:00 Vilanova de Arousa Spain  0.2
16 Oct 2017 00:00 Puebla del Caraminal Spain  0.2
16 Oct 2017 00:00 Corrubedo Spain  0.2
16 Oct 2017 00:00 Santa Uxia Spain  0.2
16 Oct 2017 00:00 Cambados Spain  0.2
16 Oct 2017 00:00 Matosinhos Portugal  0.2
16 Oct 2017 00:00 Cee Spain  0.2
16 Oct 2017 00:00 Viana do Castelo Portugal  0.2
16 Oct 2017 00:00 Castelo do Neiva Portugal  0.2
16 Oct 2017 00:00 Marinhas Portugal  0.2
16 Oct 2017 00:00 Vila do Conde Portugal  0.2
16 Oct 2017 00:00 Muros Spain  0.2
16 Oct 2017 00:00 A Ver-o-Mar Portugal  0.1
16 Oct 2017 00:00 Apulia Portugal  0.1
16 Oct 2017 00:00 Vigo Spain  0.1
16 Oct 2017 00:00 Vigo Spain  0.1
16 Oct 2017 00:00 Sanxenxo Spain  0.1
16 Oct 2017 00:00 Cangas Spain  0.1
16 Oct 2017 00:00 Bueu Spain  0.1
16 Oct 2017 00:00 Lavra Portugal  0.1
16 Oct 2017 00:00 Torrao do Lameiro Portugal  0.1
16 Oct 2017 00:00 Vila Nova de Gaia Portugal  0.1
16 Oct 2017 00:00 Quinta do Cochel Portugal  0.1
16 Oct 2017 00:00 Torreira Portugal  0.1
16 Oct 2017 00:00 Arrabal Spain  0.1
16 Oct 2017 00:00 Carreco Portugal  0.1
16 Oct 2017 00:00 Porto do Son Spain  0.1
16 Oct 2017 00:00 Carnota Spain  0.1
16 Oct 2017 00:00 Sao Jacinto Portugal  0.1
16 Oct 2017 00:00 Fisterra Spain  0.1
16 Oct 2017 00:00 La Guardia Spain  0.1
16 Oct 2017 00:00 Moledo Portugal  0.1
16 Oct 2017 00:00 Furadouro Portugal  0.1
16 Oct 2017 00:00 Granja Portugal  0.1
16 Oct 2017 00:00 Gafanha do Carmo Portugal  0.1
16 Oct 2017 00:00 Praia de Mira Portugal  0.1
16 Oct 2017 00:00 Vila Praia de Ancora Portugal  0.1
16 Oct 2017 00:00 Praia de Esmoriz Portugal  0.1
16 Oct 2017 00:00 Carrasido Spain  0.1
16 Oct 2017 00:00 Gafanha da Boa Hora Portugal  0.1
16 Oct 2017 00:00 Baiona Spain  0.1