Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DAHLIA-17
in Indonesia, Christmas Island

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DAHLIA-17 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Indonesia, Christmas Island
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 130 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (05 Dec 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability -- (Indonesia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 130 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 130 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

130 km/h Current Max.

Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 30 Nov 2017 00:00 102 2 thousand No people Christmas Island
Green 2 30 Nov 2017 06:00 93 160 thousand No people Indonesia, Christmas Island
Green 3 30 Nov 2017 12:00 102 15.2 million No people Indonesia, Christmas Island, Australia
Green 4 30 Nov 2017 18:00 102 14.9 million No people Indonesia, Christmas Island, Australia
Green 5 01 Dec 2017 00:00 102 14.9 million No people Indonesia, Christmas Island
Green 6 01 Dec 2017 06:00 111 14.9 million No people Indonesia, Christmas Island, Australia
Green 7 01 Dec 2017 12:00 120 14.9 million No people Indonesia, Christmas Island, Australia
Green 8 01 Dec 2017 18:00 130 14.9 million No people Indonesia, Christmas Island, Australia

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 30 Nov 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 1500 people -8.9, 104.4 Christmas Island
GREEN
2 30 Nov 2017 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 160000 people -8.9, 106.2 Christmas Island
GREEN
3 30 Nov 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 15.1 million people -9.3, 107.6 Christmas Island
GREEN
4 30 Nov 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -9.6, 108.1
GREEN
5 01 Dec 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -9.7, 109
GREEN
6 01 Dec 2017 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -10.2, 109.6
GREEN
7 01 Dec 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -10.5, 110.5
GREEN
8 01 Dec 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people -10.9, 110.7
GREEN
8 02 Dec 2017 06:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people -11.5, 111
GREEN
8 02 Dec 2017 18:00 Category 1 120 no people no people -12.4, 111.2
GREEN
8 03 Dec 2017 06:00 Category 1 130 no people no people -13.7, 111
GREEN
8 03 Dec 2017 18:00 Category 1 130 no people no people -15.8, 110.6
GREEN
8 04 Dec 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -19.1, 111.1
GREEN
8 05 Dec 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 1900 people -20.6, 112.9 Australia
GREEN
8 06 Dec 2017 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people -21, 114.7 Australia
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Learmonth, Australia. This height is estimated for 05 Dec 2017 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (9 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 8 of 01 Dec 2017 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
05 Dec 2017 18:00 Learmonth Australia  0.2
05 Dec 2017 18:00 Mardie Australia  0.2
05 Dec 2017 18:00 Wickham Australia  0.2
05 Dec 2017 18:00 Point Samson Australia  0.2
05 Dec 2017 18:00 Cossack Australia  0.2
05 Dec 2017 18:00 Exmouth Australia  0.2
05 Dec 2017 18:00 East Lewis I Australia  0.1
05 Dec 2017 18:00 Glenroy Australia  0.1
05 Dec 2017 18:00 Ah Chong I Australia  0.1