Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for MARIA-18
in China, Japan

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MARIA-18 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (JTWC)
Glide number: TC-2018-000110-CHN
Exposed countries China, Japan
Exposed population 25.4 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 250 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (04 Jul 17:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (China)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 176 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
GDACS Overall 250 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

176 km/h Current

Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Green 1 02 Jul 2018 18:00 176 160 thousand No people Guam
Green 2 03 Jul 2018 00:00 194 160 thousand No people Guam
Green 3 03 Jul 2018 06:00 185 210 thousand No people Guam, Northern Mariana Islands
Green 4 03 Jul 2018 12:00 176 210 thousand No people Guam, Northern Mariana Islands
Green 5 03 Jul 2018 18:00 176 200 thousand No people Guam, Northern Mariana Islands

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon)
GREEN
1 02 Jul 2018 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 9.9, 146
GREEN
2 03 Jul 2018 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 10.4, 145.8
GREEN
3 03 Jul 2018 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 11.1, 148.5
GREEN
4 03 Jul 2018 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 11.8, 147.3
GREEN
5 03 Jul 2018 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 11.4, 146.5
GREEN
5 04 Jul 2018 06:00 Tropical depression 56 190000 people no people 12.4, 145.4
GREEN
5 04 Jul 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 65 190000 people no people 13.2, 144.3
GREEN
5 05 Jul 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 83 160000 people no people 14.1, 143.1
GREEN
5 05 Jul 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 15.2, 142.4
GREEN
5 06 Jul 2018 18:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 17, 141.5
GREEN
5 07 Jul 2018 18:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 19.2, 139.8
GREEN
5 08 Jul 2018 18:00 Category 2 176 no people no people 21.5, 136.9
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Umatac, Guam. This height is estimated for 04 Jul 2018 17:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (17 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 5 of 03 Jul 2018 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
04 Jul 2018 17:00 Umatac Guam  0.2
04 Jul 2018 17:00 Merizo Guam  0.2
04 Jul 2018 17:00 Agat Guam  0.2
04 Jul 2018 17:00 Santa Rita Guam  0.2
04 Jul 2018 16:00 Inarajan Guam  0.1
04 Jul 2018 16:00 Talofofo Guam  0.1
04 Jul 2018 16:00 Ylig Guam  0.1
04 Jul 2018 17:00 Lockwood Terrace Guam  0.1
04 Jul 2018 17:00 Camp Bright Guam  0.1
04 Jul 2018 17:00 Piti Guam  0.1
04 Jul 2018 17:00 Asan Guam  0.1
04 Jul 2018 17:00 Hagatna Guam  0.1
04 Jul 2018 17:00 Sinajana Guam  0.1
04 Jul 2018 17:00 Mongmong Guam  0.1
04 Jul 2018 17:00 Yona Guam  0.1
04 Jul 2018 17:00 Tamuning Guam  0.1
04 Jul 2018 17:00 Barrigada Guam  0.1