Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for SHANSHAN-18
in Japan

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SHANSHAN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Japan
Exposed population 2.3 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 176 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (08 Aug 20:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Japan)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 130 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 176 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

130 km/h Current Max.

Up to 740000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 02 Aug 2018 18:00 148 1.5 million No people Japan
Green 2 03 Aug 2018 00:00 148 90 thousand No people Japan
Green 3 03 Aug 2018 06:00 148 20 thousand No people
Green 4 03 Aug 2018 12:00 167 49 million No people Japan
Green 5 03 Aug 2018 18:00 167 58.2 million No people Japan
Green 6 04 Aug 2018 00:00 167 59 million No people Japan
Green 7 04 Aug 2018 06:00 176 54.9 million 1.3 million Japan
Green 8 04 Aug 2018 12:00 176 64.4 million 230 thousand Japan
Green 9 04 Aug 2018 18:00 176 64.6 million 5.5 million Japan
Green 10 05 Aug 2018 00:00 167 69.4 million 5.4 million Japan
Green 11 05 Aug 2018 06:00 157 51.4 million 650 thousand Japan
Green 12 05 Aug 2018 12:00 157 58.2 million 5.7 million Japan
Green 13 05 Aug 2018 18:00 157 54.4 million 940 thousand Japan
Green 14 06 Aug 2018 00:00 148 51.4 million 2.1 million Japan
Green 15 06 Aug 2018 06:00 148 55 million 430 thousand Japan
Green 16 06 Aug 2018 12:00 130 53.3 million No people Japan, Russian Federation
Green 17 06 Aug 2018 18:00 120 53.8 million No people Japan, United States
Green 18 07 Aug 2018 00:00 130 60.4 million No people Japan, Russian Federation
Green 19 07 Aug 2018 06:00 167 58 million 4.6 million Japan
Green 20 07 Aug 2018 12:00 157 58.9 million 1 million Japan
Green 21 07 Aug 2018 18:00 157 59.3 million 2.1 million Japan
Green 22 08 Aug 2018 00:00 148 56.8 million 4.6 million Japan
Green 23 08 Aug 2018 06:00 148 54.1 million 5.6 million Japan
Green 24 08 Aug 2018 12:00 130 50.7 million 60 thousand Japan
Green 25 08 Aug 2018 18:00 130 51.9 million 740 thousand Japan

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 02 Aug 2018 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 18.6, 150.7
GREEN
2 03 Aug 2018 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 17.7, 150.4
GREEN
3 03 Aug 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 18, 150.5
GREEN
4 03 Aug 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 18.5, 150
GREEN
5 03 Aug 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 19.3, 149.4
GREEN
6 04 Aug 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 20.1, 149.2
GREEN
7 04 Aug 2018 06:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 20.8, 148.8
GREEN
8 04 Aug 2018 12:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 21.8, 148.2
GREEN
9 04 Aug 2018 18:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 22.5, 147.7
GREEN
10 05 Aug 2018 00:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 23, 147.4
GREEN
11 05 Aug 2018 06:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 24, 147.5
GREEN
12 05 Aug 2018 12:00 Category 1 148 no people 2200 people 24.7, 147.1
GREEN
13 05 Aug 2018 18:00 Category 1 148 no people 2200 people 25.7, 146.6
GREEN
14 06 Aug 2018 00:00 Category 1 148 no people 2200 people 26.5, 146.2
GREEN
15 06 Aug 2018 06:00 Category 1 148 no people 2200 people 27.5, 146.1
GREEN
16 06 Aug 2018 12:00 Category 1 130 no people 1800 people 28.8, 145.6
GREEN
17 06 Aug 2018 18:00 Category 1 120 no people <1000 people 29.7, 145
GREEN
18 07 Aug 2018 00:00 Category 1 130 no people 8400 people 30.5, 144.3
GREEN
19 07 Aug 2018 06:00 Category 2 167 no people 2.9 million people 31.3, 143.9 Japan
GREEN
20 07 Aug 2018 12:00 Category 2 157 no people 39.9 million people 32, 143.1 Japan
GREEN
21 07 Aug 2018 18:00 Category 2 157 no people 47.5 million people 32.5, 142.3 Japan
GREEN
22 08 Aug 2018 00:00 Category 1 148 79000 people 47.2 million people 33.4, 141.8 Japan
GREEN
23 08 Aug 2018 06:00 Category 1 148 3.9 million people 47.4 million people 33.8, 141.3 Japan
GREEN
24 08 Aug 2018 12:00 Category 1 130 63000 people 45.5 million people 34.5, 141.3 Japan
GREEN
25 08 Aug 2018 18:00 Category 1 130 740000 people 49.2 million people 35.3, 141.1 Japan
GREEN
25 09 Aug 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 16.7 million people 37.3, 142 Japan
GREEN
25 09 Aug 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 360000 people 39.2, 145.1 Japan
GREEN
25 10 Aug 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 40.9, 150.9
GREEN
25 10 Aug 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 42.7, 158.7
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Japan

Provinces

Region Province Country
Kanto Japan

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Choshi Chiba Japan City 84000 people
Ohara Chiba Japan City 20000 people
Katakai Chiba Japan City -
Naruto Chiba Japan City 22000 people
Mobara Chiba Japan City 96000 people
Tako Chiba Japan City -
Omigawa Chiba Japan City 25000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Choshi JPCHO Japan
Kashima JPKSM Japan

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Choshi, Japan. This height is estimated for 08 Aug 2018 20:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (174 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 25 of 08 Aug 2018 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
08 Aug 2018 20:00 Choshi Japan  0.6
08 Aug 2018 20:00 Yatabe Japan  0.5
08 Aug 2018 20:00 Okunoya Japan  0.5
08 Aug 2018 20:00 Kashima Japan  0.4
08 Aug 2018 20:00 Kyuchu Japan  0.4
08 Aug 2018 20:00 Koya Japan  0.4
08 Aug 2018 20:00 Omi Japan  0.4
08 Aug 2018 20:00 Hamatsuga Japan  0.4
08 Aug 2018 20:00 Aotsuka Japan  0.4
08 Aug 2018 20:00 Taiyo Japan  0.4
08 Aug 2018 20:00 Dainigorisawa Japan  0.4
08 Aug 2018 20:00 Muyokama Japan  0.4
08 Aug 2018 20:00 Kyochikama Japan  0.4
08 Aug 2018 20:00 Otake Japan  0.4
08 Aug 2018 17:00 Ichinomiya Japan  0.4
08 Aug 2018 19:00 Tokawacho Japan  0.4
08 Aug 2018 19:00 Inuwaka Japan  0.4
08 Aug 2018 21:00 Natsumi Japan  0.4
08 Aug 2018 20:00 Hokota Japan  0.4
08 Aug 2018 20:00 Katsuori Japan  0.4
08 Aug 2018 20:00 Noda Japan  0.4
08 Aug 2018 20:00 Ogushi Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 20:00 Kamigama Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 21:00 Nagasuna Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 21:00 Nakaminato Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 21:00 Asahi Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 21:00 Oyagaw Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 21:00 Shirane Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 21:00 Toyooka Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 21:00 Kuji Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 21:00 Mizuki Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 22:00 Narusawa Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 22:00 Moto-Kawarago Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 21:00 Hitachi Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 17:00 Katakai Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 17:00 Hasunuma Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 22:00 Ogitsu Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 22:00 Tomobe Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 22:00 Tajirihama Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 22:00 Kawaziri Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 22:00 Kawajiri Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 22:00 Hama Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 23:00 Kubota Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 23:00 Ueda Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 23:00 Terashita Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 23:00 Hirakata Japan  0.3
09 Aug 2018 02:00 Ohahama Japan  0.3
09 Aug 2018 02:00 Ena Japan  0.3
09 Aug 2018 02:00 Shimo-Takaku Japan  0.3
09 Aug 2018 02:00 Toyoma Japan  0.3
10 Aug 2018 05:00 Fushiko-tobuto Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 17:00 Ohara Japan  0.2
08 Aug 2018 23:00 Kitakubo Japan  0.2
08 Aug 2018 23:00 Kisara Japan  0.2
08 Aug 2018 23:00 Ono-Yasashi Japan  0.2
08 Aug 2018 23:00 Isohara Japan  0.2
08 Aug 2018 23:00 Yunami Japan  0.2
08 Aug 2018 23:00 Shuku Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 02:00 Aratame Japan  0.2
08 Aug 2018 18:00 Asahi Yokaichiba Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 02:00 Omori Japan  0.2
08 Aug 2018 16:00 Katsuura Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 02:00 Arayashik Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 02:00 Yotsukura Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 02:00 Naraha Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 02:00 Kami-Asamigawa Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 02:00 Kami-Shigeoka Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 02:00 Ide Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 02:00 Shimo-Kitabo Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 02:00 Tomioka Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 02:00 Oragahama Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 02:00 Onaba Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 02:00 Kiyohashi Japan  0.2
08 Aug 2018 23:00 Tanebe Japan  0.2
08 Aug 2018 23:00 Obama Japan  0.2
08 Aug 2018 23:00 Onahama Japan  0.2
10 Aug 2018 05:00 Bekkai Japan  0.2
10 Aug 2018 05:00 Nishi-wada Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 03:00 Komagamine Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 03:00 Nakumura Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 03:00 Tsurishi Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 03:00 Tachiya Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 03:00 Haragama Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 03:00 Umekawa Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 03:00 Isobe Japan  0.2
08 Aug 2018 23:00 Soeno Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 03:00 Odaka Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 03:00 Namie Japan  0.2
10 Aug 2018 05:00 Odaito Japan  0.2
10 Aug 2018 05:00 Tokotan Japan  0.2
10 Aug 2018 05:00 Svetloye Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 03:00 Sakamoto Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 03:00 Iso Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 02:00 Takahira Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 02:00 Kayahama Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 02:00 Futaba Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 03:00 Minami-Ibi Japan  0.2
10 Aug 2018 05:00 Nemuro Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 01:00 Kasano Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 01:00 Hanagama Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 01:00 Yamashita Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 01:00 Yokoyama Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 01:00 Shibamachi Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 01:00 Warabi Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 01:00 Kaikomba Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 01:00 Arahama Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 01:00 Kabasaki Japan  0.2
08 Aug 2018 18:00 Ko Japan  0.2
08 Aug 2018 18:00 Tateyama Japan  0.2
08 Aug 2018 18:00 Olo Japan  0.2
08 Aug 2018 18:00 Kokubu Japan  0.2
10 Aug 2018 05:00 Tomoshiri Japan  0.2
10 Aug 2018 06:00 Nassafu Japan  0.2
10 Aug 2018 06:00 Moshirikeshi Russia  0.2
09 Aug 2018 03:00 Watari Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 03:00 Hayakawa Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 03:00 Kashima Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 01:00 Sangenchaya Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 01:00 Ninokura Japan  0.1
10 Aug 2018 06:00 Hikiushi Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2018 23:00 Sumiyoshi Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 01:00 Shimo-Masuda Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 01:00 Ainokama Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 01:00 Kita-Kama Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 01:00 Fujitsuka Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2018 23:00 Bogoya Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2018 18:00 Kamogawa Japan  0.1
10 Aug 2018 01:00 Onirusu Russia  0.1
10 Aug 2018 02:00 Ruchi Russia  0.1
10 Aug 2018 02:00 Protochnaya Russia  0.1
10 Aug 2018 01:00 Churuigenya Japan  0.1
10 Aug 2018 01:00 Kumbetsu Japan  0.1
10 Aug 2018 02:00 Rukushibetsu Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2018 23:00 Goi Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2018 18:00 Kimitsu Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 01:00 Ido Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2018 18:00 Kembutsu Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2018 18:00 Konuma Japan  0.1
10 Aug 2018 02:00 Golovnino Russia  0.1
10 Aug 2018 06:00 Zeikomae Russia  0.1
10 Aug 2018 06:00 Akiajiba Russia  0.1
08 Aug 2018 23:00 Anegasaki Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 01:00 Tago Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 01:00 Niida Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2018 04:00 Fukanuma Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 01:00 Shinhama Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 01:00 Wada-Shinden Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 01:00 Gamo Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 01:00 Shobudahama Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2018 18:00 Fugiwara Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2018 18:00 Nemoto Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2018 18:00 Kanamaru Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2018 18:00 Hongo Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2018 18:00 Hara Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2018 18:00 Shiramazu Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2018 18:00 Okawa Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2018 18:00 Seto Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2018 18:00 Shirako Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2018 18:00 Chikura Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2018 18:00 Wada Japan  0.1
10 Aug 2018 03:00 Shibetsu Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 01:00 Umenomiya-Jutaku Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 01:00 Shiogama Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 01:00 Tsukihama Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 01:00 Ono Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 01:00 Takagi Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 01:00 Hamaichi Japan  0.1
10 Aug 2018 06:00 Kafenotsu Russia  0.1
08 Aug 2018 18:00 Kubo Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2018 18:00 Sunosaki Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2018 18:00 Katsuyama Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 01:00 Uenodai Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2018 18:00 Hayama Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2018 18:00 Misaki Japan  0.1