Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for YUTU-18
in Philippines, Northern Mariana Islands
26 Oct 2018 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone YUTU-18 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Philippines, Northern Mariana Islands
    Exposed population 11 million in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 287 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 1.1 m (24 Oct 15:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Medium (Northern Mariana Is.)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 204 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 1.5
    Overall 287 km/h 1.1 m n.a. 2.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      204 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 670000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 21 Oct 2018 12:00 231 210 thousand 2 thousand Northern Mariana Islands
        Red 2 21 Oct 2018 18:00 204 210 thousand 50 thousand Northern Mariana Islands
        Red 3 22 Oct 2018 00:00 204 210 thousand 50 thousand Northern Mariana Islands
        Orange 4 22 Oct 2018 06:00 176 210 thousand 50 thousand Northern Mariana Islands
        Red 5 22 Oct 2018 12:00 204 210 thousand 50 thousand Northern Mariana Islands
        Red 6 22 Oct 2018 18:00 204 210 thousand 50 thousand Northern Mariana Islands
        Red 7 23 Oct 2018 00:00 222 210 thousand 50 thousand Northern Mariana Islands
        Red 8 23 Oct 2018 06:00 213 210 thousand 50 thousand Northern Mariana Islands
        Red 9 23 Oct 2018 12:00 231 210 thousand 50 thousand Northern Mariana Islands
        Red 10 23 Oct 2018 18:00 250 210 thousand 50 thousand Northern Mariana Islands
        Red 11 24 Oct 2018 00:00 259 210 thousand 50 thousand Northern Mariana Islands
        Red 12 24 Oct 2018 06:00 278 210 thousand 50 thousand Northern Mariana Islands
        Red 13 24 Oct 2018 12:00 287 210 thousand 50 thousand Northern Mariana Islands
        Red 14 24 Oct 2018 18:00 278 260 thousand 50 thousand Northern Mariana Islands
        Green 15 25 Oct 2018 00:00 269 330 thousand 50 thousand Northern Mariana Islands
        Green 16 25 Oct 2018 06:00 269 2.1 million 50 thousand Northern Mariana Islands
        Green 17 25 Oct 2018 12:00 259 4.6 million 50 thousand Northern Mariana Islands
        Green 18 25 Oct 2018 18:00 241 9.3 million 50 thousand Northern Mariana Islands
        Green 19 26 Oct 2018 00:00 241 10.4 million 50 thousand Northern Mariana Islands
        Green 20 26 Oct 2018 06:00 241 33.8 million 50 thousand Northern Mariana Islands
        Orange 21 26 Oct 2018 12:00 204 70.2 million 670 thousand Northern Mariana Islands, Philippines

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 21 Oct 2018 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people <1000 people 8.4, 157.6
          GREEN
          		 2 21 Oct 2018 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people <1000 people 8.6, 156.8
          GREEN
          		 3 22 Oct 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 9, 155.9
          GREEN
          		 4 22 Oct 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people <1000 people 9.8, 155
          GREEN
          		 5 22 Oct 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 10.6, 153.8
          GREEN
          		 6 22 Oct 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people <1000 people 10.9, 152.7
          GREEN
          		 7 23 Oct 2018 00:00 Category 1 120 no people <1000 people 11.5, 151.6
          GREEN
          		 8 23 Oct 2018 06:00 Category 1 139 no people <1000 people 11.8, 150.6
          GREEN
          		 9 23 Oct 2018 12:00 Category 2 167 no people 210000 people 12, 149.6 Northern Mariana Islands
          GREEN
          		 10 23 Oct 2018 18:00 Category 3 204 no people 210000 people 12.6, 148.9 Guam
          RED
          		 11 24 Oct 2018 00:00 Category 4 241 50000 people 210000 people 13.3, 147.9 Northern Mariana Islands
          RED
          		 12 24 Oct 2018 06:00 Category 5 269 51000 people 210000 people 13.9, 147.1 Northern Mariana Islands
          RED
          		 13 24 Oct 2018 12:00 Category 5 287 51000 people 210000 people 14.6, 146.2 Northern Mariana Islands
          RED
          		 14 24 Oct 2018 18:00 Category 5 278 49000 people 210000 people 15.3, 145.3 Northern Mariana Islands
          GREEN
          		 15 25 Oct 2018 00:00 Category 5 269 no people 210000 people 15.8, 144.2 Guam
          GREEN
          		 16 25 Oct 2018 06:00 Category 5 269 no people 210000 people 16, 143.2 Guam
          GREEN
          		 17 25 Oct 2018 12:00 Category 5 259 no people no people 16.3, 142.3
          GREEN
          		 18 25 Oct 2018 18:00 Category 4 241 no people no people 16.6, 141.4
          GREEN
          		 19 26 Oct 2018 00:00 Category 4 241 no people no people 16.9, 140.3
          GREEN
          		 20 26 Oct 2018 06:00 Category 4 241 no people no people 16.9, 138.9
          GREEN
          		 21 26 Oct 2018 12:00 Category 4 250 no people no people 17.2, 137.6
          GREEN
          		 21 27 Oct 2018 00:00 Category 4 250 no people no people 17.8, 134.9
          GREEN
          		 21 27 Oct 2018 12:00 Category 4 241 no people no people 18.3, 132.4
          GREEN
          		 21 28 Oct 2018 00:00 Category 4 231 no people no people 18.6, 130.5
          GREEN
          		 21 28 Oct 2018 12:00 Category 4 222 no people 15.6 million people 18.6, 128.7 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 21 29 Oct 2018 12:00 Category 3 204 <1000 people 61.8 million people 18.3, 125.6 Philippines
          ORANGE
          		 21 30 Oct 2018 12:00 Category 3 204 620000 people 69.8 million people 18.6, 123.1 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 21 31 Oct 2018 12:00 Category 2 176 no people no people 19, 120.6 Philippines
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Northern Mariana Is.
          Philippines

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Northern Mariana Is. Northern Mariana Islands
          Cagayan Valley Philippines
          Cordillera Administrative Region Philippines
          Ilocos Philippines

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Saipan Northern Mariana Islands Capital 62000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Rota I International ROP 185 Civ. Paved Yes 6000
          West Tinian TIQ 82 Civ. Paved Yes 5900
          Dynasty 46 0
          Commonwealth Health Center 5 0
          Saipan International SPN 66 Civ. Paved Yes 8700
          Nikko 18 0
          Taggat 5 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Rota Northern Mariana Islands
          Tinian Northern Mariana Islands
          Saipan MPSPN Northern Mariana Islands
          Farallon de Medinilla Northern Mariana Islands
          Port San Vicente Philippines
          Aparri PHAPR Philippines
          Abulog Philippines
          Calayan Philippines
          Claveria Philippines
          Dirique Inlet Philippines
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          1.1 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  1.1m in Sunharon Roads, Northern Mariana Islands. This height is estimated for 24 Oct 2018 15:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (56 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 21 of 26 Oct 2018 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          24 Oct 2018 15:00 Sunharon Roads Northern Mariana Islands  1.1
          24 Oct 2018 15:00 Afetna Northern Mariana Islands  1.1
          24 Oct 2018 15:00 Susupi Northern Mariana Islands  1.1
          24 Oct 2018 15:00 Laolao Northern Mariana Islands  1.1
          24 Oct 2018 15:00 Chalan Kanoa Northern Mariana Islands  1.1
          24 Oct 2018 15:00 Aslito Northern Mariana Islands  1.1
          24 Oct 2018 15:00 Saipan Northern Mariana Islands  1.1
          24 Oct 2018 15:00 Kagman Northern Mariana Islands  1.1
          24 Oct 2018 16:00 Garapan Northern Mariana Islands  1.1
          24 Oct 2018 16:00 Mutcho Northern Mariana Islands  1.1
          24 Oct 2018 16:00 Tanapag Northern Mariana Islands  1.1
          24 Oct 2018 16:00 San Roque Northern Mariana Islands  1.1
          30 Oct 2018 11:00 Gonzaga Philippines  0.3
          30 Oct 2018 11:00 Bawa Philippines  0.2
          30 Oct 2018 11:00 Cabiraoan Philippines  0.2
          30 Oct 2018 11:00 Casambalangan Philippines  0.2
          30 Oct 2018 11:00 Buguey Philippines  0.2
          30 Oct 2018 11:00 Balza Philippines  0.2
          30 Oct 2018 11:00 Meycauayan Philippines  0.2
          30 Oct 2018 11:00 Tanza Philippines  0.2
          30 Oct 2018 11:00 Tinajeros Philippines  0.2
          30 Oct 2018 11:00 Caloocan Philippines  0.2
          30 Oct 2018 11:00 Manila Philippines  0.2
          30 Oct 2018 11:00 Punta Philippines  0.2
          30 Oct 2018 11:00 San Vincente Philippines  0.2
          30 Oct 2018 11:00 Bisagu Philippines  0.2
          30 Oct 2018 11:00 Aparri Philippines  0.2
          30 Oct 2018 11:00 Linao Philippines  0.2
          30 Oct 2018 11:00 Cavite Philippines  0.2
          30 Oct 2018 11:00 Pamarauan Philippines  0.2
          30 Oct 2018 11:00 Tanza Philippines  0.2
          30 Oct 2018 11:00 Binakayan Philippines  0.2
          30 Oct 2018 11:00 Tehero Philippines  0.1
          30 Oct 2018 11:00 Alacan Philippines  0.1
          30 Oct 2018 11:00 Amaya Philippines  0.1
          30 Oct 2018 11:00 Bateng Philippines  0.1
          30 Oct 2018 11:00 Alilinu Philippines  0.1
          30 Oct 2018 11:00 General Trias Philippines  0.1
          30 Oct 2018 07:00 Canaoalan Philippines  0.1
          30 Oct 2018 07:00 Carael Philippines  0.1
          30 Oct 2018 07:00 Dagupan Philippines  0.1
          24 Oct 2018 14:00 Rota Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
          24 Oct 2018 14:00 Sinapalo Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
          30 Oct 2018 11:00 Naic Philippines  0.1
          30 Oct 2018 11:00 Imus Philippines  0.1
          30 Oct 2018 07:00 Binmale Philippines  0.1
          30 Oct 2018 03:00 Wright Philippines  0.1
          24 Oct 2018 16:00 Songsong Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
          24 Oct 2018 16:00 Teteto Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
          30 Oct 2018 11:00 Cabuluan Philippines  0.1
          30 Oct 2018 11:00 Catuguran Philippines  0.1
          30 Oct 2018 02:00 Pequit Philippines  0.1
          30 Oct 2018 02:00 Pabanong Philippines  0.1
          30 Oct 2018 02:00 Hinabangan Philippines  0.1
          30 Oct 2018 06:00 Maniboc Philippines  0.1
          30 Oct 2018 11:00 Poso Philippines  0.1